Yuan Nears 7-Month High, on Track for 5th Week of Gains

Chinese 100 yuan banknotes are seen in this picture illustration taken July 11, 2013. REUTERS/Jason Lee/File Photo
Chinese 100 yuan banknotes are seen in this picture illustration taken July 11, 2013. REUTERS/Jason Lee/File Photo
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Yuan Nears 7-Month High, on Track for 5th Week of Gains

Chinese 100 yuan banknotes are seen in this picture illustration taken July 11, 2013. REUTERS/Jason Lee/File Photo
Chinese 100 yuan banknotes are seen in this picture illustration taken July 11, 2013. REUTERS/Jason Lee/File Photo

The yuan strengthened to a near seven-month high on Friday, after the US Federal Reserve's announced an aggressive new strategy to lift employment and increased tolerance for higher inflation, and was on track for its fifth weekly gain.

The Federal Reserve on Thursday rolled out a sweeping rewrite of its approach to its dual role of achieving maximum employment and stable prices, putting new weight on bolstering the US labor market and less on worries about too-high inflation.

The dollar held gains against major currencies on Friday after the Fed's inflation shift.

But the outlook for the greenback remains weak, which could bode well for yuan's stability or appreciation, analysts at Chinese investment bank CICC said in a note.

Prior to the market opening, the People's Bank of China set the midpoint at 6.8891 per dollar, firmer than the previous fix of 6.8903.

The onshore yuan opened at 6.8855 per dollar and rose to 6.8759 at one point, within a whisker of a seven-month high of 6.8744 hit the previous session. By midday, it was changing hands at 6.8778 at midday, 168 pips firmer than the previous late session close.

If the yuan finishes the late night session at the midday level, it would have gained 0.55% to the dollar for the week, its fifth weekly gain in a row.

A stronger yuan is better for China as it ramps up its purchases of US goods under the countries' Phase 1 trade deal, said Shen Xinfeng, chief macroanalyst at Northeast Securities.

Top US and Chinese trade officials this week reaffirmed their commitment to the agreement, which has seen China lagging on its obligations to buy American goods.

Shen said the yuan also is benefiting from China's economic recovery.

Profits at China's industrial firms grew for a third straight month in July and at the fastest pace since June 2018, marking a bright spot in the economy as the manufacturing sector recovers from the coronavirus slump.

There was muted reaction to the latest headlines on Sino-US military tensions.

The United States and China traded jibes as tensions grow between the world's two largest economies, with the US defense chief vowing not to "cede an inch" in the Pacific and China saying Washington was risking soldiers' lives.

The offshore yuan was trading 0.08 percent away from the onshore spot at 6.8722 per dollar.



Putin Says Recession in Russia 'Must Not Be Allowed to Happen'

Putin wants officials to keep a 'close eye on all indicators of the health of our industries, companies and even individual enterprises'. Olga MALTSEVA / AFP
Putin wants officials to keep a 'close eye on all indicators of the health of our industries, companies and even individual enterprises'. Olga MALTSEVA / AFP
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Putin Says Recession in Russia 'Must Not Be Allowed to Happen'

Putin wants officials to keep a 'close eye on all indicators of the health of our industries, companies and even individual enterprises'. Olga MALTSEVA / AFP
Putin wants officials to keep a 'close eye on all indicators of the health of our industries, companies and even individual enterprises'. Olga MALTSEVA / AFP

President Vladimir Putin on Friday urged officials not to let Russia fall into recession "under any circumstances", as some in his own government warned of a hit to economic growth.

Economists have warned for months of a slowdown in the Russian economy, with the country posting its slowest quarterly expansion in two years for the first quarter of 2025, reported AFP.

The Kremlin has said this was to be expected after two years of rapid growth as it ramped up military expenditure to fund the Ukraine campaign, but officials including the country's economy minister have raised alarm about possible pain ahead.

"Some specialists and experts are pointing to the risks of stagnation and even a recession," Putin told attendees at Russia's flagship economic forum in Saint Petersburg.

"This must not be allowed to happen under any circumstances," he said.

"We need to pursue a competent, well-thought-out budgetary, tax and monetary policy," he added.

The Russian economy grew in 2023 and 2024 despite the West's sweeping sanctions, with massive state spending on the military powering a robust expansion.

But analysts have long warned that heavy public investment in the defense industry is no longer enough to keep Russia's economy growing and does not reflect a real increase in productivity.

At his address to the forum on Friday, Putin was upbeat about Russia's economic prospects and denied the economy was being driven solely by the defense and energy industries.

"Yes, of course, the defense industry played its part in this regard, but so did the financial and IT industries," he said.

He said the economy needed "balanced growth" and called on officials to keep a "close eye on all indicators of the health of our industries, companies and even individual enterprises."