Tunisia Raises Fuel Prices by 4%

A gas station attendant pumps fuel into a customer's car at a gas station in Tunis, Tunisia June 01, 2018. Reuters
A gas station attendant pumps fuel into a customer's car at a gas station in Tunis, Tunisia June 01, 2018. Reuters
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Tunisia Raises Fuel Prices by 4%

A gas station attendant pumps fuel into a customer's car at a gas station in Tunis, Tunisia June 01, 2018. Reuters
A gas station attendant pumps fuel into a customer's car at a gas station in Tunis, Tunisia June 01, 2018. Reuters

Tunisia raised fuel prices by four percent on Saturday, following four consecutive hikes in 2018, in an effort to rein in its budget deficit and reduce it to about 3.9 percent of the GDP after it reached 4.9 percent last year, announced the Ministry of Industry.

Based on the ministry’s statement, gasoline was increased 0.080 Tunisian dinars to 2.065 dinars, sulfur-free diesel 0.080 Tunisian dinars to become 1.825 dinars and diesel became 1.570 dinars after a 0.090 dinar hike.

The ministry explained that the hike was introduced in light of the rise in global prices after the price of crude oil reached $68 a barrel.

However, the ministry asserted that the price of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) used in households has not been adjusted.

Tunisia aims to introduce reforms requested by the country’s international lenders, the government said in the first hike this year.

Through these repeated increases, Tunisia is responding to one of the conditions of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and a number of international financing and lending institutions that have demanded a three-month automatic adjustment to fuel prices in an attempt to reduce the budget deficit, which is largely linked to spending on energy subsidies.

Tunisia's financial and economic expert Ezzeddine Saidan predicted that these increases would continue as long as international oil prices are on the rise.

He pointed out that the Finance Ministry adopted in the 2018 budget reference oil prices within the range of $54, and soon oil prices exceeded the threshold of $70, which left a large financial gap, and forced the government to pass a supplementary law to overcome the scarcity of financial resources and a growing budget deficit.

The Tunisian Confederation of Industry, Trade and Handicrafts objected the repeated fuel price hikes. Head of the confederation, Samir Majoul, said the measures will have many repercussions on the Tunisian economy.

He warned that the price increase will cost investors additional funds which they can’t afford, and will be negatively reflected on a number of economic activities such as transportation, electricity, gas and various industrial production processes.

The Ministry of Finance indicated that every dollar increase in oil prices requires additional financial resources of about 120 million Tunisian dinars from the state budget, stressing that the government cannot make such expenditures in light of a drop in production and exports.

The 2019 budget allocated 2.1 billion dinars for the petroleum industry, and the government said the total energy deficit amounted to one third of the trade deficit in 2018, which reached 19 billion dinars.

Tunisia's oil production has significantly dropped in the past years, reaching an average of 42,000 barrels per day (bdp). Before 2011, oil production was in the range of 80,000 bpd, covering about 48 percent of the country's petroleum needs.



Oil Edges Up ahead of US Fed Rate Decision, 2025 Outlook

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
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Oil Edges Up ahead of US Fed Rate Decision, 2025 Outlook

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil edged up on Wednesday as a drop in US crude inventories offered some support, although investors stayed cautious ahead of a potential interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve and its projections for 2025.

Brent futures rose 53 cents, or 0.7%, to $73.72 a barrel at 1436 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude climbed 54 cents, or 0.8%, to $70.62.

The Fed is expected to cut rates by a quarter point, but to signal a cautious approach to loosening monetary policy next year.

"A quarter-point cut itself is unlikely to shake markets much. Investors may focus more on hints and clues on how likely a January pause is, as well as on how many rate cuts policymakers are contemplating throughout 2025," said Charalampos Pissouros, senior investment analyst at brokerage XM, Reuters reported.

The US central bank will release its policy statement at 2 p.m. ET (1900 GMT), followed by remarks from Chair Jerome Powell.

Lower rates decrease borrowing costs, which can boost economic growth and demand for oil.

"Oil prices ought to see more of a reaction to the crude inventory draw seen in the API data overnight... however, such is the diverting power of central bank rate decisions that investors in all of the trading mediums are taking a very light touch to proceedings" said John Evans, analyst with oil broker PVM.

In the US, American Petroleum Institute data on Tuesday showed that crude stocks fell by 4.69 million barrels in the week ended Dec. 13, a source said. Gasoline inventories rose by 2.45 million barrels, and distillate stocks rose by 744,000 barrels, according to the source.

Analysts projected US energy firms pulled about 1.6 million barrels of crude from storage during the week ended Dec. 13, according to a Reuters poll on Tuesday.

The US Energy Information Administration will release its oil storage data on Wednesday.

"Trade war fears and uncertainty on how aggressively the US Fed will cut interest rates next year is likely capping the upside for now," UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said.