Egyptian Stocks Plunge, Pound Rises to Highest Levels in 3 Years

A trader works at the Egyptian stock exchange, Cairo, Egypt, Sept. 20, 2018. (Reuters)
A trader works at the Egyptian stock exchange, Cairo, Egypt, Sept. 20, 2018. (Reuters)
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Egyptian Stocks Plunge, Pound Rises to Highest Levels in 3 Years

A trader works at the Egyptian stock exchange, Cairo, Egypt, Sept. 20, 2018. (Reuters)
A trader works at the Egyptian stock exchange, Cairo, Egypt, Sept. 20, 2018. (Reuters)

Egypt's stock fell to its lowest level since 2016 on Sunday after a few, but rare, protests on Friday evening, threatening to tarnish the nation’s image as an emerging-market safe haven, following a series of bold economic reforms.

The Egyptian pound continued to rise against the dollar to reach its highest level in three years and recorded 16.23 pounds against the dollar.

The EGX30 retreated 5.3 percent, the most for any single day since 2016, as every member declined, while the wider EGX100 index lost 5.7 percent, its biggest drop since 2012.

Additionally, Commercial International Bank dropped 4.2 percent and Eastern Co was down 5.7 percent.

The broader index EGX100 slumped 5.7 percent, the most since November 2012, with 95 of 100 stocks dropping, causing trading to be suspended due to a 5 percent swing for the first time since 2016.

On Friday, people protested in central Cairo and several other cities, in the first such demonstrations in the country since 2016.

"It is definitely due to the small escalation over the weekend, which is making investors cautious,” said Ashraf Akhnoukh, director at Arqaam Capital in Cairo.

The sellers were mostly locals and Arab investors as foreign investors were not trading on Sunday, he added.

The blue-chip index is still up 7.1 percent year-to date and has risen during the year on the back of foreign buying amid an economic recovery and a recent interest rate cut.

Egyptian shares lost more than $1.90 billion of their market value, and the stock exchange's management stopped trading on more than 100 shares during transactions after falling more than 5 percent.

A number of analysts described the reaction of the market as exaggerated, especially after foreign financial institutions seized the opportunities of Egyptian and Arab sales to make large purchases in the market.

Ibrahim al-Nimr of Naeem Securities Brokerage said that the main index had a clear support at 14,250 points and breaking it may target 13,850 points, but in case of a higher rebound it will target 14,800 points.

Meanwhile, Chairman of 3Way, a securities trading company, Rania Yacoub explained that the situation of the market is an unjustified decline governed by individuals, not institutions.

“If there are any security or political concerns you will find selling from institutions and not individuals.”

Head of research at Pharos Investment Bank, Radwa el-Swaify noted that financial institutions will take advantage of the downturn and build purchasing positions in equities, which is what happens as a result of the closure of the financial positions of individuals investing in the market.



Oil Rises on Upbeat China Data, Shaky Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire

FILE - Pump jacks work in a field near Lovington, N.M., April 24, 2015. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel, File)
FILE - Pump jacks work in a field near Lovington, N.M., April 24, 2015. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel, File)
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Oil Rises on Upbeat China Data, Shaky Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire

FILE - Pump jacks work in a field near Lovington, N.M., April 24, 2015. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel, File)
FILE - Pump jacks work in a field near Lovington, N.M., April 24, 2015. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel, File)

Oil prices rose on Monday, supported by strong factory activity in China, the world's second-largest oil consumer, and heightened tensions in the Middle East as Israel resumed attacks on Lebanon despite a ceasefire agreement.
Brent crude futures climbed 57 cents, or 0.79%, to $72.41 a barrel by 0700 GMT while US West Texas Intermediate crude was at $68.58 a barrel, up 58 cents, or 0.85%.
"Oil prices have managed to stabilize into the new week, with the continued expansion in China's manufacturing activities reflecting some degree of policy success from recent stimulus efforts," said Yeap Jun Rong, market strategist at IG.
This offered slight relief that oil demand from China may hold for now, he added.
A private-sector survey showed China's factory activity expanded at the fastest pace in five months in November, boosting Chinese firms' optimism just as US President-elect Donald Trump ramps up his trade threats.
Still, traders are eyeing developments in Syria, weighing if they could widen tension across the Middle East, Yeap said.
A truce between Israel and Lebanon took effect on Wednesday, but each side accused the other of breaching the ceasefire.
In a statement, the Lebanese health ministry said several people were wounded in two Israeli strikes in south Lebanon. Air strikes also intensified in Syria, as President Bashar al-Assad vowed to crush insurgents who had swept into the city of Aleppo.
Last week, both benchmarks suffered a weekly decline of more than 3%, on easing concerns over supply risks from the Israel-Hezbollah conflict and forecasts of surplus supply in 2025, even as OPEC+ is expected to extend output cuts.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies, known as OPEC+, postponed its meeting to Dec. 5, sources told Reuters last week.
This week's meeting will decide policy for the early months of 2025.
Since the group's production hike had been widely expected, the market's focus may be on the extent of delay to sway crude prices, said IG's Yeap.
"An indefinite delay may be the best case for oil prices, given that earlier rounds of delays by a month or so have failed to drive higher oil prices in line with what OPEC+ intended."
Brent is expected to average $74.53 per barrel in 2025 as economic weakness in China clouds the demand picture and ample global supplies outweigh support from an expected delay to a planned OPEC+ output hike, a Reuters monthly oil price poll showed on Friday.
That is the seventh straight downward revision in the 2025 consensus for the global benchmark, which has averaged $80 per barrel so far in 2024.