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Saudi Arabia Confirms Indicators of Economic Recovery

Tourism is one of the most important incentives for economic recovery in Saudi Arabia, Asharq Al-Awsat
Tourism is one of the most important incentives for economic recovery in Saudi Arabia, Asharq Al-Awsat
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Saudi Arabia Confirms Indicators of Economic Recovery

Tourism is one of the most important incentives for economic recovery in Saudi Arabia, Asharq Al-Awsat
Tourism is one of the most important incentives for economic recovery in Saudi Arabia, Asharq Al-Awsat

Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al Jadaan revealed that the Saudi economy has witnessed recovery indications as of current July supported by economic openness and the return to normalcy after the lifting of the coronavirus lockdown.

He confirmed that spending for the budget 2020 is ongoing with changes in earmarked funds according to stressing priorities.

Al Jadaan, during a meeting with Bloomberg on Wednesday, added that the data for the current month of July heralds an economic recovery in the Saudi Kingdom, but he went on to point out that “there is still a lot of uncertainty.”

He also stressed that the pace of the contraction of the Saudi economy will likely be less than 6.8%, which was the figure projected by the International Monetary Fund.

"The needs of the Saudi economy are being assessed, and we will provide the required support to ensure recovery," Al Jadaan said, noting that spending in the budget announced last December will likely remain unchanged until the end of the year, but with the financial reallocation of some sectors.

International debt investors are likely to be tapped by Saudi Arabia once again this year, Al Jadaan said, but no decision has been taken on the currency of the planned issuance.

Saudi Arabia, which has raised $12 billion from international bond issues this year, has increased local debt issuance significantly from its original plans, the minister said.

“A lot of factors work in our favor ... local and domestic tourism for example is picking up very nicely this month,” he said.

Saudi Arabia has planned a series of privatizations in recent years, including the initial public offering of state-owned oil giant Aramco, which took place last year.

“We’re looking at sectors that haven’t been targeted before for privatization,” Al Jadaan said, mentioning healthcare and education.
Asked how much revenue privatizations would generate, he said the sale of assets would generate more than 50 billion riyals in the next four to five years.

The prospects for economic recovery were brightened by some promising July data, though the pandemic makes for an uncertain outlook, he added.

Saudi Arabia tripled its value-added tax to 15% this month as part of efforts to bolster state coffers. Though Al Jadaan said there are no imminent plans to introduce an income tax, he added that nothing could be ruled out.

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Business

IEA: The Age of Electricity is Coming, We Will Still Use Oil and Natural Gas

FILE PHOTO: A view of the logo of the International Energy Agency in Paris, France, December 15, 2023. REUTERS/Sarah Meyssonnier/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view of the logo of the International Energy Agency in Paris, France, December 15, 2023. REUTERS/Sarah Meyssonnier/File Photo
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IEA: The Age of Electricity is Coming, We Will Still Use Oil and Natural Gas

FILE PHOTO: A view of the logo of the International Energy Agency in Paris, France, December 15, 2023. REUTERS/Sarah Meyssonnier/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view of the logo of the International Energy Agency in Paris, France, December 15, 2023. REUTERS/Sarah Meyssonnier/File Photo

The concentration of a small number of countries in clean energy supply chains is an emerging challenge for Southeast Asian countries, International Energy Agency Executive Director Fatih Birol said on Tuesday, amid fast-rising power demand in the region.

"The age of electricity is coming. We will still use oil, still use natural gas including LNG, but electricity demand is growing very strongly," Birol told delegates at the Singapore International Energy Week conference.

Birol did not identify the countries dominating clean energy supplies, but China is by far the largest global supplier of renewable energy equipment, from solar panels ⁠to wind turbines, electric ⁠vehicles and batteries.

Electricity demand in ASEAN countries is rising at twice the pace of overall energy consumption, driven by industrial electrification, air-conditioning needs, electric vehicles and data centers, he said.

Southeast Asian nations have emerged as key drivers of China's clean-energy export boom, splashing out over $20 billion on Chinese-made clean-tech products so far in 2026, according ⁠to energy think tank Ember.

Birol also warned that geopolitical tensions have become an increasingly dominant force in global energy markets.

"In my professional life, I have never, never ever seen the dark and long shadow of geopolitics dominating the energy sector in such a way," Reuters quoted him as saying. "I can only imagine that the role of geopolitics will be much more pronounced, and this means energy security is going to become even more important than it is today."

Birol said the Middle East war has triggered fundamental changes in global energy consumption patterns, ⁠spurring growth in ⁠solar, coal and nuclear power as well as electric vehicle adoption.

"I see in the last eight months very strong growth of electric car sales," he said, adding that global electric vehicle sales outside China had risen 60% above previous trends over the period because of the conflict.

Consumption of alternative energy sources has increased as diesel prices have jumped about 200% and LNG prices have risen 250% from pre-war levels, according to Birol.

He said on Monday at the same conference that he does not expect energy markets in 2027 to return to where they were before the US-Israeli war on Iran began.

Business

Cyprus Seals $1.8 Bn Deal to Develop First Commercial Gas Project

The Cypriot Cronos field in the Mediterranean is being developed by a joint venture between operator Eni and TotalEnergies (X)
The Cypriot Cronos field in the Mediterranean is being developed by a joint venture between operator Eni and TotalEnergies (X)
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Cyprus Seals $1.8 Bn Deal to Develop First Commercial Gas Project

The Cypriot Cronos field in the Mediterranean is being developed by a joint venture between operator Eni and TotalEnergies (X)
The Cypriot Cronos field in the Mediterranean is being developed by a joint venture between operator Eni and TotalEnergies (X)

Cyprus signed contracts worth $1.8 billion with Italian energy provider Eni on Monday to develop the Mediterranean island nation's first commercial gas project, with production slated for 2028 on the project in partnership with France's TotalEnergies.

European countries have stepped up efforts to use domestic energy resources with the Ukraine and Iran wars roiling global energy markets and supply in recent years.

The agreements to develop the field in Cyprus' exclusive economic zone cover engineering, construction, installation and drilling work, allowing natural gas to be transported to Egypt for processing and liquefaction before delivery mainly to European markets.

"Eni has signed the main engineering, procurement, construction and drilling contracts for the development of the Cronos Project, marking the start of the project's execution phase and a key milestone towards the monetization of Cyprus' first gas development," AFP quoted the Italian firm as saying in a statement.

"As Eni's first development project in Cyprus and the country's first hydrocarbon development, Cronos represents a strategic milestone."

Cypriot President Nikos Christodoulides in a statement hailed the agreement as a "decisive step towards exploiting our country's natural wealth.”

He said the contracts for the "first commercial exploitation of Cypriot natural gas" were worth up to $1.8 bn.

"It represents a strong vote of confidence in our country's energy prospects with significant geopolitical and economic implications," he added.

Cypriot Energy Minister Michalis Damianos said the project marked Cyprus' transition from offshore exploration and discoveries to developing and producing its gas reserves.

Kronos is estimated to contain more than three trillion cubic feet of natural gas.

Existing Egyptian infrastructure will be used, including facilities linked to the large Zohr gas field, with the gas to be liquefied at the Damietta terminal for export.

Using existing infrastructure is expected to reduce costs and accelerate the route to market, while deepening energy cooperation between Cyprus and Egypt.

"A regional value chain is being created that connects Cyprus's resources, Egypt's infrastructure and European demand," said Damianos.

Cyprus has discovered offshore gas but has not yet brought a field into commercial production.

Kronos is seen as a key test of its ability to turn those discoveries into exports.

Eni and Total hold the majority of exploration blocks -- seven of 13 south of the island -- licensed by the Cyprus government.

The eastern Mediterranean has become an energy hot spot, with significant natural gas finds off Israel and Egypt.

Business

HSBC Shares Tumble 6% after Third-quarter Revenue Disappoints, Wealth Growth Slows

People alight from a tram outside the HSBC bank headquarters in Hong Kong on October 27, 2026, ahead of the bank's third quarter results announcement. (Photo by Peter PARKS / AFP)
People alight from a tram outside the HSBC bank headquarters in Hong Kong on October 27, 2026, ahead of the bank's third quarter results announcement. (Photo by Peter PARKS / AFP)
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HSBC Shares Tumble 6% after Third-quarter Revenue Disappoints, Wealth Growth Slows

People alight from a tram outside the HSBC bank headquarters in Hong Kong on October 27, 2026, ahead of the bank's third quarter results announcement. (Photo by Peter PARKS / AFP)
People alight from a tram outside the HSBC bank headquarters in Hong Kong on October 27, 2026, ahead of the bank's third quarter results announcement. (Photo by Peter PARKS / AFP)

HSBC's shares slid 6% on Tuesday after revenue undershot estimates and growth at its wealth business slowed, highlighting the challenge big banks face to sustain recent record profits.

Europe's largest bank reported a 32% surge in pretax profit to $9.6 billion for the July-September quarter, in line with estimates. But investors and analysts focused on the lack of upgrades to the bank's performance guidance and underwhelming third-quarter revenue of $18.6 billion against forecasts for $19 billion.

The drop in the bank's shares underscores how recent strong results from European lenders have increased investor expectations for performance, even as the impact of the Iran war on inflation and interest rates has created a tough environment for banks. The shares remain up 9% for the year to ⁠date.

HSBC also launched ⁠a share buyback of up to $1 billion, the same amount as the previous quarter and a move that had boosted shares in previous reporting periods but is now largely expected by investors.

"There is sometimes a market expectation that we upgrade guidance or targets," CFO Pam Kaur told reporters on a conference call when asked about the share drop.

According to Reuters, analysts noted that the bank's net interest income slightly missed expectations, while fee income from its key wealth growth pillar was steady but ⁠unspectacular.

Escalating deposit competition in Hong Kong and the UK, HSBC's two core markets, are expected to push up interest expenses, they said. Time deposits in the bank's Hong Kong portfolio rose two percentage points quarter-on-quarter to 38%, but Jefferies analysts noted that the shift to chase higher deposits by offering higher interest rates is expected to erode margins.

Revenue for HSBC's wealth division was flat at $2.7 billion. That compared with 15% and 23% year-on-year revenue growth in the first two quarters.

The performance of HSBC's wealth business is under particular scrutiny because the British bank, like its peers, is focusing growth on fee-generating businesses such as wealth management as lending comes under pressure from falling interest rates.

Analysts warned that Asia-focused banks are bracing for a slowdown in wealth momentum ⁠following robust gains driven ⁠by Chinese capital inflows.

Kaur said on the call that China's tightening of wealth flows has prompted clients to shift from other banks in Hong Kong to HSBC.

"We picked up more business."

HSBC benefited from the absence of legal provisions booked in the same quarter a year earlier. It also said expected credit losses tumbled 17% to $800 million, thanks to a reduction in charges linked to Hong Kong's real estate sector as well as its UK and Mexican wealth businesses.

British banks' strong recent results have prompted calls from trade unions and activist groups for tax hikes on the sector in finance minister John Healey's first budget, due on Wednesday.

Bank bosses have lobbied hard to avoid such an increase in sector levies, arguing it would curb lending and make Britain less competitive.

HSBC announced an interim dividend of $0.1 per share, the same as the previous quarter.