International Concerns over South Sudan’s Kiir, Machar Disagreement Leading to War

Women and children wait to be registered to a food distribution of the World Food Programme, South Sudan (File photo: Reuters)
Women and children wait to be registered to a food distribution of the World Food Programme, South Sudan (File photo: Reuters)
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International Concerns over South Sudan’s Kiir, Machar Disagreement Leading to War

Women and children wait to be registered to a food distribution of the World Food Programme, South Sudan (File photo: Reuters)
Women and children wait to be registered to a food distribution of the World Food Programme, South Sudan (File photo: Reuters)

The international and regional community fear war will erupt again in South Sudan, following escalations between President Salva Kiir Mayardit and Vice President Riek Machar who disagreed on how to share regional states between them, despite the outbreak of COVID-19 pandemic.

In 2018, South Sudan ended five years of civil war over Mayardit - Machar power sharing struggle, which later became an ethnic war between both their tribes that killed and displaced thousands.

The president’s office announced that a meeting concluded the leadership of six of the 10 states would go to Kiir’s side, three would go to Machar’s side and one would go to an alliance aligned with neither Kiir nor Machar.

The Sudan People's Liberation Movement (SPLM-IO), led by Machar, rejected the presidency’s decision to allocate states, indicating it was not taken by consensus.

“It does not take into consideration the relative prominence each party has in each of the respective states or counties.”

Machar issued a statement, of which Asharq Al-Awsat received a copy, indicating that the decision issued by the President’s office did not take into account “parties’ domination in every state or province.”

Machar explained that SPLM-IO is very popular in Upper Nile State, and the government or the coalition of parties known as ‘Sawa’ do not have the right to control the state, referring to an article in the peace agreement calling for taking into account the popularity of the parties when sharing power in the states.

Machar asked the heads of state group of the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) and its envoy in Juba to intervene to resolve the issue as soon as possible.

For its part, the group of other political parties strongly rejected the presidential decision regarding power-sharing in the states and considered it a clear violation of the peace agreement.

They threatened to withdraw from the transitional government and said, in a statement, that they were given 8 percent of the states which means they are trying to exclude them

A senior analyst with Brussels-based think tank International Crisis Group, Alan Boswell, said the disagreement between Kiir and Machar endangered the gains made so far toward a lasting peace.

“South Sudan’s new unity government is facing its biggest crisis yet, as negotiations broke down on how to share power in state and local governments across the country,” he said in a statement.

Boswell stressed that despite the attention of South Sudan’s international partners on the COVID-19 pandemic, quick action from regional leaders will be key so that this latest power squabbling doesn’t escalate.

South Sudan’s civil war claimed the lives of 400,000, triggered a famine and created Africa’s biggest refugee crisis since the 1994 genocide in Rwanda.

Meanwhile, the United Nations Panel of Experts on South Sudan warned that the country’s revitalized peace deal is in jeopardy because the unity government’s partners are bickering over security control and resources.

The panel accused former government and opposition military leaders of forcefully recruiting children to boost the size of their forces.

The power of National Security Service agents remains unchecked and has been expanded to silence political and civic dissent, according to the panel.

It said security operatives continue to arbitrarily arrest, detain, and torture civilians in a prison near the Nile.

The report also accused both the government and the opposition of committing violations against human rights in central equatorial regions.

It also reported several incidents of looting and burning of civilian properties on an ethnic basis, and continued saying: “There are hotbeds of corruption and misuse of state funds, and that undermines political and security reforms.”



Trump Pauses Tariffs on Most Nations for 90 Days, Raises Taxes on Chinese Imports

A crane lifts an imports container from the cargo ship Epaminondas while it is docked at the Port of Baltimore, Wednesday, April 9, 2025, in Baltimore. (AP)
A crane lifts an imports container from the cargo ship Epaminondas while it is docked at the Port of Baltimore, Wednesday, April 9, 2025, in Baltimore. (AP)
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Trump Pauses Tariffs on Most Nations for 90 Days, Raises Taxes on Chinese Imports

A crane lifts an imports container from the cargo ship Epaminondas while it is docked at the Port of Baltimore, Wednesday, April 9, 2025, in Baltimore. (AP)
A crane lifts an imports container from the cargo ship Epaminondas while it is docked at the Port of Baltimore, Wednesday, April 9, 2025, in Baltimore. (AP)

Facing a global market meltdown, President Donald Trump on Wednesday abruptly backed down on his tariffs on most nations for 90 days, but raised the tax rate on Chinese imports to 125%.

It was seemingly an attempt to narrow what had been an unprecedented trade war between the US and most of the world to a showdown between the US and China. The S&P 500 stock index jumped nearly 7% after the announcement, but the precise details of Trump's plans to ease tariffs on non-China trade partners were not immediately clear.

Trump posted on Truth Social that because "more than 75 Countries" had reached out to the US government for trade talks and have not retaliated in meaningful way "I have authorized a 90 day PAUSE, and a substantially lowered Reciprocal Tariff during this period, of 10%, also effective immediately."

The 10% tariff was the baseline rate for most nations that went into effect on Saturday. It's meaningfully lower than the 20% tariff that Trump had set for goods from the European Union, 24% on imports from Japan and 25% on products from South Korea. Still, 10% would represent an increase in the tariffs previously charged by the US government.

The announcement came after the global economy appeared to be in open rebellion against Trump's tariffs as they took effect Wednesday, a signal that the US president was not immune from market pressures.

Business executives were warning of a potential recession caused by his policies, some of the top US trading partners are retaliating with their own import taxes and the stock market is quivering after days of decline.

White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said the walk back was part of some grand negotiating strategy by Trump.

"President Trump created maximum negotiating leverage for himself," she said, adding that the news media "clearly failed to see what President Trump is doing here. You tried to say that the rest of the world would be moved closer to China, when in fact, we’ve seen the opposite effect the entire world is calling the United States of America, not China, because they need our markets."

But market pressures had been building for weeks ahead of Trump's move.

Particularly worrisome was that US government debt had lost some of its luster with investors, who usually treat Treasury notes as a safe haven when there's economic turbulence. Government bond prices had been falling, pushing up the interest rate on the 10-year US Treasury note to 4.45%. That rate eased after Trump's reversal.

Gennadiy Goldberg, head of US rates strategy at TD Securities, said before the announcement that markets wanted to see a truce in the trade disputes.

"Markets more broadly, not just the Treasury market, are looking for signs that a trade de-escalation is coming," he said. "Absent any de-escalation, it’s going to be difficult for markets to stabilize."

John Canavan, lead analyst at the consultancy Oxford Economics, noted that while Trump said he changed course due to possible negotiations, he had previously indicated that the tariffs would stay in place.

"There have been very mixed messages on whether there would be negotiations," Canavan said. "Given what's been going on with the markets, he realized the safest thing to do is negotiate and put things on pause."

Presidents often receive undue credit or blame for the state of the US economy as their time in the White House is subject to financial and geopolitical forces beyond their direct control.

But by unilaterally imposing tariffs, Trump is exerting extraordinary influence over the flow of commerce, creating political risks and pulling the market in different directions based on his remarks and social media posts. There still appears to be 25% tariffs on autos, steel and aluminum, with more imports set to be tariffed in the weeks ahead.

On CNBC, Delta Air Lines CEO Ed Bastian said the administration was being less strategic than it was during Trump's first term. His company had in January projected it would have its best financial year in history, only to scrap its expectations for 2025 due to the economic uncertainty.

"Trying to do it all at the same time has created chaos in terms of being able to make plans," he said, noting that demand for air travel has weakened.

Before Trump's reversal, economic forecasters say his second term has had a series of negative and cascading impacts that could put the country into a downturn.

"Simultaneous shocks to consumer sentiment, corporate confidence, trade, financial markets as well as to prices, new orders and the labor market will tip the economy into recession in the current quarter," said Joe Brusuelas, chief economist at the consultancy RSM.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has previously said it could take months to strike deals with countries on tariff rates, and the administration has not been clear on whether the baseline 10% tariffs imposed on most countries will stay in place. But in an appearance on "Mornings with Maria," Bessent said the economy would "be back to firing on all cylinders" at a point in the "not too distant future."

He said there has been an "overwhelming" response by "the countries who want to come and sit at the table rather than escalate." Bessent mentioned Japan, South Korea, and India. "I will note that they are all around China. We have Vietnam coming today," he said.

What's not yet known is what Trump does with the rest of his tariff agenda. In a Tuesday night speech, he said taxes on imported drugs would happen soon.