Exclusive - Lebanon: Most Wanted Persons Enjoy Protection in Baalbek-Hermel

Lebanese soldiers patrol a street at the entrance of the border town of Arsal, in eastern Bekaa Valley, Lebanon. (Reuters)
Lebanese soldiers patrol a street at the entrance of the border town of Arsal, in eastern Bekaa Valley, Lebanon. (Reuters)
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Exclusive - Lebanon: Most Wanted Persons Enjoy Protection in Baalbek-Hermel

Lebanese soldiers patrol a street at the entrance of the border town of Arsal, in eastern Bekaa Valley, Lebanon. (Reuters)
Lebanese soldiers patrol a street at the entrance of the border town of Arsal, in eastern Bekaa Valley, Lebanon. (Reuters)

When you ask about the “Tuffar” (outlaws), residents of Lebanon’s Baalbek-Hermel region respond to you according to their political views. Among Hezbollah supporters, the label itself “targets the region and its reputation.” Those who oppose Hezbollah confirm that the most wanted persons are protected by the party in cooperation and coordination with state authorities. For them, the “Tuffar” are the source of all evils.

The label originates from the area of Baalbek-Hermel in the northern Bekaa. It describes outlaws who flee the country’s security services and take shelter in the outskirts of this region.

A man who called himself Duaas, an alias like the other names mentioned in this report, explained the meaning of this expression. In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, he said: “Tuffar are outlaws who commit crimes in light of security chaos, such as drug trafficking, car theft, stolen cars trading and kidnapping for ransom. There are barely a hundred people and they remain at large despite the security plan.”

He continued: “On the other hand, there are those who flee the security forces for committing a one-time offense or misdemeanor, such as firing in the air during a wedding or at a funeral, engaging in a dispute between the clans and other… Those are difficult to count. It is true that there are 36,000 arrest warrants, but that does not mean that the number of wanted persons is the same, because one person could have dozens of arrest warrants against him.”

It is very difficult to communicate with outlaws, as they avoid any movement pending the end of the effects of the security plan. Someone tries to help you. He calls the head of cannabis farmers, but his phone is blocked for fear of security monitoring. But then you receive another phone number, on the condition you communicate via WhatsApp, which is hard to track.

The outlaw sounds confused. He speaks with caution and hostility. At first, you feel that he will hang up. Silence goes on. Then gradually, he starts recounting his story with a trembling voice.

He tells Asharq Al-Awsat that he worked as a driver for a relative who was transporting cannabis to Beirut. An arrest warrant was issued against him and the merchant. He was advised to flee
“because no one will believe that I have nothing to do with the drug trade and that I am just a driver.”

He was 19 years old and could not find another job. He has been on the run for six years. Sometimes he visits his family in his village, sleeps for a night or two, but does not fall asleep from anxiety and fear of being arrested. Then, he returns to the outskirts, awaiting the amnesty law to return to life, marry and have children. He swears that he will not work with any outlaws anymore.

According to a lawyer, who spoke on condition of anonymity and who works on the "outlaws" file in Baalbek-Hermel, the case of this young man is similar to those of most of the fugitives.

“Ninety percent of the fugitives were charged with either shooting in weddings or funerals or because of personal problems, cheques without provision, etc. Those wanted for drug offenses account for only 5 percent,” the lawyer said.

He explains that the outlaws are not pursued by the security services if they are wanted for simple offenses. On the other hand, security bodies “are not entitled to pursue the perpetrators of major crimes because they are protected by forces that prevent their arrest.”

“The slow pace of the judicial procedures make the violators choose to flee instead of surrendering,” the lawyer said, pointing to 4,000 to 5,000 cases in Baalbek-Hermel where convicts have nothing to do with charges brought against them.

A security official refused to blame the security forces for negligence, pointing out that they were acting under judicial guidance.

“The issue is not in our hands. There must be a firm political decision, as in the current security plan,” the official said.

“Jawad”, another resident, admitted that the security plan resulted in “psychological satisfaction” for the people of the area.

“But this plan did not lead to any arrests of offenders, perpetrators and outlaws, as they all disappeared as soon as it was announced. Those, who enjoy backing and support, have fled to Syria where they pursue their work,” he told Asharq Al-Awsat.

According to Duaas, “the security committee of (Hezbollah) has a good relationship with the outlaws… No one controls their moves except the committee. That means they have a cover that prevents them from being caught. We all know that no military unit can move in the area without the knowledge of Hezbollah and in coordination with its committee.”

“If one of them is wanted, they tell him to sleep outside his home,” he said, adding that whoever has a problem with the group or was no longer needed would be terminated for no reason.



What Happens When Russian Gas to Europe Via Ukraine Stops?

A view shows a board with the logo of Russian gas producer Gazprom at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg, Russia June 5, 2024. REUTERS/Anton Vaganov/File Photo
A view shows a board with the logo of Russian gas producer Gazprom at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg, Russia June 5, 2024. REUTERS/Anton Vaganov/File Photo
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What Happens When Russian Gas to Europe Via Ukraine Stops?

A view shows a board with the logo of Russian gas producer Gazprom at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg, Russia June 5, 2024. REUTERS/Anton Vaganov/File Photo
A view shows a board with the logo of Russian gas producer Gazprom at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg, Russia June 5, 2024. REUTERS/Anton Vaganov/File Photo

Austria's energy company OMV was informed by Gazprom that the Russian gas producer would halt deliveries of natural gas via Ukraine to OMV from 0500 GMT on Nov. 16 following OMV winning an arbitration case. Supplies of Russian gas to Europe via Ukraine may completely stop from Jan. 1 2025 after the current five-year deal expires as Kyiv has refused to negotiate the new terms of the transit with Moscow during the war.
Here is what happens if Russian gas transit via Ukraine is completely turned off and who will be affected most, according to Reuters.
HOW BIG ARE THE VOLUMES?
Russian gas supplies to Europe via Ukraine are relatively small. Russia shipped about 15 billion cubic meters (bcm) of gas via Ukraine in 2023 - only 8% of peak Russian gas flows to Europe via various routes in 2018-2019.
Russia spent half a century building its European gas market share, which at its peak stood at 35%.
Moscow lost its share to rivals such as Norway, the United States and Qatar since the invasion of Ukraine in 2022, prompting the EU to cut its dependence on Russian gas.
EU gas prices rallied in 2022 to record highs after the loss of Russian supplies. The rally won't be repeated given modest volumes and a small number of customers for the remaining volumes, according to EU officials and traders.
UKRAINIAN ROUTE
The Soviet-era Urengoy-Pomary-Uzhgorod pipeline brings gas from Siberia via the town of Sudzha - now under control of Ukrainian military forces - in Russia's Kursk region. It then flows through Ukraine to Slovakia.
In Slovakia, the gas pipeline splits into branches going to the Czech Republic and Austria.
Austria still receives most of its gas via Ukraine, while Russia accounts for around two-thirds of Hungary's gas imports.
Slovakia takes around 3 bcm from energy giant Gazprom per year, also about two-thirds of its needs.
Czech Republic almost completely cut gas imports from the east last year, but has started taking gas from Russia in 2024.
Most other Russian gas routes to Europe are shut including Yamal-Europe via Belarus and Nord Stream under the Baltic.
The only other operational Russian gas pipeline route to Europe is the Blue Stream and TurkStream to Türkiye under the Black Sea. Türkiye sends some Russian gas volumes onward to Europe including to Hungary.
WHY DOES THE UKRAINIAN ROUTE STILL WORK?
While remaining Russian gas transit volumes are small, the issue remains a dilemma for the EU. Many EU members such as France and Germany have said they would not buy Russian gas anymore but the stance of Slovakia, Hungary and Austria, which have closer ties to Moscow, challenges the EU common approach.
The countries, who still receive Russian gas, argue it is the most economic fuel and also blame neighboring EU countries for imposing high transit fees for alternative supplies.
Ukraine still earns $0.8-$1 billion in transit fees from Russian gas transit. Russia earns over $3 billion on sales via Ukraine based on an average gas price of $200 per 1,000 cubic meters, according to Reuters calculations.
Russia's gas pipeline export monopoly Gazprom plunged to a net loss of $7 billion in 2023, its first annual loss since 1999, because of the loss EU's gas markets.
Russia has said it would be ready to extend the transit deal but Kyiv has repeatedly said it won't do it.
Another option is for Gazprom to supply some of the gas via another route, for example via TurkStream, Bulgaria, Serbia or Hungary. However, capacity via these routes is limited.
The EU and Ukraine have also asked Azerbaijan to facilitate discussions with Russia regarding the gas transit deal, an Azeri presidential advisor told Reuters, who declined to give further details.