Saudi Stocks: Predictions to Overcome Level of 8000 Points

Man monitoring Saudi Arabia stocks (File photo: Reuters)
Man monitoring Saudi Arabia stocks (File photo: Reuters)
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Saudi Stocks: Predictions to Overcome Level of 8000 Points

Man monitoring Saudi Arabia stocks (File photo: Reuters)
Man monitoring Saudi Arabia stocks (File photo: Reuters)

The Saudi market starts the new week’s trading amid traders’ optimism that the index will be capable of reversing its negative track recorded over the past four weeks and exceed the levels of 8000 points.

The drop in the stock was accompanied by profit-taking operations for many listed companies which achieved noticeable gains in January.

Traders expect more than 155 companies to announce their financial results for the last quarter of 2019 in the coming weeks.

During the first nine months of 2019, net profits of the Saudi companies listed in the Saudi stock market, excluding Saudi Aramco, amounted to about $17.2 billion.

The results of the final quarter of 2019 are expected to achieve unprecedented results in the Saudi stock market, driven by the profits that Saudi Aramco is expected to announce.

Oil prices recorded a 7 percent increase compared to the previous week’s closing, with Brent oil jumping above $57 a barrel and crude oil settling above $52.

On Friday, oil prices recorded their highest levels in about two weeks ago.

Saudi market traders hope that this positive performance will be reflected in the Saudi stock market this week, at a time when most listed companies are still preparing to announce their financial results in the next few weeks.

The Saudi index ended the trading of the last week down by 2.2 percent, closing at 7874 points, compared to the previous week’s closing at 8053 points, continuing its decline for the fourth week in a row.

All the listed sectors recorded a decline during the last week's transactions, except for the media and entertainment sector which rose 2.1 percent, while the shares of 38 companies listed closed on code ‘green’.



US Job Growth Surges in September, Unemployment Rate Falls to 4.1%

A woman enters a store next to a sign advertising job openings at Times Square in New York City, New York, US, August 6, 2021. REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz/File Photo
A woman enters a store next to a sign advertising job openings at Times Square in New York City, New York, US, August 6, 2021. REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz/File Photo
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US Job Growth Surges in September, Unemployment Rate Falls to 4.1%

A woman enters a store next to a sign advertising job openings at Times Square in New York City, New York, US, August 6, 2021. REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz/File Photo
A woman enters a store next to a sign advertising job openings at Times Square in New York City, New York, US, August 6, 2021. REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz/File Photo

US job growth accelerated in September and the unemployment slipped to 4.1%, further reducing the need for the Federal Reserve to maintain large interest rate cuts at its remaining two meetings this year.
Nonfarm payrolls increased by 254,000 jobs last month after rising by an upwardly revised 159,000 in August, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics said in its closely watched employment report on Friday.
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast payrolls rising by 140,000 positions after advancing by a previously reported 142,000 in August.
The initial payrolls count for August has typically been revised higher over the past decade. Estimates for September's job gains ranged from 70,000 to 220,000.
The US labor market slowdown is being driven by tepid hiring against the backdrop of increased labor supply stemming mostly from a rise in immigration. Layoffs have remained low, which is underpinning the economy through solid consumer spending.
Average hourly earnings rose 0.4% after gaining 0.5% in August. Wages increased 4% year-on-year after climbing 3.9% in August.
The US unemployment rate dropped from 4.2% in August. It has jumped from 3.4% in April 2023, in part boosted by the 16-24 age cohort and rise in temporary layoffs during the annual automobile plant shutdowns in July.
The US Federal Reserve's policy setting committee kicked off its policy easing cycle with an unusually large half-percentage-point rate cut last month and Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized growing concerns over the health of the labor market.
While the labor market has taken a step back, annual benchmark revisions to national accounts data last week showed the economy in a much better shape than previously estimated, with upgrades to growth, income, savings and corporate profits.
This improved economic backdrop was acknowledged by Powell this week when he pushed back against investors' expectations for another half-percentage-point rate cut in November, saying “this is not a committee that feels like it is in a hurry to cut rates quickly.”
The Fed hiked rates by 525 basis points in 2022 and 2023, and delivered its first rate cut since 2020 last month. Its policy rate is currently set in the 4.75%-5.00% band.
Early on Friday, financial markets saw a roughly 71.5% chance of a quarter-point rate reduction in November, CME's FedWatch tool showed. The odds of a 50 basis points cut were around 28.5%.