Lebanon: One Week to Test Political Parties’ Will to Form New Govt.

Designated Prime-Minister Mustapha Adib meets with Lebanon’s President Michel Aoun and Speaker Nabih Berri at the presidential palace in Baabda, Lebanon, Aug. 31, 2020 (Reuters/ Mohammed Azakir)
Designated Prime-Minister Mustapha Adib meets with Lebanon’s President Michel Aoun and Speaker Nabih Berri at the presidential palace in Baabda, Lebanon, Aug. 31, 2020 (Reuters/ Mohammed Azakir)
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Lebanon: One Week to Test Political Parties’ Will to Form New Govt.

Designated Prime-Minister Mustapha Adib meets with Lebanon’s President Michel Aoun and Speaker Nabih Berri at the presidential palace in Baabda, Lebanon, Aug. 31, 2020 (Reuters/ Mohammed Azakir)
Designated Prime-Minister Mustapha Adib meets with Lebanon’s President Michel Aoun and Speaker Nabih Berri at the presidential palace in Baabda, Lebanon, Aug. 31, 2020 (Reuters/ Mohammed Azakir)

Well-informed political sources said that it was early to judge the appointment of Dr. Mustafa Adib to form the new Lebanese government.

It is important to wait until the cabinet’s formation, according to the sources, who also emphasized the need to listen to the reactions of Arab and foreign countries to determine the extent of their readiness to provide the new government with the necessary support.

The sources also asked whether Adib’s name was put forward by French President Emmanuel Macron, who has personally followed up on securing the political agreement over the Sunni diplomat, before landing in Beirut on his second official visit on Monday evening.

According to the same sources, Adib’s appointment came two days before the expected visit of US Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs David Schenker to Lebanon on Wednesday.

The political sources told Asharq Al-Awsat that in light of the near-consensus over the new prime minister, they were waiting to see whether the birth of the government would take place quickly - within a week - or would be subjected to extortion due to the usual dispute over the distribution of ministerial portfolios.

The majority of parliamentary blocs, who nominated Adib, called for the formation of a government of specialists who could meet the major challenges facing the country, mainly the reconstruction of Beirut and stopping the financial and economic collapse.

The sources said that the deputies would undergo “a test of intentions” as soon as the case of forming the government is opened, to know whether their nomination of Adib was a based on their own conviction or a consent to Macron’s desire.

The political sources also considered that the coincidence between Macron’s visit to Beirut and the arrival of Schenker would be an indicator to test the convergence of views between Paris and Washington.

A former prime minister told Asharq Al-Awsat that Adib would refuse to form a technocrat government that would be a copy of its predecessor, but would select specialists who have an experience in the public and private fields.

Therefore, the sources underlined that first task of the new government was to stop the financial and economic collapse and to prepare a reform program, with the priority to rebuild Beirut and guarantee the success of negotiations with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to obtain the necessary financial aid for the recovery plan.



Biden, Macron to Declare 60-Day Ceasefire between Hezbollah, Israel on Tuesday

 Smoke and flame rise after an Israeli airstrike on Beirut's southern suburbs, known as Dahiyeh, Monday, Nov. 25, 2024. (AP)
Smoke and flame rise after an Israeli airstrike on Beirut's southern suburbs, known as Dahiyeh, Monday, Nov. 25, 2024. (AP)
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Biden, Macron to Declare 60-Day Ceasefire between Hezbollah, Israel on Tuesday

 Smoke and flame rise after an Israeli airstrike on Beirut's southern suburbs, known as Dahiyeh, Monday, Nov. 25, 2024. (AP)
Smoke and flame rise after an Israeli airstrike on Beirut's southern suburbs, known as Dahiyeh, Monday, Nov. 25, 2024. (AP)

US President Joe Biden and French President Emmanuel Macron will declare on Tuesday morning a 60-day ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon, Asharq Al-Awsat learned from widely informed sources on Monday.

Washington has spoken of “cautious optimism” that the US proposal for a ceasefire could be a success. The proposal calls for Hezbollah’s withdrawal from the area between the Blue Line and Litani River in a manner that can be verified. In return Israeli forces will withdraw from the regions they occupied since they carried out their limited invasion of Lebanon.

The discussions the US government had on the Lebanon-Israel ceasefire were positive and are headed in the right direction towards a deal, the White House said on Monday.

"We're close," said White House national security spokesperson John Kirby. "The discussions ... were constructive, and we believe that the trajectory of this is going in a very positive direction. But, yeah, nothing is done until everything is done." 

The relative positivity prevailed in spite of the ongoing wide-scale military operations between Israel and Hezbollah in the South and Israel’s air raids deep in Lebanese territory. Hezbollah has also fired rockets deep in Israel, reaching Tel Aviv.

Analysts have said the intense attacks suggest that both Israel and Hezbollah are trying to maximize their leverage as diplomats conduct what they hope is a final round of ceasefire talks, reported the New York Times on Monday.

The New York Times reported on Friday that the terms included a 60-day truce during which Israeli forces and Hezbollah fighters pull back from border areas and the Lebanese Army and a United Nations peacekeeping force increase their presence in a buffer zone.

But officials have also warned that the two sides may not be able to finalize a deal, and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has faced pressure from right-wing allies not to end the military campaign.

Israel’s hard-line national security minister, Itamar Ben-Gvir, said in a social media post on Monday that the proposed deal would be a “historic missed opportunity to eradicate Hezbollah.”

Observers meanwhile told Asharq Al-Awsat that all pending issues related to the US proposal have been resolved from the Lebanese side, while Israel has some lingering reservations.

Israeli officials said Netanyahu’s security Cabinet is set to convene on Tuesday to discuss the ceasefire proposal.

Two officials confirmed the Cabinet meeting is set for Tuesday, but they said it is still not clear whether the decision-making body will vote to approve the deal.

The officials spoke to The Associated Press on condition of anonymity because they were discussing internal deliberations.