Sadr’s ‘Paternal’ Government Stumbles over Iraqi Politics

Head of Iraq's Sadr movement Moqtada al-Sadr. (Getty Images)
Head of Iraq's Sadr movement Moqtada al-Sadr. (Getty Images)
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Sadr’s ‘Paternal’ Government Stumbles over Iraqi Politics

Head of Iraq's Sadr movement Moqtada al-Sadr. (Getty Images)
Head of Iraq's Sadr movement Moqtada al-Sadr. (Getty Images)

In wake of his shock victory in the Iraqi parliamentary elections, Sadrist movement leader Moqtada al-Sadr began receiving in Baghdad numerous political leaders, notably Prime Minister Haidar al-Abadi and Fatah alliance chief Hadi al-Ameri, in an attempt to forge an alliance at the new legislature.

Ameri came in second in the elections and Abadi third.

Sadr formed a negotiating delegation, headed by senior Sadrist leader and former Labor Minister Nasser al-Rabihi, to hold talks with all parties in order to form the largest parliamentary bloc.

This will precede the formation of what Sadr dubbed a “paternal government”.

“Sadr emphasized the need to speed up the formation of a paternal government as soon as possible so that it could begin servicing the nation,” read a statement from Sadr’s office.

The shape and spirit of the new government should be a “national” decision and inclusive of all winning blocs, the statement added.

But no clear explanation or detail was offered by any official about Sadr’s vision for the paternal government, save for it being all-inclusive.

This inclusiveness stands in stark contrast to Sadr’s reform uprising in 2015 and 2016. Today, he finds himself forced into becoming part of one regional-international camp that would inevitably lead to distance growing between him and another.

The conflict between rival camps is now the main factor in the current political maneuvering in Iraq, while programs and projects that were touted before the elections have taken a backseat.

Sadr won 54 seats in parliament, Ameri’s alliance won 47 seats, Abadi’s Nasr (Victory) coalition 42 seats, former PM Nouri al-Maliki’s State of Law won 25 and Ammar Hakim’s Hikma movement won 22.

Although the above main Shiite political blocs are enough to forge the largest alliance in parliament, with 165 out of 328 seats, obstacles remain in ensuring that all components in Iraq, such as Kurds and Sunnis, are represented.

Integrating these minorities has taken a backseat to sectarian and ethnic disputes and calculations. These disputes have proven to be obstacles and sources of conflict in Iraq.

Given this failure, political forces have started to propose alternate approaches for parliamentary supremacy, such as establishing concepts like “political majority,” “national majority,” and, finally, the Sadr-styled “paternal government” - the latest attempt to brand and promote his political orientation in both national and Shiite arenas.

“Political majority is still the best option compared to previous experiences, which were based on quotas and consensual rule that courted American-Iranian approval, but proved to be failures,” independent Shiite politician Izzat Shabandar told Asharq Al-Awsat.

Despite the lack of clarity over the government that Sadr is now promoting, Shabandar believed that “the nationalist views expressed by him, which show disdain for sectarianism, happen to coincide with the political majority project as a national project.”

“This majority will serve as the first building block in Iraq's political and economic development.”



US, Türkiye Clash Over Support for Kurdish Forces in Syria as Erdogan Vows to Eliminate them

A demonstration in support of the SDF in Qamishli, Hasakah Province, opposing Turkish escalation (AFP).
A demonstration in support of the SDF in Qamishli, Hasakah Province, opposing Turkish escalation (AFP).
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US, Türkiye Clash Over Support for Kurdish Forces in Syria as Erdogan Vows to Eliminate them

A demonstration in support of the SDF in Qamishli, Hasakah Province, opposing Turkish escalation (AFP).
A demonstration in support of the SDF in Qamishli, Hasakah Province, opposing Turkish escalation (AFP).

Tensions between Türkiye and the United States over the handling of the Syrian Kurdish YPG (People’s Protection Units), the primary component of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), have intensified, as Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan declared that “terrorist organizations” in Syria will no longer find support or collaborators.

Türkiye, along with allied Syrian National Army factions, has escalated attacks on SDF positions in Manbij and Kobani (Ayn al-Arab). This comes after Ankara rejected US claims about an extension of a ceasefire between Türkiye and the SDF. Turkish forces on Friday continued shelling around Tishrin Dam in Manbij’s countryside, prompting local calls for intervention to prevent further escalation and safeguard vital infrastructure.

Escalation in Manbij and Kobani

The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights reported that Turkish shelling damaged parts of the Tishrin Dam, raising fears of severe environmental and humanitarian consequences if the escalation continues. The violence began with heavy clashes between Turkish-backed factions and the Manbij Military Council forces, involving medium and heavy weaponry. The fighting triggered significant civilian displacement toward safer areas.

Support for Syria’s New Leadership

Speaking to reporters on his return from Cairo, where he attended the D-8 Summit, Erdogan stated it was time to eliminate terrorist groups in Syria, particularly ISIS, the PKK, and their affiliates like the YPG/SDF, which he claims threaten Syria’s stability.

Erdogan emphasized Türkiye’s readiness to support Syria’s new leadership in combating terrorist organizations to establish a safe and stable Syria. He expressed confidence that no power would continue to work with such groups, particularly pointing at the US, which has long supported the YPG in the fight against ISIS.

He also mentioned his country’s plans to assist Syria’s new administration in building state institutions, drafting a new constitution, and engaging in discussions, noting that Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan would visit Damascus soon to discuss the “new structure.”

Erdogan expressed hope for enhanced relations between Ankara and Damascus under the new leadership of Ahmed al-Sharaa (Abu Mohammad al-Golani), the head of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS).

US-SDF Alliance

On the other hand, the US said that it remains committed to its alliance with the YPG as a key partner in combating ISIS. Pentagon spokesperson Brig. Gen. Pat Ryder confirmed there are no plans to withdraw US forces from Syria or end cooperation with the SDF. He disclosed that the US has approximately 2,000 troops in Syria, a number higher than previous estimates of 900.

Senior US diplomats met with members of Syria’s new leadership formed by HTS in the first direct and formal meeting between Washington and Syria’s new rulers after Assad’s fall.

US Presence in Syria

Henri Barkey, a political analyst, argued in The National Interest that a US withdrawal from Syria would be a significant mistake, potentially strengthening Iranian and Russian influence while increasing Türkiye’s regional sway.

As Turkish rhetoric about eliminating the YPG and PKK grows louder, SDF commander Mazloum Abdi indicated readiness to negotiate a ceasefire with Türkiye, including the withdrawal of foreign fighters from Syria if a truce is reached.

SDF-Türkiye Agreement

Abdi’s remarks to Reuters came after a Turkish Defense Ministry official denied any ceasefire agreement with the SDF or its US backers. The official dismissed recent US statements as a “slip of the tongue,” asserting Türkiye would not negotiate with terrorist organizations.

The official stressed that the threats from northern Syria persist, and Türkiye will continue its preparations and measures until the YPG disarms and foreign fighters leave Syria. He expressed confidence that Türkiye-backed factions would eliminate the YPG presence in Syria.

Western Concerns

Western allies, including Germany, have expressed concern over Türkiye’s actions in northern Syria. German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock, speaking before talks with her Turkish counterpart Hakan Fidan, urged Ankara to contribute to Syria’s stability and protect minorities.

Baerbock highlighted fears of a large Turkish offensive in Kobani and warned that peace in Syria remains elusive, with the country’s future hanging by a thread.