Yuan Nears 7-Month High, on Track for 5th Week of Gains

Chinese 100 yuan banknotes are seen in this picture illustration taken July 11, 2013. REUTERS/Jason Lee/File Photo
Chinese 100 yuan banknotes are seen in this picture illustration taken July 11, 2013. REUTERS/Jason Lee/File Photo
TT
20

Yuan Nears 7-Month High, on Track for 5th Week of Gains

Chinese 100 yuan banknotes are seen in this picture illustration taken July 11, 2013. REUTERS/Jason Lee/File Photo
Chinese 100 yuan banknotes are seen in this picture illustration taken July 11, 2013. REUTERS/Jason Lee/File Photo

The yuan strengthened to a near seven-month high on Friday, after the US Federal Reserve's announced an aggressive new strategy to lift employment and increased tolerance for higher inflation, and was on track for its fifth weekly gain.

The Federal Reserve on Thursday rolled out a sweeping rewrite of its approach to its dual role of achieving maximum employment and stable prices, putting new weight on bolstering the US labor market and less on worries about too-high inflation.

The dollar held gains against major currencies on Friday after the Fed's inflation shift.

But the outlook for the greenback remains weak, which could bode well for yuan's stability or appreciation, analysts at Chinese investment bank CICC said in a note.

Prior to the market opening, the People's Bank of China set the midpoint at 6.8891 per dollar, firmer than the previous fix of 6.8903.

The onshore yuan opened at 6.8855 per dollar and rose to 6.8759 at one point, within a whisker of a seven-month high of 6.8744 hit the previous session. By midday, it was changing hands at 6.8778 at midday, 168 pips firmer than the previous late session close.

If the yuan finishes the late night session at the midday level, it would have gained 0.55% to the dollar for the week, its fifth weekly gain in a row.

A stronger yuan is better for China as it ramps up its purchases of US goods under the countries' Phase 1 trade deal, said Shen Xinfeng, chief macroanalyst at Northeast Securities.

Top US and Chinese trade officials this week reaffirmed their commitment to the agreement, which has seen China lagging on its obligations to buy American goods.

Shen said the yuan also is benefiting from China's economic recovery.

Profits at China's industrial firms grew for a third straight month in July and at the fastest pace since June 2018, marking a bright spot in the economy as the manufacturing sector recovers from the coronavirus slump.

There was muted reaction to the latest headlines on Sino-US military tensions.

The United States and China traded jibes as tensions grow between the world's two largest economies, with the US defense chief vowing not to "cede an inch" in the Pacific and China saying Washington was risking soldiers' lives.

The offshore yuan was trading 0.08 percent away from the onshore spot at 6.8722 per dollar.



Saudi Energy Minister: Two Billion People Worldwide Suffer from Energy Shortages

Saudi Minister of Energy Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman (OPEC website) 
Saudi Minister of Energy Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman (OPEC website) 
TT
20

Saudi Energy Minister: Two Billion People Worldwide Suffer from Energy Shortages

Saudi Minister of Energy Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman (OPEC website) 
Saudi Minister of Energy Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman (OPEC website) 

Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman has warned that the global energy transition must not come at the expense of economic growth and the cost of living. He highlighted that nearly two billion people around the world are currently facing energy shortages.

Speaking at the opening session of the 9th OPEC International Seminar in Vienna, the minister stressed that the path toward energy transition must be realistic and practical. He emphasized that this shift should not be viewed as a threat to oil producers, but rather as an opportunity for technological innovation.

Despite the growing use of renewable, nuclear, and hydrogen energy sources, Prince Abdulaziz maintained that oil and gas will remain essential and irreplaceable components of the global energy mix. He welcomed the fact that an increasing number of countries are adopting a more pragmatic view of the transition.

Also speaking at the seminar, UAE Energy Minister Suhail Al Mazrouei said on Wednesday that oil markets have been able to absorb OPEC+ production increases without a rise in inventories, indicating that global demand still requires more crude.

Al Mazrouei explained that the group is not concerned about oversupply and has seen no significant stockpile build-up, even after recent production hikes.

OPEC+, which supplies around half of the world’s oil, has been cutting production for several years to support market stability. However, the group recently began easing these cuts in response to rising global demand, particularly during the summer.

OPEC+ began unwinding its 2.17 million barrel-per-day production cut in April, increasing output by 138,000 barrels per day. That was followed by monthly hikes of 411,000 barrels per day in May, June, and July. On Saturday, the group approved a further increase of 548,000 barrels per day for August.

Al Mazrouei pointed out that the absence of a significant buildup in inventories despite these steady increases suggests that the market needed those barrels.

He added that stability - not just price - should be the focus, stressing that short-term thinking based solely on price is insufficient. He noted that oil prices must remain attractive enough to draw in new investments, warning that countries with large oil reserves still are not investing at the necessary levels.