VAT Increase to Support Fiscal Imbalance, Preserve Reserves in Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia embarked on the implementation of the amended VAT at the beginning of July, Asharq Al-Awsat
Saudi Arabia embarked on the implementation of the amended VAT at the beginning of July, Asharq Al-Awsat
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VAT Increase to Support Fiscal Imbalance, Preserve Reserves in Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia embarked on the implementation of the amended VAT at the beginning of July, Asharq Al-Awsat
Saudi Arabia embarked on the implementation of the amended VAT at the beginning of July, Asharq Al-Awsat

Saudi economists confirmed that Saudi Arabia’s move to increase its value-added tax (VAT) to 15 percent does not primarily aim at increasing state revenues, it is led by a deeper policy where it aims to achieve fiscal balance while maintaining reserves amid a drop in consumerism.

This will enable the Kingdom to provide needed services and sustain jobs.

Former Chief Counselor and Director General of Investment at the Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency Khalid Al-Sweilem said that the recently amended VAT is intended to support the fiscal imbalance between public revenues and expenditures caused by the negative impact of the coronavirus crisis.

“The Kingdom achieved advanced results compared to other countries in maintaining the citizens’ jobs in both public and private sectors, and the strength of its services, in healthcare and other fields,” Al-Sweilem said during a webinar to discuss the economic impact of the pandemic.

Al-Sweilem pointed out that delay in applying the controls does not achieve what is required in such a crisis, but may produce counterproductive results.

Current circumstances, according to the economist, show the importance of controlling financial policy and building adequate reserves to face crises, because it is not possible to develop sectors and diversify the economy without confirming control and sustaining fiscal policy in the long run.

According to Al-Sweilem, the Kingdom’s economy differs from some models in various advanced economies. The Saudi economy depends on oil and government spending, from this stems the importance of sustainability, financial stability and well-being of the citizen.
But Saudi Arabia can no longer base its financial and economic policies only on oil.

“You cannot trust the current prices because it doesn’t mean they will remain the same. We can’t base our future … on oil prices after what we just saw,” Abdullah Alrebdi, board member of Saudi Financial Association (SAFA), said.

Alrebdi was referring to the oil price war earlier this year after Russia walked away from a deal with OPEC and nine other oil exporters to curtail supplies.

In May, the Saudi government announced that it would raise value-added tax (VAT) from 5 percent to 15 percent starting from July 1.

Asked why the government does not lower the VAT again following the stabling of oil prices, Alrebdi said this was a long-term plan.

“The government is looking at 2021, 2022 and 2023 … and how to fund public salaries, maintenance and other services,” he said, adding that the VAT was “part of the solution, but not the solution.”



Oil Prices Reset as Supply Uncertainty Reigns

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
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Oil Prices Reset as Supply Uncertainty Reigns

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil lost early gains on Tuesday and prices were back near their previous close in the face of uncertainty over how supply will be affected by Ukraine-Russia peace talks, international trade tariffs and OPEC+ crude output.

Brent crude futures were up only 1 cent at $75.23 per barrel by 1242 GMT, retreating from $76.07 earlier in the session.

US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were up 51 cents from Friday's close to $71.25 a barrel. There was no settlement for WTI on Monday because of the US Presidents' Day holiday, Reuters reported.

"Each rally seems to find willing sellers, whether or not it is because of neighbouring technical numbers that keep movement trapped or notions of a war settlement topped with tariffs is hard to tell," said John Evans of oil broker PVM.

"Day trading and short-term flows are ruling the fate of oil prices at present."

US and Russian officials held more than four hours of talks in Riyadh on Tuesday, their first on ending the war in Ukraine. But Moscow made a new demand: that NATO cancel its 2008 promise on Ukraine membership.

Ukraine was not at the talks and has said that no peace deals can be made on its behalf.

If a deal is reached, Washington and its allies could abandon sanctions throttling the supply of Russian oil to the world.

Oil prices were bolstered on Tuesday by a Ukrainian drone attack on a Russian pipeline that pumps about 1% of global crude supply.

The damage could reduce oil transit volumes from Kazakhstan by about 30% and take up to two months to repair, Russian oil transport company Transneft said.

Another question hanging over oil markets is whether OPEC+ is considering a delay to monthly supply increases scheduled in April.

Russian state media said the group's members were not looking to hold off from the increases after Bloomberg News reported that OPEC+ members were exploring a possible delay.