Coronavirus Brings Abrupt End to Iraq Protest Movement

Anti-government protesters gather in Tahrir Square during a demonstration in Baghdad, Iraq, Oct. 28, 2019. (AP)
Anti-government protesters gather in Tahrir Square during a demonstration in Baghdad, Iraq, Oct. 28, 2019. (AP)
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Coronavirus Brings Abrupt End to Iraq Protest Movement

Anti-government protesters gather in Tahrir Square during a demonstration in Baghdad, Iraq, Oct. 28, 2019. (AP)
Anti-government protesters gather in Tahrir Square during a demonstration in Baghdad, Iraq, Oct. 28, 2019. (AP)

Iraq officially ended on Saturday its anti-government protests in wake of the mounting concerns over the spread of the new coronavirus. The movement, which had erupted some five months ago, demanded the overthrow of a political class seen as corrupt and serving foreign powers while many Iraqis languish in poverty without jobs, healthcare or education.

On Saturday, the remaining protesters in Baghdad’s Tahrir Square and across the country’s southern and central regions announced they would be returning to their homes until the coronavirus threat abated. They vowed to return to the streets if the political forces and government fail to meet their demands.

The union of Dhi Qar students said in a statement that they were suspending rallies in compliance with the guidelines and recommendations of the health ministry and crisis cell in wake of the virus outbreak. They said they would bar any rallies in Dhi Qar’s al-Haboubi Square to avert the spread of the virus.

The protests, which broke out in Baghdad in October, had spread to nine provinces in the country. They created a major shock among political forces and the government, ultimately leading to Adel Abdul Mahdi to resign as prime minister in late November.

The rallies mainly took place in predominantly Shiite provinces. The Kurdish provinces of Erbil, Sulaymaniyah and Duhok and Sunni provinces of Nineveh, Salaheddine and al-Anbar largely kept away from the protests.

The demonstrations came at a cost. Some 28,000 protesters were wounded and 700 killed as authorities sought to stifle them with excessive force, drawing widespread local and international condemnation. The government could not identify the killers, prompting the defense minister in mid-November to accuse a “third party” of murdering and using snipers against the protesters.

The authorities’ seeming inability to uncover the instigators of the violence prompted, in turn, the protesters to point fingers at pro-Iran factions and militias. Anger boiled over in Najaf and Karbala where the protesters set fire to the Iranian consulates there. Many of protesters had expressed their grievances over foreign, especially Iranian, meddling in Iraq’s internal affairs. As the demonstrations dragged on, the protesters also attacked the headquarters of parties and armed factions.

Their demands also increased. On top of rallying against corruption and demanding more job opportunities, they also called for holding the murderers of protesters to account. They also called for early elections and a new electoral law.

Even though the protest movement was forced to come to an abrupt halt due to the coronavirus, many activists see this as an opportunity to review and fix mistakes, in hopes that the movement would be revived. In the meantime, newly-appointed Prime Minister Adnan al-Zurfi has the opportunity to meet the protesters’ demands should his government win confidence.



Israel’s Retaliatory Responses to Houthis Must Begin by Drawing Intelligence Plan

A person inspects damage at the site where a projectile fired from Yemen landed in Tel Aviv on December 21, 2024 (EPA)
A person inspects damage at the site where a projectile fired from Yemen landed in Tel Aviv on December 21, 2024 (EPA)
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Israel’s Retaliatory Responses to Houthis Must Begin by Drawing Intelligence Plan

A person inspects damage at the site where a projectile fired from Yemen landed in Tel Aviv on December 21, 2024 (EPA)
A person inspects damage at the site where a projectile fired from Yemen landed in Tel Aviv on December 21, 2024 (EPA)

Israel is considering options to respond to repeated attacks fired from Yemen in the past few days, the latest of which was a Houthi missile strike that injured more than a dozen people in Tel Aviv.
But military experts say Israel should first consider an intelligence plan for confronting the new front after it faced significant difficulties in both defending against and responding to the Houthi attacks.
On Saturday morning, Houthis launched a missile that triggered sirens throughout central Israel at 3:44 am. It was the second attack since Thursday.
Israel's military said the projectile landed in Tel Aviv's southern Jaffa area, adding that attempts to intercept a missile from Yemen failed.
“The incident is still being thoroughly investigated,” the army said, adding that following initial investigations by the Israeli Air Force and Home Front Command, “some of the conclusions have already been implemented, both regarding interception and early warning.”
Israeli military experts say the recent Houthi attacks have revealed serious security gaps in Israel's air defense systems.
“The pressing question now is why none of the other of Israel’s air defense layers managed to intercept the warhead,” wrote Yedioth Ahronoth's Ron Ben-Yishai. “The likely explanation is the late detection and the flat trajectory, which prevented the operation of all available defense apparatus.”
He said these incidents might expose a critical vulnerability in the army’s air defense system protecting Israel’s civilian and military home front.
According to Ben-Yishai, two main reasons might explain Saturday’s interception failure.
The first is that the missile was launched in a “flattened” ballistic trajectory, possibly from an unexpected direction.
As a result, Israeli defenses may not have identified it in time, leading to its late discovery and insufficient time for interceptors to operate.
He said the second, and more likely scenario is that Iran has developed a maneuverable warhead.
Such a warhead separates from the missile during the final third of its trajectory and maneuvers mid-flight—executing pre-programmed course changes—to hit its designated target, he wrote.
And while Israel has launched initial investigations into the failure of Israeli defense systems to intercept the missiles, it is now examining the nature, date and location of its response.
When Houthis launched their first missile attack on Israel last Thursday, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu warned them, saying, “The Houthis will learn the hard way.”
But Israeli political analyst Avi Ashkenazi wrote in the Maariv newspaper that Israel should look at reality with open eyes and say out loud that it cannot deal with the Houthi threat from Yemen, and has failed to face them.
Last Thursday, 14 Israeli Air Force fighter jets, alongside refuelers and spy planes, flew some 2,000 kilometers and dropped over 60 munitions on Houthi “military targets” along Yemen’s western coast and near the capital Sanaa.
The targets included fuel and oil depots, two power stations, and eight tugboats used at the Houthi-controlled ports.
But the Maariv newspaper warned about the increasing involvement of Iran in supporting the Houthi forces.
“Iran has invested more in the Houthis in recent weeks following the collapse of the Shiite axis, making the Houthi movement a leader of this axis,” the newspaper noted.
Underscoring the failures of Israel’s air defense systems, Maariv said the “Arrow” missile defense system, Israel's main line of defense against ballistic missiles, had failed four times in a row to intercept missiles, including three launched from Yemen and one from Lebanon.
Yedioth Ahronoth's Ben-Yishai also warned that the threat posed by maneuvering warheads on Iran's heavy, long-range missiles would become existential for Israel should Iran succeed in developing nuclear warheads for these missiles.
Meanwhile, Israel’s Channel 12 said that in recent months, the Middle East has changed beyond recognition.
The channel said that for the first time in more than half a century, a direct and threat-free air corridor has been opened to Iran through the Middle East. Israel will benefit from this corridor to launch almost daily attacks on the border crossings between Syria and Lebanon, it said.
Channel 12 also reported that according to the Israeli military, the new threat-free corridor will help Israel launch a future attack on Iran's nuclear facilities.
“From Israel's perspective, the fall of the Assad regime and the collapse of the Iranian ring of fire are changing the balance of power in the Middle East,” the report added.