Arab Economies Incurred $1.2 Trillion Losses Due to Coronavirus

 Shoppers are seen in an aisle with subsidized vegetable oils at a government outlet in Cairo, Egypt August 29, 2017. REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany
Shoppers are seen in an aisle with subsidized vegetable oils at a government outlet in Cairo, Egypt August 29, 2017. REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany
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Arab Economies Incurred $1.2 Trillion Losses Due to Coronavirus

 Shoppers are seen in an aisle with subsidized vegetable oils at a government outlet in Cairo, Egypt August 29, 2017. REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany
Shoppers are seen in an aisle with subsidized vegetable oils at a government outlet in Cairo, Egypt August 29, 2017. REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany

The novel coronavirus pandemic had a harsh economic impact on the Arab economy, with total losses so far amounting to about $1.2 trillion, amid expectations that some 7.1 million workers will lose their jobs.

Those numbers were emphasized in a report issued by the Arab League, which called for the establishment of a crisis fund that could alleviate the repercussions of the force majeure.

The report, which was prepared by the League’s economic affairs department, shed light on the short and long term repercussions of the virus and their impact on the sectors of health, agriculture, food and development

The report detailed the losses as follows: $420 billion in market capital, $63 billion in the GDP of member countries, additional debts of $220 billion, and a daily loss of $550 million in oil revenues, in addition to a decline in exports of $28 billion, more than $2 billion in tariff revenues and loss of about 7.1 million jobs in 2020

The report said that, according to a preliminary evaluation conducted by the International Labor Organization (ILO), the COVID-19 pandemic will have a major impact on labor markets around the world with the soaring unemployment rate.

It added that the health care and food security sectors would be affected the most by the crisis, as well as the industries of oil, tourism and air transport.

The report examined the short-term repercussions in the Arab world, stating: “Although the situation in the Arab countries is much better compared to the United States, the European Union and China, most countries resorted to precautionary measures to contain the virus… leading to huge losses in the aviation and tourism sectors and the loss of about one million employments and hundreds of thousands of seasonal jobs, in addition to the sharp decline in oil prices.”

The report presented a number of proposals, including the establishment of an Arab fund for crises and reviewing the requirements for providing financial support to member-states, by setting more flexible temporary conditions, and postponing outstanding installments during this exceptional period.



Oil Edges Up ahead of US Fed Rate Decision, 2025 Outlook

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
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Oil Edges Up ahead of US Fed Rate Decision, 2025 Outlook

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil edged up on Wednesday as a drop in US crude inventories offered some support, although investors stayed cautious ahead of a potential interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve and its projections for 2025.

Brent futures rose 53 cents, or 0.7%, to $73.72 a barrel at 1436 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude climbed 54 cents, or 0.8%, to $70.62.

The Fed is expected to cut rates by a quarter point, but to signal a cautious approach to loosening monetary policy next year.

"A quarter-point cut itself is unlikely to shake markets much. Investors may focus more on hints and clues on how likely a January pause is, as well as on how many rate cuts policymakers are contemplating throughout 2025," said Charalampos Pissouros, senior investment analyst at brokerage XM, Reuters reported.

The US central bank will release its policy statement at 2 p.m. ET (1900 GMT), followed by remarks from Chair Jerome Powell.

Lower rates decrease borrowing costs, which can boost economic growth and demand for oil.

"Oil prices ought to see more of a reaction to the crude inventory draw seen in the API data overnight... however, such is the diverting power of central bank rate decisions that investors in all of the trading mediums are taking a very light touch to proceedings" said John Evans, analyst with oil broker PVM.

In the US, American Petroleum Institute data on Tuesday showed that crude stocks fell by 4.69 million barrels in the week ended Dec. 13, a source said. Gasoline inventories rose by 2.45 million barrels, and distillate stocks rose by 744,000 barrels, according to the source.

Analysts projected US energy firms pulled about 1.6 million barrels of crude from storage during the week ended Dec. 13, according to a Reuters poll on Tuesday.

The US Energy Information Administration will release its oil storage data on Wednesday.

"Trade war fears and uncertainty on how aggressively the US Fed will cut interest rates next year is likely capping the upside for now," UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said.