Sudan’s Economy Shrinks 2.1% in Q2 2019

Sudan’s Economy Shrinks 2.1% in Q2 2019
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Sudan’s Economy Shrinks 2.1% in Q2 2019

Sudan’s Economy Shrinks 2.1% in Q2 2019

A report on the Ministry of Finance and National Economy’s performance for Q2 2019 revealed a budget deficit of 16 billion Sudanese pounds ($355 million), with revenues of 61.8 billion pounds ($1.37 billion) and expenditures of 77.8 billion pounds ($1.37 billion).

The growth rate has also declined to negative 2.1 percent.

Undersecretary of the Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning Dr. Abdul-Moneim al-Tayeb told Asharq Al-Awsat that 2019’s budget has faced challenges, notably weak revenues, lack of strategic goods and means to pay workers’ salaries.

He explained that the 77.8 billion pounds spent were allocated for strategic goods and salaries and to face the liquidity crisis that has been sweeping the country for more than a year now.

The 2019 budget has targeted achieving a growth rate by the end of this year in the range of 5.3 percent.

However, the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) economic outlook report has confirmed the decline in April to negative 2.1 percent despite Sudan’s nomination by several institutions, which expected growth in the country by up to five percent this year.

The World Bank said in a report in April Sudan’s GDP in 2019 is expected to grow by 3.1 percent in line with the forecasts of equal economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa.

The Bank said in its June Global Economic Prospects’ report that the country’s GDP growth will continue over the next two years, rising by 2.6 percent in 2018 to 3.1 percent in 2019 and 3.5 percent in 2020.

However, the latest data from the Arab Monetary Fund (AMF) indicated that the GDP growth of Sudan's economy shrank to negative 2.1 percent in 2018 and worsened to negative 2.3 percent for the current year 2019.

It also expected some improvement within the circle of contraction by a negative 1.3 percent in 2020.

Inflation also rose in the country to 52.59 percent in July, compared with 47.78 percent in June and 44.95 percent in May.

Economic Professor at the University of Expatriates Mohamed al-Nayer, for his part, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the Sudanese economy has faced a series of challenges during the last three decades that affected its growth potential and macroeconomic balances.



Europe Gas: Prices ease ahead of Trump-Putin phone call

Representation photo: Smoke is released from one of the chimneys of the Dora (Daura) Thermal Power Station in the Dora district in southern Baghdad on January 9, 2025. (Photo by AHMAD AL-RUBAYE / AFP)
Representation photo: Smoke is released from one of the chimneys of the Dora (Daura) Thermal Power Station in the Dora district in southern Baghdad on January 9, 2025. (Photo by AHMAD AL-RUBAYE / AFP)
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Europe Gas: Prices ease ahead of Trump-Putin phone call

Representation photo: Smoke is released from one of the chimneys of the Dora (Daura) Thermal Power Station in the Dora district in southern Baghdad on January 9, 2025. (Photo by AHMAD AL-RUBAYE / AFP)
Representation photo: Smoke is released from one of the chimneys of the Dora (Daura) Thermal Power Station in the Dora district in southern Baghdad on January 9, 2025. (Photo by AHMAD AL-RUBAYE / AFP)

Dutch and British wholesale gas prices eased on Tuesday morning as the market awaited any news on a potential peace deal between Russia and Ukraine but low storage levels remain a concern and weather forecasts are mixed.
The Dutch front-month contract inched down by 0.55 euro to 40.65 euros per megawatt hour (MWh) by 0917 GMT, LSEG data showed.
The Dutch May contract was down 0.68 euro at 40.57 euros/MWh, while the day-ahead contract eased by 0.20 euro to 40.80 euros/MWh, Reuters said.
In Britain, the day-ahead contract was down 1.01 pence at 101.75 pence per therm.
All eyes will be on the outcome of the call between US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin scheduled for 1300-1500 GMT and whether it may lead to a ceasefire in Ukraine, analysts at Energi Danmark said.
"Until then, the market is caught in uncertainty," they added.
Traders holding speculative long positions in the gas market have become nervous that a potential peace deal between Russia and Ukraine could see the resumption of some Russian pipeline gas into Europe, analysts at ING said in a note.
Meanwhile, fresh tensions in the Middle East, with new Israeli air strikes on Gaza, could provide some bullish market sentiment, said LSEG analyst Yuriy Onyshkiv.
"Later this week, warmer temperatures are expected but the long-term view still forecasts below seasonal normal levels which may continue to pressure gas storages," consultancy Auxilione said in its daily market report.
EU gas storage sites were last seen 34.84% full, compared with nearly 60% seen at the same time last year, data from Gas Infrastructure Europe showed.
In the European carbon market, the benchmark contract edged down by 0.12 euro to 69.99 euros a metric ton.