Concerns in Damascus after Limits on Bread Distribution

A Syrian man, wearing a protective face mask and gloves to protect against the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, waits for customers at his bakery in the Qaymariyya quarter of the Old City of the capital Damascus on April 14, 2020. (Photo by LOUAI BESHARA / AFP)
A Syrian man, wearing a protective face mask and gloves to protect against the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, waits for customers at his bakery in the Qaymariyya quarter of the Old City of the capital Damascus on April 14, 2020. (Photo by LOUAI BESHARA / AFP)
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Concerns in Damascus after Limits on Bread Distribution

A Syrian man, wearing a protective face mask and gloves to protect against the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, waits for customers at his bakery in the Qaymariyya quarter of the Old City of the capital Damascus on April 14, 2020. (Photo by LOUAI BESHARA / AFP)
A Syrian man, wearing a protective face mask and gloves to protect against the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, waits for customers at his bakery in the Qaymariyya quarter of the Old City of the capital Damascus on April 14, 2020. (Photo by LOUAI BESHARA / AFP)

Despite rising poverty in areas under the control of the Syrian government and the coronavirus pandemic, the regime has insisted on delivering subsidized bread using a “smart card.”

Citizens considered this decision an act of treason because it crosses the “red lines” that the ruling Baath Party itself had put, at a time when experts consider the move a first step toward removing the subsidy on bread similar to other commodities.

After people queued outside bakeries in Damascus at the start of the war, the phenomenon is back and is getting worse as the government takes precautionary measures to contain the spread of the virus. This was accompanied by bakeries announcing that they would no longer operate during unusual hours, an indication of a shortage in flour supplies from the government.

A rejection and calls

These government hints were met with rejection on social media platforms and included calls for President Bashar Assad to intervene and halt the new move after the failed and bitter experience of acquiring gas, fuel and other main food supplies such as sugar, rice, vegetable oil and tea using the “smart card”.

Although the regime had announced that each family is entitled to one gas tank every 23 days, many families confirm that they have not received one for 75 days. Many household providers spend an entire day in front of government institutions to receive sugar, rice, vegetable oil and tea, and may not even get them the same day. If they do, they may not receive all of them.

Treason

Loay is a citizen who like many others was following what Internal Trade and Consumer Protection Minister Atef Naddaf was going to say. He told Asharq Al-Awsat, “Aren't a war, inflation, poverty and the coronavirus enough? The government has betrayed the people and has started to fight them with a loaf of bread, a primary and indispensable material”.

A margin for manipulation

Noteworthy in al-Naddaf’s speech is his announcement that “each commissioner is entitled to 10% of the amount to deliver to families and people who do not own a “smart card” after his name and national number are registered”! This could allow agents to largely manipulate what happens to this amount.

Without mentioning how many of them are available, al-Naddaf talked about “increasing the number of electronic car readers in bakeries,” amid information that Damascus would need 1,000 devices while only 100 are available. This will lead to large crowds in front of areas that do have the card reader, knowing that each device costs more than 450,000 Syrian pounds.

Prices higher than the rest of the world

An economic expert who spoke with Asharq Al-Awsat and preferred to remain anonymous, indicated that “there is a chance that the decision could be preparatory to ending the subsidy on bread altogether.”

He pointed out that “similar scenarios had happened with other subsidized commodities such as gas, oil and fuel, where they were rationed and then their prices spiked to become higher than in the international market. A kilogram of sugar in the international markets is less than 20 US cents, equivalent to 220 Syrian pounds, whereas in Syria it currently costs 600 pounds!”

Before 2011, Syria used to produce millions of tons of wheat every year and could export 1.5 million tons. An international report estimated that the production of wheat last year was only around 1.2 million tons, the lowest number in 29 years, while some sources indicate that it had only received 500,000 tons and that production may drop even further in 2020.



What Might Happen in Israel’s Parliamentary Dissolution Vote?

Israeli opposition leader Yair Lapid takes part in a demonstration against Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his nationalist coalition government's judicial overhaul, in Tel Aviv, Israel June 17, 2023. (Reuters)
Israeli opposition leader Yair Lapid takes part in a demonstration against Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his nationalist coalition government's judicial overhaul, in Tel Aviv, Israel June 17, 2023. (Reuters)
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What Might Happen in Israel’s Parliamentary Dissolution Vote?

Israeli opposition leader Yair Lapid takes part in a demonstration against Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his nationalist coalition government's judicial overhaul, in Tel Aviv, Israel June 17, 2023. (Reuters)
Israeli opposition leader Yair Lapid takes part in a demonstration against Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his nationalist coalition government's judicial overhaul, in Tel Aviv, Israel June 17, 2023. (Reuters)

Opposition party Yesh Atid has submitted a vote to dissolve the Israeli parliament, known as the Knesset, for June 11, amid rising tensions in the ruling right-wing coalition.

Here are some key facts about the Knesset, the procedure for a dissolution vote, which would lead to an election, and possible scenarios.

KNESSET COMPOSITION

Total seats: 120

Simple majority needed to pass the vote: 61

Current government majority: 8 seats

LEGISLATIVE PROCEDURE

The Yesh Atid motion faces four votes with an absolute majority of the Knesset required in the final stretch to become law, thereby bringing a premature end to the legislature and triggering an election, which must be held within five months of the motion passing.

In practice, if the initial vote passes, the subsequent stages could occur all the same day or take months.

OPPOSITION STRATEGY

A bill to dissolve parliament will only be brought to a vote if Yesh Atid is confident of securing a majority. If not, it can withdraw the motion anytime before June 11, preventing a vote.

ALTERNATIVE SCENARIOS

Ultra-Orthodox coalition parties could decide to leave the government to protest at its failure to put forward a law granting exemption from military service to ultra-Orthodox men. At the same time, they might refuse to vote for dissolution of parliament, allowing a minority government to continue.

COALITION NUMBERS

The coalition led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has a majority of around 68 seats in parliament, though its size has fluctuated due to internal political shifts.

The two coalition ultra-Orthodox parties, United Torah Judaism and Shas, hold 18 seats collectively. If they united with the opposition, they would have enough votes to dissolve parliament and trigger early elections a year ahead of schedule.