OPEC Plus Looks into 1.5 bpd Boost in Oil Production

People walk past the OPEC logo in front of its headquarters in Vienna. (Reuters)
People walk past the OPEC logo in front of its headquarters in Vienna. (Reuters)
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OPEC Plus Looks into 1.5 bpd Boost in Oil Production

People walk past the OPEC logo in front of its headquarters in Vienna. (Reuters)
People walk past the OPEC logo in front of its headquarters in Vienna. (Reuters)

The OPEC and non-OPEC countries in a global oil output deal will consider increasing output by 1.5 million per day in the third quarter only, Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak said on Saturday, the TASS news agency reported.

Russia and Saudi Arabia have agreed to extend cooperation indefinitely and will discuss the agreement in Vienna next week, Novak said.

He stated that the gradual increase is possible from July 1, but the countries who joined the global oil production cut deal are yet to discuss all the terms. The OPEC and non-OPEC countries are also meeting next week in Vienna.

Oil prices fell more than $2 after two of the world's biggest oil producers indicated they could increase oil output at the OPEC meeting next week, while US exports are threatened by Chinese customs duties on crude and refined products.

Investors are tense ahead of the Vienna meeting. Saudi Arabia and Russia have already increased their production of crude slightly.

Brent crude ended the week at $2.50, or 3.29 percent, at $73.44 per barrel.

US WTI crude fell 1.83 dollars, or 2.74 percent, closing at $65.06 a barrel.

After closing the official trading session for the oil market, China announced the imposition of retaliatory tariffs on US products worth 50 billion dollars, in response to a series of customs announced by US President Donald Trump.

Over the past six months, the US has exported an average of 363,000 barrels per day of crude oil to China which is the largest buyer of US crude along with Canada.

On the other hand, the number of active oil rigs in the US rose for a fourth week in a row, despite a 9 percent fall in crude prices over the past month. Despite this decline, producers still expect their oil prices in 2018 to be higher than in 2017.



Oil Set for Steepest Weekly Decline in Two Years as Risk Subsides

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
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Oil Set for Steepest Weekly Decline in Two Years as Risk Subsides

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil prices rose on Friday though were set for their steepest weekly decline since March 2023, as the absence of significant supply disruption from the Iran-Israel conflict saw any risk premium evaporate.

Brent crude futures rose 50 cents, or 0.7%, to $68.23 a barrel by 1036 GMT while US West Texas Intermediate crude gained 49 cents, or nearly 0.8%, to $65.73.

During the 12-day war that started after Israel targeted Iran's nuclear facilities on June 13, Brent prices rose briefly to above $80 a barrel before slumping to $67 a barrel after US President Donald Trump announced an Iran-Israel ceasefire.

That put both contracts on course for a weekly fall of about 12%.

"The market has almost entirely shrugged off the geopolitical risk premiums from almost a week ago as we return to a fundamentals-driven market," said Rystad analyst Janiv Shah.

"The market also has to keep eyes on the OPEC+ meeting – we do expect room for one more month of an accelerated unwinding basis balances and structure, but the key question is how strong the summer demand indicators are showing up to be."

The OPEC+ members will meet on July 6 to decide on August production levels.

Prices were also being supported by multiple oil inventory reports that showed strong draws in the middle distillates, said Tamas Varga, a PVM Oil Associates analyst.

Data from the US Energy Information Administration on Wednesday showed crude oil and fuel inventories fell a week earlier, with refining activity and demand rising.

Meanwhile, data on Thursday showed that the independently held gasoil stocks at the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) refining and storage hub fell to their lowest in over a year, while Singapore's middle distillates inventories declined as net exports climbed week on week.

Additionally, China's Iranian oil imports surged in June as shipments accelerated before the conflict and demand from independent refineries improved, analysts said.

China is the world's top oil importer and biggest buyer of Iranian crude. It bought more than 1.8 million barrels per day (bpd) of Iranian crude from June 1-20, according to ship-tracker Vortexa, a record high based on the firm's data.