International Concerns over South Sudan’s Kiir, Machar Disagreement Leading to War

Women and children wait to be registered to a food distribution of the World Food Programme, South Sudan (File photo: Reuters)
Women and children wait to be registered to a food distribution of the World Food Programme, South Sudan (File photo: Reuters)
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International Concerns over South Sudan’s Kiir, Machar Disagreement Leading to War

Women and children wait to be registered to a food distribution of the World Food Programme, South Sudan (File photo: Reuters)
Women and children wait to be registered to a food distribution of the World Food Programme, South Sudan (File photo: Reuters)

The international and regional community fear war will erupt again in South Sudan, following escalations between President Salva Kiir Mayardit and Vice President Riek Machar who disagreed on how to share regional states between them, despite the outbreak of COVID-19 pandemic.

In 2018, South Sudan ended five years of civil war over Mayardit - Machar power sharing struggle, which later became an ethnic war between both their tribes that killed and displaced thousands.

The president’s office announced that a meeting concluded the leadership of six of the 10 states would go to Kiir’s side, three would go to Machar’s side and one would go to an alliance aligned with neither Kiir nor Machar.

The Sudan People's Liberation Movement (SPLM-IO), led by Machar, rejected the presidency’s decision to allocate states, indicating it was not taken by consensus.

“It does not take into consideration the relative prominence each party has in each of the respective states or counties.”

Machar issued a statement, of which Asharq Al-Awsat received a copy, indicating that the decision issued by the President’s office did not take into account “parties’ domination in every state or province.”

Machar explained that SPLM-IO is very popular in Upper Nile State, and the government or the coalition of parties known as ‘Sawa’ do not have the right to control the state, referring to an article in the peace agreement calling for taking into account the popularity of the parties when sharing power in the states.

Machar asked the heads of state group of the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) and its envoy in Juba to intervene to resolve the issue as soon as possible.

For its part, the group of other political parties strongly rejected the presidential decision regarding power-sharing in the states and considered it a clear violation of the peace agreement.

They threatened to withdraw from the transitional government and said, in a statement, that they were given 8 percent of the states which means they are trying to exclude them

A senior analyst with Brussels-based think tank International Crisis Group, Alan Boswell, said the disagreement between Kiir and Machar endangered the gains made so far toward a lasting peace.

“South Sudan’s new unity government is facing its biggest crisis yet, as negotiations broke down on how to share power in state and local governments across the country,” he said in a statement.

Boswell stressed that despite the attention of South Sudan’s international partners on the COVID-19 pandemic, quick action from regional leaders will be key so that this latest power squabbling doesn’t escalate.

South Sudan’s civil war claimed the lives of 400,000, triggered a famine and created Africa’s biggest refugee crisis since the 1994 genocide in Rwanda.

Meanwhile, the United Nations Panel of Experts on South Sudan warned that the country’s revitalized peace deal is in jeopardy because the unity government’s partners are bickering over security control and resources.

The panel accused former government and opposition military leaders of forcefully recruiting children to boost the size of their forces.

The power of National Security Service agents remains unchecked and has been expanded to silence political and civic dissent, according to the panel.

It said security operatives continue to arbitrarily arrest, detain, and torture civilians in a prison near the Nile.

The report also accused both the government and the opposition of committing violations against human rights in central equatorial regions.

It also reported several incidents of looting and burning of civilian properties on an ethnic basis, and continued saying: “There are hotbeds of corruption and misuse of state funds, and that undermines political and security reforms.”



The Scale of Afghans Returning from Iran is Overwhelming, Says UN Official

Afghan refugees who returned after fleeing Iran to escape deportation and conflict arrive at a UNHCR facility near the Islam Qala crossing in western Herat province, Afghanistan, on Friday, June 20, 2025. (AP Photo/Omid Haqjoo)
Afghan refugees who returned after fleeing Iran to escape deportation and conflict arrive at a UNHCR facility near the Islam Qala crossing in western Herat province, Afghanistan, on Friday, June 20, 2025. (AP Photo/Omid Haqjoo)
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The Scale of Afghans Returning from Iran is Overwhelming, Says UN Official

Afghan refugees who returned after fleeing Iran to escape deportation and conflict arrive at a UNHCR facility near the Islam Qala crossing in western Herat province, Afghanistan, on Friday, June 20, 2025. (AP Photo/Omid Haqjoo)
Afghan refugees who returned after fleeing Iran to escape deportation and conflict arrive at a UNHCR facility near the Islam Qala crossing in western Herat province, Afghanistan, on Friday, June 20, 2025. (AP Photo/Omid Haqjoo)

The pace and scale of Afghans returning from Iran are overwhelming already fragile support systems, a senior UN official warned Tuesday, with tens of thousands of people crossing the border daily exhausted and traumatized, relying on humanitarian aid.

So far this year, more than 1.4 million people have returned or been forced to return to Afghanistan, including over 1 million from Iran.

Iran and Pakistan in 2023 launched separate campaigns to expel foreigners they said were living in the country illegally. They set deadlines and threatened them with deportation if they didn’t leave. The two governments deny targeting Afghans, who have fled their homeland over the decades to escape war, poverty or Taliban rule, The AP news reported.

The UN special representative for Afghanistan, Roza Otunbayeva, called for immediate international support for Afghanistan following a visit to the Islam Qala border crossing in western Herat province near Iran.

The “sheer volume of returns —many abrupt, many involuntary,” should be setting off alarm bells across the global community, Otunbayeva said.

“Without swift interventions, remittance losses, labor market pressures and cyclical migration will lead to devastating consequences such as the further destabilization of both returnee and host populations, renewed displacement, mass onward movement, and risks to regional stability,” she said.

Returns from Iran peaked in June following a 20 March government deadline requiring all “undocumented” Afghans to leave. The UN migration agency recorded more than 28,000 people crossing back into Afghanistan on June 25.

Afghanistan is a ‘forgotten crisis’ Most Afghans depend on humanitarian assistance to survive. But deep funding cuts are worsening the situation, with aid agencies and nongovernmental organizations forced to cut education and health care programs.

Nicole van Batenburg, from the International Federation of the Red Cross, said Afghan children returning from Iran are developing scabies, fever and other illnesses because of deteriorating conditions at the border and the hot weather. Her colleagues were reuniting hundreds of children daily who got separated from their parents.

People lost their belongings and documents in the chaos of hasty exits. Most were only able to take a few suitcases with them, and some were now using their luggage as makeshift furniture.

“Afghanistan is an unseen crisis, and there are so many crises going on at this moment in the world that it seems to be forgotten,” van Batenburg told The Associated Press by phone from the border.

“The problems and the challenges are immense. We’re only talking about the situation here at the border, but these people have to return to some areas where they can live longer and where they can rebuild their lives.”

Last week, the Norwegian Refugee Council said many of its staff were hosting returning families in their homes. Authorities were doing their best to mobilize the few resources they had, but local systems were not equipped to cope with “such tremendous” needs.