Saudi Crude Supply Increases as Pact to Rein In Oil Production Expires

FILE PHOTO: A view shows branded oil tanks at Saudi Aramco oil facility in Abqaiq, Saudi Arabia October 12, 2019. REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov
FILE PHOTO: A view shows branded oil tanks at Saudi Aramco oil facility in Abqaiq, Saudi Arabia October 12, 2019. REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov
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Saudi Crude Supply Increases as Pact to Rein In Oil Production Expires

FILE PHOTO: A view shows branded oil tanks at Saudi Aramco oil facility in Abqaiq, Saudi Arabia October 12, 2019. REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov
FILE PHOTO: A view shows branded oil tanks at Saudi Aramco oil facility in Abqaiq, Saudi Arabia October 12, 2019. REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov

Saudi Arabia’s crude supply rose on Wednesday to a record of more than 12 million barrels per day, two industry sources said. This came a day after a producer pact to rein in oil production expired on Tuesday.

The Kingdom had said that its oil exports would be about 10 million bpd, but it gave no indication of how much crude would go into storage, amid a plunge in demand triggered by the coronavirus outbreak.

Meanwhile, US and Russian energy officials held rare talks about oil after crude prices crashed to levels last seen almost 20 years ago.

For his part, US President Donald Trump warned that oil cheaper “than water” was hurting the industry, Reuters reported.

Oil prices fell nearly 70% from January highs as lockdowns due to the coronavirus hammered demand and as producing nations flooded the market in a race for market share after a deal they engineered on supply curbs broke down.

On Tuesday, US Energy Secretary Dan Brouillette spoke with his Russian counterpart Alexander Novak about the price slump and they agreed to hold future discussions involving other major world oil producers and consumers.

The call occurred a day after Trump and Russia's president Vladimir Putin agreed in a phone conversation to have their top energy officials discuss global oil market turmoil.

Trump said on Tuesday he would join Saudi Arabia and Russia, if need be, for talks about the fall in oil prices, noting that oil slid towards $25 a barrel, after touching its lowest level in 18 years.

“There is so much oil and in some cases it’s probably less valuable than water. At some points of the world the water is much more valuable. So, we’ve never seen anything like it,” Trump said.



Turkish Central Bank Governor: Decisive Tight Policy Contains Re-dollarization Risks

Türkiye's Central Bank headquarters is seen in Ankara, Türkiye in this January 24, 2014 file photo. REUTERS/Umit Bektas//File Photo
Türkiye's Central Bank headquarters is seen in Ankara, Türkiye in this January 24, 2014 file photo. REUTERS/Umit Bektas//File Photo
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Turkish Central Bank Governor: Decisive Tight Policy Contains Re-dollarization Risks

Türkiye's Central Bank headquarters is seen in Ankara, Türkiye in this January 24, 2014 file photo. REUTERS/Umit Bektas//File Photo
Türkiye's Central Bank headquarters is seen in Ankara, Türkiye in this January 24, 2014 file photo. REUTERS/Umit Bektas//File Photo

Turkish central bank governor Fatih Karahan said that monetary policy has been proactive and that re-dollarization risks are contained by a decisive tight policy stance, with retail FX demand more limited compared to March 2024.

In the text of a presentation which he made in Washington on Wednesday, Karahan said monetary policy transmission has improved considerably over the last year and that disinflation is continuing, "but risks are alive".

The bank hiked its main policy rate to 46% from 42.5% and lifted the overnight lending rate to 49% last Thursday. The move reversed an easing cycle in response to market turmoil triggered by the arrest of Istanbul's mayor last month, Reuters reported.

The tight monetary stance will be maintained until price stability is achieved via a sustained decline in inflation, Karahan said in the presentation on Wednesday.

The decisiveness regarding tight monetary stance is strengthening the disinflation process, he said.

Karahan said the pass-through effect on inflation of a weaker currency is modest, reflecting improvement in pricing behaviour, while falling oil prices support disinflation, but the global economic outlook is uncertain.

He also said demand has exceeded expectations, driven by goods consumption.

He said currency pass-through is expected to be around 35-40%, considerably lower than that during the summer of 2023, declining amid lower forex-protected KKM account balances, improved inflation expectations and moderating demand.