Algeria Refuses to Borrow from IMF to Ease Financial Crisis

A vendor wearing a protective face mask serves customers inside his shop, ahead of the holy month of Ramadan, amid concerns over the coronavirus, in Algiers, Algeria. (Reuters)
A vendor wearing a protective face mask serves customers inside his shop, ahead of the holy month of Ramadan, amid concerns over the coronavirus, in Algiers, Algeria. (Reuters)
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Algeria Refuses to Borrow from IMF to Ease Financial Crisis

A vendor wearing a protective face mask serves customers inside his shop, ahead of the holy month of Ramadan, amid concerns over the coronavirus, in Algiers, Algeria. (Reuters)
A vendor wearing a protective face mask serves customers inside his shop, ahead of the holy month of Ramadan, amid concerns over the coronavirus, in Algiers, Algeria. (Reuters)

Algerian President Abdelmadjid Tebboune has declared his country will not approach the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for loans, despite a financial crisis triggered by a collapse in global oil prices and coronavirus lockdowns.

“Accumulating debt harms national sovereignty,” Tebboune told reporters in a meeting with Algerian media, broadcast late Friday.

Algeria fell into heavy debt with the IMF during the 1990s, an episode Tebboune referenced in his address.

Algeria is heavily dependent on oil production, which generates over 90 percent of its export receipts.

A collapse in hydrocarbon prices this year – caused by plunging demand due to societal lockdowns designed to combat the spread of coronavirus, and exacerbated by a brief price war between key players Russia and Saudi Arabia – is putting even greater pressure on Algeria's external accounts.

Even before this year’s crisis took hold, Algeria’s foreign exchange reserves had fallen to $62 billion at the end of 2019, from $180 billion in 2014.

But Tebboune stressed he prefers “to borrow from Algerian citizens, rather than the IMF or the World Bank.”

He also expressed reluctance to borrowing from foreign banks, saying that doing so prevented Algeria from making its position clear on issues including the fate of the Palestinian cause and Western Sahara.

Tebboune also said that several “friendly” nations had offered loans, which had been declined for the time being. he did not name these countries.

He ruled out relying on extra printing of the local currency by the central bank, noting that this could cause inflation.

Tebboune also revealed plans to develop new natural resources, including uranium, gold and phosphate, with the help of foreign investors, after the end of the health crisis caused by the novel coronavirus.

“The novel coronavirus has frozen several plans and projects. But they will be launched after the health crisis is overcome,” he said.

A sharp fall in oil and gas revenue in recent years has deepened the country’s financial problems, widening the budget and trade deficits.

Algeria still relies heavily on energy earnings despite previous announcements that it would carry out reforms and develop the non-hydrocarbon sector.

The coronavirus outbreak has worsened the economic situation with energy earnings dropping further, forcing the government to cut spending and planned investment for 2020.

“We are determined to develop our agriculture and reduce significantly the value of purchases from abroad,” Tebboune stressed.

Elected in December 2019 after mass protests demanding political and economic reforms and the removal of the ruling elite, Tebboune has vowed to open up the economy and amend the constitution to give a greater role to parliament.

“A political change will take place and strong institutions will be created,” Tebboune said, referring to demands by the protest movement known as Hirak.

The government has decided to postpone loan payments for state and private firms financially hit by the coronavirus, and Tebboune said more measures would be taken to benefit companies and the self-employed.

“Losses of firms are being assessed. We are ready to provide financial support. Even self-employed people such as taxi drivers and hairdressers will be helped,” he said.



Saudi Transport, Logistics Sector Set for 10% Growth in Q2

An investor monitors a trading screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh. (AFP)
An investor monitors a trading screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh. (AFP)
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Saudi Transport, Logistics Sector Set for 10% Growth in Q2

An investor monitors a trading screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh. (AFP)
An investor monitors a trading screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh. (AFP)

As Saudi companies start reporting their Q2 financial results, experts are optimistic about the transport and logistics sector. They expect a 10% annual growth, with total net profits reaching around SAR 900 million ($240 million), driven by tourism and an economic corridor project.

In Q1, the seven listed transport and logistics companies in Saudi Arabia showed positive results, with combined profits increasing by 5.8% to SAR 818.7 million ($218 million) compared to the previous year.

Four companies reported profit growth, while three saw declines, including two with losses, according to Arbah Capital.

Al Rajhi Capital projects significant gains for Q2 compared to last year: Lumi Rental’s profits are expected to rise by 31% to SAR 65 million, SAL’s by 76% to SAR 192 million, and Theeb’s by 23% to SAR 37 million.

On the other hand, Aljazira Capital predicts a 13% decrease in Lumi Rental’s net profit to SAR 43 million, despite a 44% rise in revenue. This is due to higher operational costs post-IPO.

SAL’s annual profit is expected to grow by 76% to SAR 191.6 million, driven by a 29% increase in revenue and higher profit margins.

Aljazira Capital also expects a 2.8% drop in the sector’s net profit from Q1 due to lower profits for SAL and Seera, caused by reduced revenue and profit margins.

Mohammad Al Farraj, Head of Asset Management at Arbah Capital, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the sector’s continued profit growth is supported by seasonal factors like summer travel and higher demand for transport services.

He predicts Q2 profits will reach around SAR 900 million ($240 million), up 10% from Q1.

Al Farraj highlighted that the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC), linking India with the GCC and Europe, is expected to boost sector growth by improving trade and transport connections.

However, he warned that companies may still face challenges, including rising costs and workforce shortages.