Morocco: Economic Center Expects Growth to Reach 4.6% in 2020

 Farmers carry containers of strawberries, to be exported, after picking them in a field in the town of Moulay Bousselham in Kenitra province, file. REUTERS/Youssef Boudlal
 Farmers carry containers of strawberries, to be exported, after picking them in a field in the town of Moulay Bousselham in Kenitra province, file. REUTERS/Youssef Boudlal
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Morocco: Economic Center Expects Growth to Reach 4.6% in 2020

 Farmers carry containers of strawberries, to be exported, after picking them in a field in the town of Moulay Bousselham in Kenitra province, file. REUTERS/Youssef Boudlal
 Farmers carry containers of strawberries, to be exported, after picking them in a field in the town of Moulay Bousselham in Kenitra province, file. REUTERS/Youssef Boudlal

A Moroccan business center has expected the country's economic growth to accelerate to 4.6 percent next year compared to 2.6 percent in 2019.

Mohammed al-Tahrawi from the Centre Marocain de Conjuncture -CMC said at a press conference in Casablanca that the forecast is based on a possible improvement in the agriculture sector in 2020 although production in 2019 was effected by drought.

Tahrawi continued that agriculture is expected to witness a growth of 9.5 percent in 2020, after a drop of 3.7 percent in 2019 due to below average rains and an inadequate water distribution.

He noted that Morocco’s economic growth continues to suffer from the repercussions of climate conditions.

The economy achieved a growth of 4.6 percent in 2015 then dropped to 1.2 percent in 2016. In 2017, it rose to 4.1 percent before declining again to 3.3 percent in 2018 and to 2.6 percent this year.

The value-added agriculture saw a hike of 14 percent in 2015 and a decline of 12.8 percent in 2016. Then it rose 15.1 percent in 2017, 2.9 percent in 2018 before dropping 4.5 percent in 2019.

According to Tahrawi, this fluctuation affects other sectors such as the manufacturing and services industries given the interconnection among them.

CMC experts urged more diversification in the economy, namely in manufacturing and services.

CMC Director Ahmed Abboudi explained that the Moroccan economy relies heavily on imports, calling for prioritizing exports as the sole means to make hard currency earnings.

Morocco is also highly dependent on remittances of expatriates and foreign investments for hard currency, despite the development of the industrial sector in the past years, Abboudi added.

The automotive industry has become the number one exporting sector in Morocco.



Lebanon Bonds Rally to Fresh Two-year High on Ceasefire Hopes

A man counts Lebanese pounds at a currency exchange shop in Beirut, Lebanon October 1, 2020. REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir
A man counts Lebanese pounds at a currency exchange shop in Beirut, Lebanon October 1, 2020. REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir
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Lebanon Bonds Rally to Fresh Two-year High on Ceasefire Hopes

A man counts Lebanese pounds at a currency exchange shop in Beirut, Lebanon October 1, 2020. REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir
A man counts Lebanese pounds at a currency exchange shop in Beirut, Lebanon October 1, 2020. REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir

Lebanon's deeply distressed sovereign dollar bonds hit a fresh two-year high on Tuesday as investors bet that a potential ceasefire with Israel could improve the country's prospects.

The bonds, which are still trading below 10 cents on the dollar, have gained more than 3% this week. The 2031 maturity was biding at 9.3 cents on the dollar, its highest since May 2022, according to Reuters.

"Some investors are mulling if it is a right time to buy, since a ceasefire is the first step needed to at some point in time restructure bonds," said Bruno Gennari, emerging markets strategist with KNG Securities International.

Israel's cabinet is expected to convene on Tuesday to discuss, and likely approve, a US plan for a ceasefire with the Iran-backed Hezbollah, a senior Israeli official said.

Israeli airstrikes, which continued on Tuesday, have decimated Lebanon's infrastructure and killed thousands.

But the counterintuitive rally, the second since Israel began bombing the country in September, was driven by bets that the deal could jolt Lebanon's fractured political system and revive efforts to pull the country out of default.