Syria: Local Currency Devaluation Exacerbates Sufferings In Damascus

Souvenir mugs featuring Syria’s President Bashar al-Assad, Russia’s President Vladimir Putin and Lebanon's Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah are seen among other items for sale in old Damascus, Syria, February 8, 2016. REUTERS/Omar Sanadiki
Souvenir mugs featuring Syria’s President Bashar al-Assad, Russia’s President Vladimir Putin and Lebanon's Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah are seen among other items for sale in old Damascus, Syria, February 8, 2016. REUTERS/Omar Sanadiki
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Syria: Local Currency Devaluation Exacerbates Sufferings In Damascus

Souvenir mugs featuring Syria’s President Bashar al-Assad, Russia’s President Vladimir Putin and Lebanon's Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah are seen among other items for sale in old Damascus, Syria, February 8, 2016. REUTERS/Omar Sanadiki
Souvenir mugs featuring Syria’s President Bashar al-Assad, Russia’s President Vladimir Putin and Lebanon's Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah are seen among other items for sale in old Damascus, Syria, February 8, 2016. REUTERS/Omar Sanadiki

The rise in the exchange rate of the US dollar against the Syrian pound has exacerbated the suffering of the people of Damascus. Recent tension erupted between Rami Makhlouf, who for decades had the country’s most prominent economic pillars, and the government who asked the businessman to pay about $180 million. As a result, the lira lost about 35 percent of its value, as the exchange rate fell against the dollar from 1200 to 1600 after it was 46 liras back in 2011.

The Syrian regime has ordered a series of measures against Makhlouf’s companies, including the Association, and his shares in the state-owned Syrian Telecom Company (Syriatel), the country’s biggest mobile phone company.

The government’s Telecommunications and Postal Regulatory Authority informed two of Makhlouf’s companies, “Syriatel” and “MTN” mobile phone to pay about 234 billion Syrian pounds to the state treasury as a penalty.

Official media quoted a Syrian economic researcher as saying that the amendment of the contracts with the two mobile companies has caused the loss of more than 338 billion pounds (482 million dollars) to the treasury.

Economists told Asharq Al-Awsat that the crisis between the government and Makhlouf had been silent for a year, but that the new conflict emerged in light of “the government’s urgent need for the dollar,” which was reflected in a terrible rise in food prices in the capital.

The World Food Program estimated that food prices rose by 107% in one year.

In parallel, the Ministry of Oil stopped, on Sunday, supplying vehicles with subsidized gasoline, in a new austerity measure that reflects the exacerbation of the economic and financial crisis.

The decision sparked criticism on social media and on the street, while government officials blamed the fuel crisis on economic sanctions imposed by several Arab and Western countries, which prevented the arrival of oil tankers.

The US sanctions against Tehran have aggravated the fuel crisis in Syria, which depends on a credit line that links it to Iran to secure its fuel.

Meanwhile, the government and the central bank have demonstrated a great inability to find solutions to the economic crisis and to control the exchange rate. Instead, they stood idle at the fastest deterioration of the value of the lira without taking any proper action.

“Our government does not have the needed dollars and is barely managing to bring in wheat, sugar and rice,” An economic expert told Asharq Al-Awsat.

“Unless the government demonstrates great flexibility in the international conflict taking place over the Syrian file, the economic situation in the country is heading towards a further deterioration,” he added.



Kurdish-Turkish Settlement: Shaping a New Middle East

Tulay Hatimogulları speaks at a press conference. Asharq Al-Awsat file photo
Tulay Hatimogulları speaks at a press conference. Asharq Al-Awsat file photo
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Kurdish-Turkish Settlement: Shaping a New Middle East

Tulay Hatimogulları speaks at a press conference. Asharq Al-Awsat file photo
Tulay Hatimogulları speaks at a press conference. Asharq Al-Awsat file photo

A string of pivotal developments in recent months has forged new and unprecedented dynamics - mainly related to the Kurdish cause - across the region.

The collapse of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad’s regime on December 8 shifted the calculations of the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), pushing them to break their isolation from Iraqi Kurdish factions.

Simultaneously, an overture by Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) leader Abdullah Ocalan, who called for the disarmament of his group, opened communication channels between Türkiye’s Kurds and their counterparts in Iraq and Syria.

At the heart of this political transformation is Tulay Hatimogulları, co-chair of the pro-Kurdish Peoples’ Equality and Democracy Party (DEM). A leftist Turkish politician of Arab Alawite origin, she embodies the complex identities of the Levant and its interconnected communities.

With her modest charisma and approachable style, Hatimogulları rarely turns down a request for a photo or a chat from her Kurdish supporters. An Asharq Al-Awsat correspondent met her in Diyarbakir—known to Kurds as Amed—shortly after her arrival from Ankara.

She was quick to tell them, in fluent Arabic, that she hails from Iskenderun, a region that was part of the autonomous Syrian district of Alexandretta under French control from 1921 until its controversial annexation by Türkiye in 1939, following a disputed referendum and the displacement of many of its original inhabitants.

Hatimogulları comes from a family of Arab Alawites who remained in the area. Today, she stands out as one of the few Turkish politicians capable of mediating between Ankara and the PKK at what many view as a potentially historic moment.

On February 27, Ocalan, who is serving a life sentence in the island prison of İmralı in the Sea of Marmara, issued a call for the PKK to lay down its arms and disband. His message was relayed by DEM party representatives who met him in prison. Ocalan was captured by Turkish special forces in Kenya in February 1999, and since then, most PKK fighters have been based in the mountainous regions of northern Iraq.

Ocalan’s call came after a statement last October by Devlet Bahçeli, leader of the far-right Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) and a key ally of the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) in Türkiye’s parliament. Bahçeli proposed a deal to free Ocalan in exchange for the PKK’s cessation of its insurgency.

Hatimogulları, speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat, explained that “with the PKK’s announcement of plans to hold a disarmament conference, it is essential that military operations and airstrikes cease. Additionally, the necessary technical and logistical infrastructure must be established to enable direct communication between Ocalan and the PKK.”

The potential developments between Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Ocalan could have significant repercussions across the Middle East, with signs of these effects already beginning to emerge.

Both Masoud Barzani, leader of the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP), and Nechirvan Barzani, President of the Kurdistan Region of Iraq, sent representatives to attend Nowruz celebrations in Amed (Diyarbakir).

During their visit, they met with officials from the Peoples’ Equality and Democracy Party (HDP). In turn, the HDP sent representatives to the Kurdistan Region of Iraq in February to discuss the peace initiative. There, they held talks with officials from the Barzani-led KDP and the leader of the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK), BafelTalabani.