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Unemployment Rates Increase in Turkey

Reuters
Reuters
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TT

Unemployment Rates Increase in Turkey

Reuters
Reuters

The Foundation for Political, Economic and Social Research (SETA) has issued a report revealing an unprecedented increase in the unemployment rate in Turkey during only one year.

The report indicated an annual increase of 68.5 percent in June compared to the same period in 2018, adding that the number of those unemployed has amounted to 4.4 million, up from 2.6 million in June 2018, an increase of 1.8 million.

In its 83rd annual report, which was prepared in cooperation with the Turkish Employment Agency and the Statistical Institute, SETA relied on monitoring registered unemployment only, which does not include unregistered unemployment, such as those who work on a seasonal or daily basis.

According to the report, among people between 15 and 64 years, the number of registered unemployed females rose by 66.1 percent and for males by 71.3 percent.

While among people between 15 and 24 years, the number of registered unemployed females rose by 86 percent and 75.5 percent for males, compared to June 2018.

The increase in the number of unemployed people holding a middle school diploma was the largest among all other categories with 661,000 extra unemployed persons compared to last year.

They were followed by high school graduates with 470,000 while the number of unemployed among those with a university degree increased by 172,000.

It increased by 8,000 among those holding a master's degree and 235 among those who have a doctorate in different majors. Unemployment among university graduates rose by 112 percent.

As for the uneducated, the number of unemployed rose by 119,000.

The agency stated that the Turkish unemployment rate rose in June to 14.3 percent compared with 11 percent in the same month of 2018.

Official data showed that non-agricultural unemployment rose from 3.6 percent to 15 percent during the same period.

Seasonally adjusted employment fell by 74,000 from the previous period, estimated at 28.4 million people, and the number of seasonally unemployed people increased by 7,000 persons, bringing the total number to 4.49 million people.

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A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
TT
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A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo

The dollar touched a fresh two-week low on Wednesday, as a lack of clarity on President Donald Trump's plans for tariffs kept financial markets guessing and left the greenback struggling to regain ground against major currencies. Trump said late on Tuesday that his administration was discussing imposing a 10% tariff on goods imported from China on Feb. 1, the same day that he previously said Mexico and Canada could face levies of around 25%.

He also vowed duties on European imports, without providing further details.

Despite those threats, a lack of specific plans from Trump's first day in office saw the dollar start the week with a 1.2% slide against a basket of major peers. It stabilized on Tuesday, ending flat after an attempted rebound fizzled, with US officials saying any new taxes would be imposed in a measured way. The dollar index, which tracks the currency against six top rivals, touched its lowest since Jan. 6 at 107.75 on Wednesday, paring an earlier rise in the index. It was last down 0.15% at 107.97.

"Tariffs have again grabbed the headlines overnight as Trump commented in the evening that his threat of a new 10% tariff on China was still on the table...," said Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid.

"Trump's comments leave plenty of near-term uncertainty even though the trade investigations from his day 1 executive orders will take some time to play out."

Trump on Monday signed a broad trade memorandum, ordering federal agencies to complete comprehensive reviews of a range of trade issues by April 1. The greenback rose 0.3% to 156 yen, edging up from the one-month low it touched the day before.

INFLATION RISKS The euro fell 0.3% in early trading, before it changed course and rose to $1.0457, its highest since Dec. 30. It was last up 0.07% at $1.0434. Sterling hit a two-week high against the greenback, but was last trading down at $1.2351.

Analysts have said that Trump's policies on immigration, tax and tariffs will likely boost growth but also be inflationary, but the more cautious tariff approach has fuelled some hopes that inflation risks could be more limited, Reuters reported.

Traders expect a quarter-point Fed interest rate cut by July, while another reduction by year-end is considered a coin toss. The Canadian dollar was slightly weaker at 1.4346 per US dollar, following a volatile week that saw it tumble as low as 1.4520 overnight for the first time since March 2020, feeling additional pressure from cooling inflation last month. The Mexican peso gained about 0.3% to 20.547 per dollar. China's yuan held steady at 7.272 per dollar in offshore trading, after pushing to the strongest level since Dec. 11 on Tuesday at 7.2530.

"A 10% tariff on China imports would be far below the 60% rate he mentioned in his campaign," said Alvin Tan, head of Asia FX strategy at RBC Capital Markets.

"On top of this is the general sense that Trump is not pursuing maximalist trade protectionism in his early actions, but appears to be positioning for trade negotiations," Tan said.

"Altogether these suggest that the US dollar could drop further."