Nasrallah Ambiguous on Hariri’s Naming for Premiership

Hassan Nasrallah (NNA)
Hassan Nasrallah (NNA)
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Nasrallah Ambiguous on Hariri’s Naming for Premiership

Hassan Nasrallah (NNA)
Hassan Nasrallah (NNA)

Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah failed in his Friday speech to give a clear stance on next week’s binding parliamentary consultations to name a new Lebanese Prime Minister.

In a televised speech, the Shiite leader said that consultations would take place on Monday and that the government should be led by caretaker PM Saad Hariri or a figure enjoying his support.

The Hezbollah leader deemed the resignation of the government a step backward.

“The resignation of Hariri was a mere waste of time due to the fact that the institutions that must carry out the reforms have been disabled," he said.

Lebanon's main parties failed to reach consensus on a new Prime Minister since Hariri resigned in late October amid huge protests against the ruling elite in the country.

Nasrallah said that the prevailing crisis needs everyone to come together, a thing which a one-sided government can't do.

He stressed the importance of forming a government capable of implementing reforms and said his party insisted on the participation of the Future Movement and the Free Patriotic Movement as well.

However, Nasrallah remained unclear on the identity of the Sunni figure that both Hezbollah and the Amal Movement are expected to name during the parliamentary consultations with President Michel Aoun.

Ministerial sources close to Aoun told Asharq Al-Awsat on Friday that efforts were being exerted to compel Hariri into softening his conditions regarding the formation of the new cabinet. Failure to do so would hinder his arrival to the premiership.

“Hariri should be more logical,” the sources said, adding that a technocrat government should be headed by a technocrat Prime Minister or else political forces should back a techno-political cabinet representing all parties.

However, Hariri’s sources said the caretaker PM does not consider responding to anyone’s stance. “Hariri’s positions are clear. He should only head a new government that rebuts the traditional quota logic, meets the demands of the popular movement, is capable of addressing the economic and financial crisis, and respects the positions of Lebanon’s friends,” the sources said.



Iran’s Allies Constrained in Confronting Israel

Armed Houthi supporters carry images of deceased military and political figures from Iran-aligned groups during a protest in Sanaa against Israeli airstrikes on Iran (EPA)
Armed Houthi supporters carry images of deceased military and political figures from Iran-aligned groups during a protest in Sanaa against Israeli airstrikes on Iran (EPA)
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Iran’s Allies Constrained in Confronting Israel

Armed Houthi supporters carry images of deceased military and political figures from Iran-aligned groups during a protest in Sanaa against Israeli airstrikes on Iran (EPA)
Armed Houthi supporters carry images of deceased military and political figures from Iran-aligned groups during a protest in Sanaa against Israeli airstrikes on Iran (EPA)

As war rages between Tehran and Tel Aviv, Iran may soon need to call upon its network of regional allies - groups it has armed and funded for years. But now, the so-called “Axis of Resistance” looks strained, fragmented, and far from ready.

On June 19, 2025, General Mohammad Reza Naqdi of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard urged Iran’s regional allies to take action to relieve mounting pressure on Tehran. At that point, Iran was entering its second week of heavy Israeli bombardment. Strategically, an Israeli strike on the Iranian capital once seemed unthinkable, but the regional terrain has since shifted. Iran’s supply routes are now disrupted, and its key proxy groups have either been neutralized or weakened.

According to The Times of Israel, Israel launched this war after nearly two years of systematically targeting Iran’s allies in Gaza, Lebanon, and Yemen. The 2023 Hamas attack on Israel had triggered a chain of retaliation that left many of Iran’s partners damaged or demoralized. With the Assad regime collapsed in Syria, Hezbollah weakened in Lebanon, and Hamas reduced to guerrilla tactics in Gaza, few proxies appear ready for a new confrontation.

In Gaza, Hamas has been forced into small ambushes and urban warfare, its rocket arsenal depleted and many senior leaders killed. Iranian communication channels with the group have also eroded. Israel’s targeted assassination of Mohammad Saeed Izadi, a key Quds Force commander linked to Palestinian factions, further strained coordination. For now, Hamas can offer little more than rhetorical support.

In Iraq, US forces have fortified their embassy in Baghdad, while withdrawing from bases such as Ain al-Asad. Iraqi factions loyal to Iran are posturing, threatening US interests should America enter the war. But most Iraqi leaders remain reluctant to drag the country into open conflict, knowing the consequences could be disastrous. Iran, too, is cautious about sacrificing Iraq’s political and economic value.

Hezbollah, reeling from the death of its longtime leader Hassan Nasrallah in a 2024 Israeli strike, is in disarray. Its military capacity and leadership have been significantly degraded. Though the party retains some strategic capabilities, domestic and regional pressures have so far restrained it from opening a major front.

In Yemen, the Houthis have emerged as Iran’s last viable card. They now play a key role in smuggling weapons and expanding Iranian influence into Africa. Should the US directly join Israel’s war, Tehran may finally authorize the Houthis to use their stockpile of ballistic missiles, signaling a decisive and potentially catastrophic new phase of the conflict.