What Happens if a US Presidential Candidate Exits the Race?

President Donald Trump, left, and Democratic presidential candidate former Vice President Joe Biden, right, during the first presidential debate, Sept. 29, 2020 in Cleveland, Ohio. (AP)
President Donald Trump, left, and Democratic presidential candidate former Vice President Joe Biden, right, during the first presidential debate, Sept. 29, 2020 in Cleveland, Ohio. (AP)
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What Happens if a US Presidential Candidate Exits the Race?

President Donald Trump, left, and Democratic presidential candidate former Vice President Joe Biden, right, during the first presidential debate, Sept. 29, 2020 in Cleveland, Ohio. (AP)
President Donald Trump, left, and Democratic presidential candidate former Vice President Joe Biden, right, during the first presidential debate, Sept. 29, 2020 in Cleveland, Ohio. (AP)

A US presidential nominee has never died or had to withdraw from a White House race this close to an election.

But President Donald Trump's hospitalization for coronavirus just a month from the November 3 vote has raised the question of what happens if such an event should occur.

Trump is 74 years old and while his opponent Joe Biden is reportedly in relatively good health at 77 and is the oldest Democratic nominee ever.

AFP takes a look at some of the potential scenarios in the event a nominee exits the race:

Delay the presidential election?
Unlikely. Congress set the date for the election and this one has already been scheduled, as per US law for the Tuesday after the first Monday in November.

Both the Republican-controlled Senate and the Democratic-majority House of Representatives would have to agree on a postponement.

"I don't see it happening," said Capri Cafaro, a former Democratic member of the Ohio state senate who teaches at American University. "It is unlikely a Democratic majority would want to postpone the election."

Even during the Civil War between the North and South, the 1864 election was held as scheduled with Abraham Lincoln winning another term.

Can a candidate be replaced?
Trump's Republican Party and Biden's Democratic Party both have rules outlining how to fill a vacancy on the presidential ticket should one occur.

In the case of Trump's GOP, the 168 members of the Republican National Committee could vote to select the replacement.

The RNC could also reconvene its national convention of more than 2,500 delegates to select a new candidate but time pressure probably makes this unworkable.

A simple majority would be all that is needed to choose a new candidate in either scenario.

In the case of the Democrats, a new presidential nominee would be selected by the nearly 450 members of the Democratic National Committee.

Can a replacement candidate be on the ballot?
Probably not. "The problem at this point is that we are so far along in this 2020 election that not only have people cast ballots, ballots have already been printed," Cafaro said.

"You really don't have enough time to reprint ballots which say Mike Pence or Kamala Harris," she said, referring to the Republican and Democratic vice presidential nominees respectively.

More than 3.1 million Americans have already cast their ballots, according to a tally kept by the US Elections Project at the University of Florida.

In addition, deadlines for ballot access vary from state to state and they have already passed in most cases.

What about the Electoral College?
While the United States holds a popular vote, the president is elected by an absolute majority of the 538 members of the Electoral College.

In every state but two (Nebraska and Maine), the candidate winning the majority of the popular vote in that state wins all that state's electors.

Nothing in the Constitution obliges electors to vote in one way or another but the Supreme Court ruled in July that states could fine so-called "faithless electors" who do not respect the popular vote.

The members of the Electoral College will gather in their respective states on December 14 and vote for president and vice president.

In the event a candidate dies or withdraws before the Electoral College casts its votes, things could get messy.

Individual state laws come into play but each party could theoretically direct its electors to vote for a replacement candidate.

On January 6, 2021, Congress will certify the results, with the winner being sworn in as president on January 20.



Homes Smashed, Help Slashed: No Respite for Returning Syrians

People walk along a street, on the day US President Donald Trump announces that he would order the lifting of sanctions on Syria, in Latakia, Syria May 14, 2025. REUTERS/Karam Al-Masri
People walk along a street, on the day US President Donald Trump announces that he would order the lifting of sanctions on Syria, in Latakia, Syria May 14, 2025. REUTERS/Karam Al-Masri
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Homes Smashed, Help Slashed: No Respite for Returning Syrians

People walk along a street, on the day US President Donald Trump announces that he would order the lifting of sanctions on Syria, in Latakia, Syria May 14, 2025. REUTERS/Karam Al-Masri
People walk along a street, on the day US President Donald Trump announces that he would order the lifting of sanctions on Syria, in Latakia, Syria May 14, 2025. REUTERS/Karam Al-Masri

Around a dozen Syrian women sat in a circle at a UN-funded center in Damascus, happy to share stories about their daily struggles, but their bonding was overshadowed by fears that such meet-ups could soon end due to international aid cuts.

The community center, funded by the United Nations' refugee agency (UNHCR), offers vital services that families cannot get elsewhere in a country scarred by war, with an economy broken by decades of mismanagement and Western sanctions.

"We have no stability. We are scared and we need support," said Fatima al-Abbiad, a mother of four. "There are a lot of problems at home, a lot of tension, a lot of violence because of the lack of income."

But the center's future now hangs in the balance as the UNHCR has had to cut down its activities in Syria because of the international aid squeeze caused by US President Donald Trump's decision to halt foreign aid.

The cuts will close nearly half of the UNHCR centers in Syria and the widespread services they provide - from educational support and medical equipment to mental health and counselling sessions - just as the population needs them the most. There are hundreds of thousands of Syrian refugees returning home after the fall of Bashar al-Assad last year.

UNHCR's representative in Syria, Gonzalo Vargas Llosa, said the situation was a "disaster" and that the agency would struggle to help returning refugees.

"I think that we have been forced - here I use very deliberately the word forced - to adopt plans which are more modest than we would have liked," he told Context/Thomson Reuters Foundation in Damascus.

"It has taken us years to build that extraordinary network of support, and almost half of them are going to be closed exactly at the moment of opportunity for refugee and IDPs (internally displaced people) return."

BIG LOSS

A UNHCR spokesperson told the Thomson Reuters Foundation that the agency would shut down around 42% of its 122 community centers in Syria in June, which will deprive some 500,000 people of assistance and reduce aid for another 600,000 that benefit from the remaining centers.

The UNHCR will also cut 30% of its staff in Syria, said the spokesperson, while the livelihood program that supports small businesses will shrink by 20% unless it finds new funding.
Around 100 people visit the center in Damascus each day, said Mirna Mimas, a supervisor with GOPA-DERD, the church charity that runs the center with UNHCR.

Already the center's educational programs, which benefited 900 children last year, are at risk, said Mimas.

Nour Huda Madani, 41, said she had been "lucky" to receive support for her autistic child at the center.

"They taught me how to deal with him," said the mother of five.

Another visitor, Odette Badawi, said the center was important for her well-being after she returned to Syria five years ago, having fled to Lebanon when war broke out in Syria in 2011.

"(The center) made me feel like I am part of society," said the 68-year-old.

Mimas said if the center closed, the loss to the community would be enormous: "If we must tell people we are leaving, I will weep before they do," she said.

UNHCR HELP 'SELECTIVE'

Aid funding for Syria had already been declining before Trump's seismic cuts to the US Agency for International Development this year and cuts by other countries to international aid budgets.

But the new blows come at a particularly bad time.

Since former president Assad was ousted by opposition factions last December, around 507,000 Syrians have returned from neighboring countries and around 1.2 million people displaced inside the country went back home, according to UN estimates.

Llosa said, given the aid cuts, UNHCR would have only limited scope to support the return of some of the 6 million Syrians who fled the country since 2011.

"We will need to help only those that absolutely want to go home and simply do not have any means to do so," Llosa said. "That means that we will need to be very selective as opposed to what we wanted, which was to be expansive."

ESSENTIAL SUPPORT

Ayoub Merhi Hariri had been counting on support from the livelihood program to pay off the money he borrowed to set up a business after he moved back to Syria at the end of 2024.

After 12 years in Lebanon, he returned to Daraa in southwestern Syria to find his house destroyed - no doors, no windows, no running water, no electricity.

He moved in with relatives and registered for livelihood support at a UN-backed center in Daraa to help him start a spice manufacturing business to support his family and ill mother.

While his business was doing well, he said he would struggle to repay his creditors the 20 million Syrian pounds ($1,540) he owed them now that his livelihood support had been cut.

"Thank God (the business) was a success, and it is generating an income for us to live off," he said.

"But I can't pay back the debt," he said, fearing the worst. "I'll have to sell everything."