Egypt Conducts Unprecedented Reforms in Attempt to Activate Investment

Nuts are sold at a market, ahead of the Muslim fasting month of Ramadan in Cairo, Egypt, May 6, 2018. (Reuters)
Nuts are sold at a market, ahead of the Muslim fasting month of Ramadan in Cairo, Egypt, May 6, 2018. (Reuters)
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Egypt Conducts Unprecedented Reforms in Attempt to Activate Investment

Nuts are sold at a market, ahead of the Muslim fasting month of Ramadan in Cairo, Egypt, May 6, 2018. (Reuters)
Nuts are sold at a market, ahead of the Muslim fasting month of Ramadan in Cairo, Egypt, May 6, 2018. (Reuters)

The International Monetary Fund on Friday approved the fourth installment of a $12 billion, three-year loan for Egypt, bringing the total released to date to just over $8 billion.

The IMF board approved the latest $2 billion disbursement under the aid deal signed in November 2016 to support Cairo's economic reform program, which the Washington-based lender has repeatedly praised.

Since then, Egypt has imposed harsh austerity measures and started to phase out subsidies on many goods and services, including this month's move hiking fuel prices as much as 50 percent, and electricity rates by about 25 percent.

Consumer prices have soared as the authorities floated Egypt's currency and adopted a value-added tax. Meanwhile, a fiscal crisis caused the deficit to balloon to 12.5 percent of GDP in the 2015-2016 tax year.

The government said the subsidy cuts are needed, and acknowledged they would lead to sharp increase in taxi fares.

The IMF said Egypt is beginning to reap the benefits of the reforms, and estimates the economy will grow 5.2 percent this year. Inflation is expected to fall to 20 percent by the end of 2018 from 33 percent last year.

However, IMF staff in May stressed that the government still needs to strengthen its social safety net

Since the 2011 revolt toppled former president Hosni Mubarak, the economy of the Arab world's most populous country has received multiple shocks caused by political instability and security issues.

The government in Egypt seeks to implement a bunch of reforms for the sake of reinforcing its capabilities to attract direct foreign investment. After more than one year and a half on agreeing over a loan with the IMF, it managed to bring back exchange markets to stability but its debts aggravated.

Egypt borrowed from the IMF in November 2016, after the difference in foreign currencies increased.

The CBE has raised interest rates by a total of 7 percent since the flotation in late 2016 in a bid to curb inflation. The reforms program, adopted by the government in the meantime, included issuance of a new law of investment motifs – the program is backed by the IMF and other international donors.

Egypt sought years ago to lessen procedures for establishing firms, and it developed this service through the center of investors services in which it has become possible to fulfill the establishment in a couple of hours.

Yasser Abbas, head of investors services sectors at General Authority For Investment & Free Zones, told Asharq Al-Awsat that during this period between January and February, for the first time there is a center for investors services representatives from 60 parties concerned with issuing licenses. These parties represent the majority of entities which the investors needs to deal with.

Abbas points out that the investment law was enacted following consultation with relevant bodies and no party objected over the proposed duration. The law also suggests issuing a unified guide of steps that the investor needs.

According to the latest reports of the International Finance Corporation, the investor needs around 172 days to finish the construction licenses in Egypt in return for an average of 132.1 to finish the same licenses in MENA. Egypt comes in rank 66 among 190 states.

Ministry of Investment and International Cooperation looks forward to not repeat the problems of granting licenses for newly established projects. A source from the ministry told Asharq Al-Awsat that the authority allows a number of mechanisms to coordinate between the investor and the party issuing the licenses.



Lebanon's Bonds Rally as Parliament Elects 1st President since 2022

Lebanese Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri shakes hands with Lebanon’s army chief Joseph Aoun after he is elected as the country’s president at the parliament building in Beirut, Lebanon, Jan. 9, 2025. Reuters/Mohamed Azakir
Lebanese Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri shakes hands with Lebanon’s army chief Joseph Aoun after he is elected as the country’s president at the parliament building in Beirut, Lebanon, Jan. 9, 2025. Reuters/Mohamed Azakir
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Lebanon's Bonds Rally as Parliament Elects 1st President since 2022

Lebanese Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri shakes hands with Lebanon’s army chief Joseph Aoun after he is elected as the country’s president at the parliament building in Beirut, Lebanon, Jan. 9, 2025. Reuters/Mohamed Azakir
Lebanese Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri shakes hands with Lebanon’s army chief Joseph Aoun after he is elected as the country’s president at the parliament building in Beirut, Lebanon, Jan. 9, 2025. Reuters/Mohamed Azakir

Lebanese government bonds extended their three-month-long rally on Thursday as the crisis-ravaged country's parliament voted in a new head of state for the first time since 2022.

Lebanese lawmakers elected army chief Joseph Aoun as president. It came after the failure of 12 previous attempts to pick a president and boosts hopes that Lebanon might finally be able to start addressing its dire economic woes.

The country's battered bonds have almost trebled in value since September, when the regional conflict with Israel weakened Lebanese armed group Hezbollah, long viewed as an obstacle to overcoming its political paralysis.

According to Reuters, most of Lebanon's international bonds, which have been in default since 2020, rallied after Aoun's victory was announced to stand 1.3 to 1.7 cents higher on the day and at just over 16 cents on the dollar.

They have risen almost every day since late December, although they remain some of the lowest-priced government bonds in the world, reflecting the scale of Lebanon's difficulties.

With its economy and financial system still reeling from a collapse in 2019, Lebanon is in dire need of international support to rebuild from the conflict, which the World Bank estimates to have cost the country $8.5 billion.

Hasnain Malik, an analyst at financial research firm Tellimer said Aoun's victory was "the first necessary step on a very long road to recovery".

Malik said Aoun now needs to appoint a prime minister and assemble a cabinet that can retain the support of parliament, resuscitate long-delayed reforms and help Lebanon secure international financial support.

The 61-year old Aoun fell short of the required support in Thursday's first round of parliamentary voting and only succeeded in a second round, reportedly after a meeting with Hezbollah and Amal party MPs.

"That presents significant ongoing risk to any new PM and cabinet, which need to maintain the confidence of a majority of parliament," Malik said.