Lebanon’s Centenary: Reshaping a Country that Can Protect its Remaining Residents

The ceremony marking the proclamation of the Greater Lebanon in Beirut in 1920.
The ceremony marking the proclamation of the Greater Lebanon in Beirut in 1920.
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Lebanon’s Centenary: Reshaping a Country that Can Protect its Remaining Residents

The ceremony marking the proclamation of the Greater Lebanon in Beirut in 1920.
The ceremony marking the proclamation of the Greater Lebanon in Beirut in 1920.

Every article, history book and documentary about the formation of Greater Lebanon is accompanied by the image of General Henri Gouraud at Beirut’s famed Pine Residence on September 1, 1920. The representative of the French Government in the Middle East is photographed seated next to Maronite Patriarch Elias Peter Hoayek to his right and Grand Mufti of Beirut Sheikh Mustafa Naja to his left.

The celebration was the culmination of a long arduous journey by the Maronites in wading through the Eastern Question that had plagued the West throughout the 19th century. Hoayek, the sect’s most prominent leader at the time, demanded that the new Lebanon include Maronites and other sects.

Today the story of how Greater Lebanon was formed seems to belong to a different world as the current Lebanon seems to have preserved very little of its roots. The story of how the map of the new Lebanon was drawn up by joining various provinces (and rejecting others due to sectarian issues) is irrelevant. Irrelevant now are the stories of exiled Lebanese in France and Egypt (such as Beshara al-Khoury, Michel Chiha and Youssef al-Sawada), who worked to reap as much independence from the French and British alike, and steer Lebanon as far away from Prince Faisal’s government in Damascus.

The reconciliation conferences and peace treaties that were held to divide the Ottoman Empire and opting for French mandate over Faisal’s rule are limited to history books because they are contentious issues that the Lebanese, to this very day, are still divided over. Some have speculated over the possible alternatives at the time to the Greater Lebanon, such as remaining part of the Arab Kingdom that Faisal tried to set up in Syria.

Necessity demanded that Hoayek accept to include new provinces to the Lebanon Mutasarrifate. It was said that fears of a repeat of the 1915 famine, which was sparked by the Turks – according to the official Lebanese story – and that is blamed on the Allies who imposed a siege of the empire’s ports – according to the Turkish story, forced the patriarch to include the Bekaa Valley in the new Lebanon. The Bekaa would be seen as the new bread basket for the new country. The inclusion of the North and South each had their own stories for becoming part of Greater Lebanon.

History after geography
After completing its geography, Greater Lebanon needed economic jobs and an independent history that sets it apart from the rest of former Ottoman territories. It was no wonder that the majority of Lebanon’s Phoenician history was “discovered” by Christian Lebanese writers during the French mandate. They believed that relying on French strength and culture in a country that was marching towards independence was unacceptable. It was therefore, pressing to “suggest” a different history to the former Ottoman state. They sought a history several thousands of years old that predates Christianity and Islam – a history that the people can relate to and steers them away as much as possible from the ethnic groups that surround them in the region.

These words do not support Arab nationalist and Baathist claims that Lebanon is an “artificial entity” or a “historic mistake” that is destined to return to its natural fold in the imaginary greater Syria. Everyone must keep in mind that all the countries of the Arab Mashriq, or eastern part of the Arab world, were drawn up by minor French and British colonial officers. This is the case of Lebanon, Syria, Iraq and Jordan. The crises in this region and the fragmentation of these states are but a late confirmation of the artificial nature of these countries and the instability among its people. Lebanon set itself apart from the region with its semi-democratic system and ability to maintain its identity.

Lebanon’s ability to survive was first based on its history of relations with the West, whether cultural, religious or economic, or through the sectarian civil wars that began in the mid-19th century. The Christians in the Chouf area at the time shed their clan mentality and transformed into a self-aware group under the patronage of the Maronite Patriarchate. Without having to go into the endless debates over Christian “uniqueness” or their political and cultural superiority over their Druze and Muslim neighbors, we must say that the Christian issue found its place among western powers. These powers did not hesitate to benefit from them as they sought to divide the Ottoman Empire.

This story is not enough to justify the Maronites’ political, economic and cultural hegemony over the new Lebanon. It needs a united fabric that unites all people under common goals and values. Instead of writing the histories of regions, sects and Ottoman states, attempts were made to write a national history. The Phoenicians were cited because they built a great naval empire and set up colonies along the coasts of Iberia and Africa. They also created the alphabet. However, the state of affairs along the Lebanese coast in the early 20th century told a different story. They told stories of protests in the mountains and resisting invaders. This is where we can speak of Christian-Druze partnership.

The relations between the mountainous region and coast began to emerge. During the French mandate, the coast was the center of the Lebanese entity. The Muslim merchants who dotted the coast sought refuge in the mountains to escape oppression. They returned to the coast, not to escape sectarian war massacres, but to resume their historic role as global merchants.

After the independence in 1943, the history had to be expanded to include Lebanese who did not leave the coast. Historians, such as Fouad Ephrem Boustany, artists and intellectuals from all fields played a major role in promoting the image of a Lebanon that is open to the world and its surroundings. A Lebanon that embraces a wide moderate political leadership that avoids animosity with any foreign power, except when it comes to defending its nation. It was understood that such a leadership must remain in the hands of the Christians because they were most sophisticated and similar to western culture, and because they were a minority in a sea of Muslims who, according to official accounts, have not abandoned their plan for a united Arab nation.

Here we can cite a number of developments that prove or contradict this view, such as the 1958 limited civil war or the developments of 1969, leading up the clashes between the Lebanese army and Palestinian fighters, with whom the Lebanese Muslims and leftists sided. The 1975-90 civil war ultimately destroyed the old Lebanese state and only ended with the Taef Accord that established a new pact between the Lebanese.

Economy
The Lebanese economy was shaped according to the political powers that emerged during and after the French mandate. It was based on trade, a modern banking system and services, such as tourism and higher education. This system reaped huge benefits at a time when Arab nations were embroiled with their own internal disputes and as the Arab-Israeli conflict emerged. The system’s weakness did not lie in impoverishing the Lebanese society or deepening class divide, especially as politicians sought to take advantage of regional conflicts by attracting foreign capital and Arab oil that began to flow in the 1950s. At the same time, Lebanon preferred to steer clear of the Arab-Israeli conflict, opting for an unofficial neutral position.

This Lebanese example, however, failed to notice that borders could not keep out regional and international crises. The settlement that ended the 1958 “revolt” crumbled before the 1967 war that radically changed the region. The war allowed the armed Palestinian resistance – and the Arab exploitation of this movement – to seep into the fragile Lebanese equation. The Palestinian presence sped up the collapse of the 1943 example, which was already showing cracks. The political and economic systems could no longer meet the demands of the new segments of Lebanese people who were discovering what the state was depriving them of: schools, hospitals and peace amid the late 1960s Israeli attacks against armed Palestinian groups.

Lebanese writers at the time noted a predicament: If Lebanon became increasingly involved in the Arab-Israeli conflict, it will be the weakest link among the Arab countries and will expose itself to destruction. If the left demanded social justice and equality between the people, then the risk of civil war, which can only be sectarian and destroy all of society, will increase. This contradiction remains to this day.

Collapse and rise?
The three decades that followed the end of the civil war in 1990 can be described as repeated attempts of building that took place in the 1920s. They relied on the same economy and culture amid an altered political equation that was imposed by regional and demographic realities. The Christians were no longer “first among equals”, but the Syrian regime’s hegemony was imposed on them and they were treated the same way as a society under occupation. They were forced to become followers and were marginalized. The Christians have not yet forgotten that the Syrians allowed the Muslims, who also took part in humiliating them, to occupy political, economic and cultural posts that were reserved for them before the war.

The collapse of the world the Christians had grown accustomed to, the change in the West’s priorities and the disappearance of the traditional right culture that they relied on in promoting their cultural superiority rendered a failure attempts by their largest movement to restore their former positions. As a consequence, some sought to align themselves with the very force that was at the core of the alliance that defeated them. This was demonstrated in the alignment with the power that emerged as the most powerful in the equation that has ruled Lebanon since the 2005 Syrian troop withdrawal.

This process accelerated the fragmentation that emerged with the end of Lebanon’s economic world in a region whose countries have topped it in fields it used to excel at. Lebanon was no longer a port, university, bank or nightclub. After the Arab revolts and wars, it was no longer a postbox for warring parties or an arena for tensions that have found vaster areas for open conflict. The rampant corruption of every aspect of life in Lebanon is but a sign of the country’s loss of the high standing it enjoyed in the past. It is now controlled by sectarian leaders who are experts at looting public funds at an even greater scale before and during the civil war.

These practices ultimately led to the collapse of the Lebanese state in 2019-20 and its transformation of a failed country where only instruments of violence, internal oppression and sectarianism remain. The state is now limited to preserving itself out of fear of any change in the political system that would dash the “achievements and victories” and “restore the rights of Christians” that some sides of the new alliance drone about.

This has become part of the daily rhetoric in Lebanon. The country is now marking its first centennial as it experiences a low that it had never reached throughout a century that was rife with wars, turbulence and ordeals. Is this really the end of this entity?

The situation in Lebanon is completely bleak and it is scrambling to find a way out of its plight. The people persevere as demonstrated by the millions who are still on this land and finding salvation on their own. These people will not die. They may not have a bright future any time soon without resolving sectarian political problems and disputes over representation in rule and building a new economy. Who are the social powers that have an interest in ending the sectarian equation that has granted a large segment of Lebanese, for long decades, protection from real or illusory dangers posed by other sects?

The October 17, 2019 revolution did not come up with the desired answer. The movements that followed the August 4 Beirut port blast have been met with the stubborn authority that can still stir sectarian sentiments and mobilize its blind followers.

Does this all mean that the story of Lebanon has come to an end? If yes, what is the entity that the people who call themselves Lebanese live in? At any rate, the process of recreating another Lebanon is one that the Lebanese are pinning their hopes on. Some difficult lessons appear necessary, not for the uncaring world or for a message that won’t lead anywhere, but for the Lebanese and their right to live like the other peoples of the world, nothing more.



'Metals of the Future': Copper and Silver Flow Beneath Poland's Surface

Smelter workers process copper at the Glogow plant in southwestern Poland, owned by KGHM. Wojtek RADWANSKI / AFP
Smelter workers process copper at the Glogow plant in southwestern Poland, owned by KGHM. Wojtek RADWANSKI / AFP
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'Metals of the Future': Copper and Silver Flow Beneath Poland's Surface

Smelter workers process copper at the Glogow plant in southwestern Poland, owned by KGHM. Wojtek RADWANSKI / AFP
Smelter workers process copper at the Glogow plant in southwestern Poland, owned by KGHM. Wojtek RADWANSKI / AFP

Thousands of meters beneath the ground, amid suffocating heat, lies one of the keys to Poland's rumbling mining sector -- and the world economy.

Whitish ore, rich in copper and silver, is extracted from the country's depths and exported around the world to fuel technological and energy transitions.

"These are the metals of the future," Ariel Wojciuszkiewicz, a geologist at the Polkowice-Sieroszowice mine in the west of the country, tells AFP, noting that copper and silver are "indispensable for electronic equipment, electric cars, and renewable energy installations".

Driven by the rise of artificial intelligence, renewable energies, and global defense needs, demand for these metals is expected to keep increasing in the future, with copper even being referred to as "red gold" and a "barometer" for world economic development.

Poland, responsible for as much as half of Europe's supply, is one of the industry's key players.

Equipped with a helmet and an emergency breathing device, Wojciuszkiewicz leads AFP journalists through the Polkowice-Sieroszowice mine -- one of three sites operated by KGHM, the Polish metals giant, which also owns local smelters and companies in the Americas.

The 24-hour operation runs at a constant roar as machines grind rock at deafening volumes, its tunnels stretching for hundreds of kilometers beneath Poland's surface.

The world's second-largest silver producer, the KGHM group also supplies between 40 percent and 50 percent of the copper produced in Europe.

Last year, it ranked eighth worldwide in terms of copper extraction volume, behind global giants such as BHP Group, Glencore Plc and Rio Tinto, according to industry statistics.

Global copper demand, already high, is expected to climb by over 40 percent by 2040, according to a 2025 UN Report.

To meet this demand, "it might take 80 new mines and 250 billion dollars in investments by 2030," the organization estimates.

The International Energy Agency (IEA), however, predicts that supply will lag 30 percent behind demand by as early as 2035.

- 1,200 degrees Celsius -

Dependence on copper is growing exponentially across the world economy's most innovative sectors.

"We don't realize how much we are surrounded by copper on all sides," Piotr Krzyzewski, KGHM vice president in charge of finance, explains to AFP.

"An electric car contains 80 kg of copper, compared with 20 kg in a conventional one," he notes, while "a wind turbine contains between four and ten tons of copper per megawatt."

Farther away, at the Glogow smelter, two workers in protective suits, armed with long lances, open huge furnaces where the ore is melted.

They work diligently as sparks fly from metal heated to 1,200C.

Several processing stages later, 99.99 percent pure copper plates, each weighing more than a hundred kilos, are shipped all over the world.

Last year, the KGHM group as a whole generated more than 36 billion zlotys ($9.7 billion) in revenue. Copper production reached 710,000 tons and silver production 1,347 tons, according to the group's annual report, published at the end of March.

No less than half of the silver is used in industry, mainly for electronics, solar panels, and medical applications. The rest goes to jewelery or serves as a safety net and financial asset.

But it is copper, now an irreplaceable metal for the economy, that has become the object of global strategic contention.

"Copper is on the strategic list of critical metals in Europe, the United States, and China," Krzyzewski tells AFP.

The metal's impact on geopolitics is already being noted in real time.

In July, US President Donald Trump announced a 50 percent tariff on copper, eventually limiting the measure to products made with the metal.

To justify his decision, he invoked the need to "defend national security".

"Copper is the second most used material by the Department of Defense!" he said.

- Record prices -

In 2025, copper prices jumped 41.7 percent, before hitting a record high of $14,527.50 a ton in January of this year.

Even in the face of the war in the Middle East and the slowdown of the global economy, the price remains high at about 12,000 dollars per ton.

In this uncertain context, Poland's subsoil appears to be a major asset for the energy sovereignty of the Old Continent.

"It's no longer about the security of our country alone, but the security of all of Europe," Krzyzewski says, adding that KGHM's resources "are still estimated to last for at least 40 years," not counting new exploration and concessions.

But mining consumes enormous amounts of water, making it subject to the effects of global warming and drought.


Trump’s Anger Over Iran Thrusts NATO into Fresh Crisis

A NATO flag flutters at the Tapa military base, Estonia April 30, 2023. (Reuters)
A NATO flag flutters at the Tapa military base, Estonia April 30, 2023. (Reuters)
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Trump’s Anger Over Iran Thrusts NATO into Fresh Crisis

A NATO flag flutters at the Tapa military base, Estonia April 30, 2023. (Reuters)
A NATO flag flutters at the Tapa military base, Estonia April 30, 2023. (Reuters)

The NATO alliance has in recent years survived existential challenges - ranging from the war in Ukraine to multiple bouts of pressure and insults from US President Donald Trump, who has questioned its core mission and threatened to seize Greenland.

But it is the US-Israeli war with Iran, thousands of miles from Europe, that has nearly broken the 76-year-old bloc and threatens to leave it in its weakest state since its creation, say analysts and diplomats.

Trump, enraged that European countries have declined to send their navies to open up the Strait of Hormuz to global shipping following the start of the air war on Feb 28, has declared he is considering withdrawing from the alliance.

"Wouldn't you if you were me?" Trump asked Reuters in a Wednesday interview.

In a speech on Wednesday night, Trump criticized US allies but stopped short of condemning NATO, as many experts thought he might.

But combined with other barbs aimed at Europeans in recent weeks, Trump's comments have provoked unprecedented concern that the US will not come to the aid of European allies should they be attacked, whether or not Washington formally walks away.

The result, say analysts and diplomats, is that the alliance created in the Cold War that has long served as the basic fabric of European security is fraying and the mutual defense agreement at its core is no longer taken as a given.

"This is the worst place (NATO) has been since it was founded," said Max Bergmann, a former State Department official who now leads the Europe, Russia, and Eurasia Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington.

"It's really hard to ‌think of anything that ‌even comes close."

That reality is sinking in for Europeans, who have counted on NATO as a bulwark against an increasingly assertive Russia.

As recently ‌as February, ⁠NATO Secretary-General Mark ⁠Rutte had dismissed the idea of Europe defending itself without the US as a "silly thought." Now, many officials and diplomats consider it the default expectation.

"NATO remains necessary, but we must be capable of thinking of NATO without the Americans," said General Francois Lecointre, who served as France's armed forces chief from 2017 to 2021.

"Whether it should even continue to be called NATO - North Atlantic Treaty Organization - is a valid question."

White House spokeswoman Anna Kelly said: “President Trump has made his disappointment with NATO and other allies clear, and as the President emphasized, ‘the United States will remember.’”

A NATO representative did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

THIS TIME IT'S DIFFERENT

NATO has been challenged before, not least during Trump's first term from 2017 to 2021, when he also considered withdrawing from the alliance.

But while many European officials until recently believed that Trump could be kept on board with pomp and flattery, fewer now hold that belief, according to conversations with dozens of former and current US and European officials.

Trump and his officials have expressed frustration over what they see as NATO's unwillingness to help the United ⁠States in a time of need, including by not directly assisting with the Strait of Hormuz and by restricting US use of some airfields and ‌airspace. US officials have declared NATO cannot be a "one-way street".

European officials counter that they have not received US requests for specific ‌assets for a mission to open the strait and complain that Washington has been inconsistent about whether such a mission would operate during or after the war.

"It's a terrible situation for NATO to be in," said ‌Jamie Shea, a former senior NATO official who is now a senior fellow at the Friends of Europe think tank.

"It is a blow to the allies who, since Trump returned to ‌the White House, have worked hard to show that they are willing and able to take more responsibility (for their own defense)."

Trump's latest comments follow other signs of an increasingly unsteady alliance.

Those include his stepped-up threats in January to wrest Greenland away from Denmark and recent moves by the US that Europeans see as particularly accommodating toward Russia, which NATO defines as its principal security threat.

The administration has remained essentially mum amid reports that Moscow has provided targeting data for Iran to attack US assets in the Middle East and has lifted sanctions on Russian oil in a bid to ease global energy prices that have spiked during the war.

At a meeting of G7 foreign ministers ‌near Paris last week, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Kaja Kallas, the foreign policy chief of the European Union, had a tense exchange, according to five people familiar with the matter, underlining the increasingly fraught transatlantic relationship.

Kallas asked when US patience with Russian President Vladimir ⁠Putin would run out over Ukraine peace negotiations, prompting Rubio ⁠to respond with irritation that the US was trying to end the war while also providing support to Ukraine, but the EU was welcome to mediate if it wanted to.

NO GOING BACK

Legally, Trump may lack the authority to withdraw from NATO. Under a law passed in 2023, a US president cannot exit the alliance without the consent of two-thirds of the US Senate, a nearly impossible threshold.

But analysts say that, as commander-in-chief, Trump can decide whether the US military will defend NATO members. Declining to do so could imperil the alliance without a formal withdrawal.

To be sure, not everyone sees the current crisis as existential. One French diplomat described the president's rhetoric as a passing temper tantrum.

Trump has changed his position on NATO before.

In 2024, he said on the campaign trail that he would encourage Putin to attack NATO members that do not pay their fair share on defense. By the last annual NATO summit, in June 2025, the alliance was in his good graces, with Trump delivering a speech effusively praising European leaders as people who "love their countries."

Next week, Rutte, the NATO secretary-general, who has a strong relationship with Trump, is set to visit Washington in an effort to change Trump's view once again.

Analysts say European nations have good reason to keep the US engaged in NATO despite doubts over whether Trump would come to their defense. Among other reasons, the US military provides a range of capabilities NATO can't easily replace, such as satellite intelligence.

Even if Trump and the Europeans find a way to stay together in NATO, diplomats, analysts and officials say, the transatlantic alliance that has been central to the global order since World War Two may never be the same.

"I do think we're turning the page of 80 years of working together," said Julianne Smith, the US ambassador to NATO under Democratic President Joe Biden.

"I don't think it means the end of the transatlantic relationship, but we're on the cusp of something that's going to have a different look and feel to it."


A Look at the UK’s Royal Navy, Which Has Faced Jibe After Jibe from Trump and Hegseth

Indonesian soldiers stand guard as Royal Navy offshore patrol vessel HMS Spey is docked at Tanjung Priok Port during a port visit in Jakarta, Indonesia, Wednesday, Jan. 15, 2025. (AP Photo/Tatan Syuflana, File)
Indonesian soldiers stand guard as Royal Navy offshore patrol vessel HMS Spey is docked at Tanjung Priok Port during a port visit in Jakarta, Indonesia, Wednesday, Jan. 15, 2025. (AP Photo/Tatan Syuflana, File)
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A Look at the UK’s Royal Navy, Which Has Faced Jibe After Jibe from Trump and Hegseth

Indonesian soldiers stand guard as Royal Navy offshore patrol vessel HMS Spey is docked at Tanjung Priok Port during a port visit in Jakarta, Indonesia, Wednesday, Jan. 15, 2025. (AP Photo/Tatan Syuflana, File)
Indonesian soldiers stand guard as Royal Navy offshore patrol vessel HMS Spey is docked at Tanjung Priok Port during a port visit in Jakarta, Indonesia, Wednesday, Jan. 15, 2025. (AP Photo/Tatan Syuflana, File)

US President Donald Trump and his Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth have been damning of the UK's naval capabilities. Their jibes may have stung in a country with a long and proud maritime history, but they do carry some substance.

The UK has been at the forefront of Trump’s ire since the onset of the Iran war on Feb. 28, when British Prime Minister Keir Starmer refused to grant the US military access to British bases.

Though that decision has been partly reversed with the decision to permit the US to use the bases, including that of Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean, for so-called defensive purposes, Trump is adamant he was let down. He has repeatedly lashed out at Starmer and branded the Royal Navy’s two aircraft carriers as “toys.”

“You don’t even have a navy,” he told Britain's Daily Telegraph in comments published Wednesday. "You’re too old and had aircraft carriers that didn’t work.”

Hegseth, meanwhile, said sarcastically that the “big, bad Royal Navy” should get involved in making the Strait of Hormuz safe for commercial shipping.

For numerous reasons, the Royal Navy is not as big and bad as it used to be when Britannia ruled the waves. But it's not as feeble as Trump and Hegseth imply and is largely similar with the French navy, which it is often compared with.

“On the negative side, there is a grain of truth, with the Royal Navy being smaller than it has been in hundreds of years,” said professor Kevin Rowlands, editor of the Royal United Services Institute Journal. “On the positive side, the Royal Navy would say that it’s entering its first period of growth since World War II, with more ships set to be built than in decades.”

Capabilities and preparedness

It’s not that long ago that Britain could muster a task force of 127 ships, including two aircraft carriers, to sail to the south Atlantic after Argentina’s invasion of the Falkland Islands. That 1982 campaign, which then-US President Ronald Reagan was lukewarm about, marked the final hurrah of Britain’s naval pedigree.

Nothing on that scale, or even remotely, could be accomplished now. Since World War II, Britain’s combat-ready fleet has declined substantially, much of it linked to changing military and technological advances and the end of empire. But not all.

The number of vessels in the Royal Navy fleet, including aircraft carriers, destroyers frigates and submarines has fallen from 166 in 1975 to 66 in 2025, according to The Associated Press' analysis of figures from the Ministry of Defense and the House of Commons Library.

Though the Royal Navy has two aircraft carriers at its command, there was a seven-year period in the 2010s when it had none. And the number of destroyers has halved to six while the frigate fleet has been slashed from 60 to just 11.

Diminished state

The Royal Navy faced criticism for the time it took to send the HMS Dragon destroyer to the Middle East after the war with Iran broke out. Though naval officials worked night and day to get it shipshape for a different mission than the one it was readying for, to many it symbolized the extent to which Britain’s military has been gutted since the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989.

For much of the Cold War, Britain was spending between 4% and 8% of its annual national income on its military. After the Cold War, that proportion steadily dropped to a low of 1.9% of GDP in 2018, fuel to Trump's fire.

Like other countries, Britain, largely under the Labour governments of Tony Blair and Gordon Brown, sought to use the so-called “peace dividend” following the collapse of the Soviet Union to divert money earmarked for defense to other priorities, such as health and education.

And the austerity measures imposed by the Conservative-led government in the wake of the global financial crisis of 2008-9 prevented any pickup in defense spending despite the clear signs of a resurgent Russia, especially after its annexation of Crimea and parts of eastern Ukraine.

No quick fix

In the wake of Russia's full-blown invasion of Ukraine in 2022, and with another Middle East war underway, there's a growing understanding across the political divide that the cuts have gone too far.

Following the Ukraine invasion, the Conservatives started to turn the military spending tide around. Since the Labour Party returned to power in 2024, Starmer is seeking to ramp up British defense spending, partly at the cost of cutting the country's long-vaunted aid spending.

Starmer has promised to raise UK defense spending to 2.5% of gross domestic product by 2027, and the updated goal is now for it to rise to 3.5% of GDP by 2035, as part of a NATO agreement pushed by Trump. That, in plain terms, will mean tens of billions pounds more being spent — a lot more kit for the armed forces.

The pressure is on for the government to speed that schedule up. But with the public finances further imperiled by the economic consequences of the Iran war, it's not clear where any additional money will come.

The jibes will likely keep coming even though the critiques are unfair and far from the truth, said RUSI's Rowlands, who was a captain in the Royal Navy.

“We are dealing with an administration that doesn’t do nuance,” he said.