Lebanon: 70% of Deposits in USD Despite High-Interest Rates on LBP

A woman walks outside of Lebanon's Central Bank building in Beirut, Lebanon March 16, 2018. REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir
A woman walks outside of Lebanon's Central Bank building in Beirut, Lebanon March 16, 2018. REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir
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Lebanon: 70% of Deposits in USD Despite High-Interest Rates on LBP

A woman walks outside of Lebanon's Central Bank building in Beirut, Lebanon March 16, 2018. REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir
A woman walks outside of Lebanon's Central Bank building in Beirut, Lebanon March 16, 2018. REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir

Banking sector indices fell below the growth forecast for the current year, beating the effectiveness of incentives to raise interest rates by twice the average interest rates on saving deposits in Lebanese pounds and the US dollar.

Total deposits of customers (from the private and public sectors) in the Lebanese banking sector increased by 2.3% on an annual basis to reach 177.5 billion dollars at the end of October.

It has become difficult to reach a total growth rate of 4 to 5 percent during the last two months, as it was previously expected.

This indicator is a reference to measure the ability of banking resources to finance the state’s financial needs, through treasury bills in LBP and international debt securities in USD.

It was also noted that the pace of conversion from the pound to the dollar continued, as highlighted by some banking reports. Although interest rates on LBP deposits have been raised to attractive levels ranging from 10 to 15 or even 20 percent for specific offers, in addition to other conditions and incentives, banking reports showed an increased dollarization trend in private sector deposits that reached 69.5% at the end of the third quarter of this year, compared to 66.9% last year, starting with 68.72% at the beginning of the current year.

The banks’ consolidated capital accounts exceeded $20 billion in 10 months, an increase of 7.4 percent from the same period last year. This is due in particular to the banks’ recourse to strengthening their own capital to remain committed to the Basel Committee and the Central Bank of Lebanon’s criteria for capital adequacy ratios.

On the other hand, there have been signs of a decline in funding the private sector. Lebanese banks lending to the private sector (residents and nonresidents) declined by 0.89 percent, equivalent to about half a billion dollars.



China Mulls Draft Law to Promote Private Sector Development

A Chinese national flag flutters on a financial street in Beijing. (Reuters)
A Chinese national flag flutters on a financial street in Beijing. (Reuters)
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China Mulls Draft Law to Promote Private Sector Development

A Chinese national flag flutters on a financial street in Beijing. (Reuters)
A Chinese national flag flutters on a financial street in Beijing. (Reuters)

Chinese lawmakers are deliberating a draft of the country's first basic law specifically focused on the development of the private sector, the country’s Xinhua news agency reported.

“The law will be conducive to creating a law-based environment that is favorable to the growth of all economic sectors, including the private sector,” said Justice Minister He Rong, while explaining the draft on Saturday during the ongoing session of the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress, the national legislature.

The draft private sector promotion law covers areas such as fair competition, investment and financing environments, scientific and technological innovation, regulatory guidance, service support, rights and interests protection and legal liabilities.

The draft has incorporated suggestions solicited from representatives of the private sector, experts, scholars and the general public, the minister said.

China left its benchmark lending rates unchanged as expected at the monthly fixing on Friday.

Persistent deflationary pressure and tepid credit demand call for more stimulus to aid the broad economy, but narrowing interest margin on the back of fast falling yields and a weakening yuan limit the scope for immediate monetary easing.

The one-year loan prime rate (LPR) was kept at 3.10%, while the five-year LPR was unchanged at 3.60%.

In a Reuters poll of 27 market participants conducted this week, all respondents expected both rates to stay unchanged.

Morgan Stanley said in a note that the 2025 budget deficit and mix are more positive than expected and suggest Beijing is willing to set a high growth target and record fiscal budget to boost market confidence, but further policy details are unlikely before March.

Last Friday, data released by the country's central bank said total assets of China's financial institutions had risen to 489.15 trillion yuan (about $68.03 trillion) by the end of third quarter this year.

The figure represented a year-on-year increase of 8%, said the People's Bank of China.

Of the total, the assets of the banking sector reached 439.52 trillion yuan, up 7.3% year on year, while the assets of securities institutions rose 8.7% year on year to 14.64 trillion yuan.

The insurance sector's assets jumped 18.3% year on year to 35 trillion yuan, the data showed.

The liabilities of the financial institutions totaled 446.51 trillion yuan, up 8% year on year, according to the central bank.

Separately, data released by the National Energy Administration on Thursday showed that China's electricity consumption, a key barometer of economic activity, rose by 7.1% year on year in the first 11months of the year.

During the period, power consumption of the country's primary industries increased by 6.8% year on year, while that of its secondary and tertiary sectors rose by 5.3% and 10.4%, respectively.

Residential power usage saw strong growth of 11.6% during this period, the administration said.

In November alone, power usage climbed 2.8% from one year earlier, according to the data.