Erdogan Talks about Positive Growth as Central Bank Sells Gold Reserves

A gold dealer counts Turkish lira banknotes at his shop at the Grand Bazaar in Istanbul, Turkey. Reuters
A gold dealer counts Turkish lira banknotes at his shop at the Grand Bazaar in Istanbul, Turkey. Reuters
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Erdogan Talks about Positive Growth as Central Bank Sells Gold Reserves

A gold dealer counts Turkish lira banknotes at his shop at the Grand Bazaar in Istanbul, Turkey. Reuters
A gold dealer counts Turkish lira banknotes at his shop at the Grand Bazaar in Istanbul, Turkey. Reuters

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan expressed optimism that the economy will continue its positive performance and growth in the fourth quarter of 2020, despite the galloping inflation and the devaluation of the lira.

According to Erdogan, the economy is already in a speedy recovery phase. As he chaired the Presidential Cabinet, he said the third quarter of this year witnessed strong recovery.

Industrial production and retail sales rose by 30 percent, he noted. The president said that confidence surpassed 36 percent, and exports hiked by 34 percent compared to the previous fourth quarter.

Turkey has been suffering consecutive crises, compelling it to sell gold reserves in an attempt to rescue the Turkish lira (currently 8.50 against one US dollar).

Turkey's official gold holdings now amount to 561 tons down from 606.2 tons last October. This reveals 45.2 tons of gold reserves selling.

Bloomberg reported that selling was driven by Uzbekistan and Turkey, while Russia’s central bank posted its first quarterly sale in 13 years.

The central banks of Turkey and Uzbekistan sold 22.3 tons and 34.9 tons of gold, respectively, in the third quarter, the World Gold Council (WGC) said.

In a related matter, Turkey’s main opposition party accused the government of seizing accumulated dividends worth about 3.7 billion liras (USD435 million) paid by Turkiye Is Bankasi AS.

The payouts were meant for the Turkish Language Association and the Turkish History Association and were shifted to a single Treasury account, said Murat Emir, a lawmaker for the Republican People’s Party (CHP).

The CHP owns a 28 percent stake in the country’s second-largest bank after Mustafa Kemal Ataturk, the founder of modern Turkey, bequeathed the shares to the party. His will stipulated that dividends go to the two foundations.



IMF Warns Asia Retaliatory Tariffs Could Undermine Growth

A man walks with his bicycle along a crosswalk in Beijing, China, 16 November 2024. (EPA)
A man walks with his bicycle along a crosswalk in Beijing, China, 16 November 2024. (EPA)
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IMF Warns Asia Retaliatory Tariffs Could Undermine Growth

A man walks with his bicycle along a crosswalk in Beijing, China, 16 November 2024. (EPA)
A man walks with his bicycle along a crosswalk in Beijing, China, 16 November 2024. (EPA)

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) warned on Tuesday that "tit-for-tat" tariffs could undermine Asia's economic prospects, raise costs and disrupt supply chains even as it expects the region to remain a key engine of growth for the global economy.

"The tit-for-tat retaliatory tariffs threaten to disrupt growth prospects across the region, leading to longer and less efficient supply chains," IMF Asia-Pacific Director Krishna Srinivasan said at a forum in Cebu on systemic risk.

Srinivasan's remarks come amid concerns over US President-elect Donald Trump's plan to impose a 60% tariff on Chinese goods and at least a 10% levy on all other imports.

Tariffs could impede global trade, hamper growth in exporting nations, and potentially raise inflation in the United States, forcing the US Federal Reserve to tighten monetary policy, despite a lackluster outlook for global growth.

In October, the European Union also decided to increase tariffs on Chinese-built electric vehicles to as much as 45.3%, prompting retaliation from Beijing.

The IMF's latest World Economic Outlook forecasts global economic growth at 3.2% for both 2024 and 2025, weaker than its more optimistic projections for Asia, which stand at 4.6% for this year and 4.4% for next year.

Asia is "witnessing a period of important transition", creating greater uncertainty, including the "acute risk" of escalating trade tensions across major trading partners, Srinivasan said.

He added that uncertainty surrounding monetary policy in advanced economies and related market expectations could affect monetary decisions in Asia, influencing global capital flows, exchange rates, and other financial markets.