Israeli Minister Expects War With Iran If Biden Wins US Elections

 Israeli soldiers take part in military exercises near the northern Elyakim area on Oct. 14, 2020, during a simulation to protect the country's northern border. Photo by EMMANUEL DUNAND/AFP
Israeli soldiers take part in military exercises near the northern Elyakim area on Oct. 14, 2020, during a simulation to protect the country's northern border. Photo by EMMANUEL DUNAND/AFP
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Israeli Minister Expects War With Iran If Biden Wins US Elections

 Israeli soldiers take part in military exercises near the northern Elyakim area on Oct. 14, 2020, during a simulation to protect the country's northern border. Photo by EMMANUEL DUNAND/AFP
Israeli soldiers take part in military exercises near the northern Elyakim area on Oct. 14, 2020, during a simulation to protect the country's northern border. Photo by EMMANUEL DUNAND/AFP

Israeli Settlements Minister Tzachi Hanegbi expressed fears that an election win for US Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden could lead to war between Tel Aviv and Tehran.

In an interview with the Israeli Channel 13, he warned that Biden's stance on the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) could reignite tensions between the two rivals.

"Trump's policy towards Iran has succeeded, if it changes and the nuclear agreement returns - we will eventually reach an Israeli confrontation with Iran,” said Hanegbi, who is close to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

He noted that Biden has said openly for a long time that he will go back to the nuclear agreement. “I see that as something that will lead to a confrontation between Israel and Iran.”

US presidential candidate Joe Biden had announced that his administration would attempt to renegotiate the JCPOA if he wins the elections.

However, Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif dismissed Tuesday the idea of any new negotiations on the terms of the 2015 nuclear deal during the tenure of the next US president.

Also this week, Iranian President Hassan Rouhani said that for Tehran, the next US administration's policies are important and not who wins the US elections.

On Thursday, Netanyahu instructed his ministers not to comment on the US elections. However, Mikael Oren, who is close to the Israeli PM and a former Israeli ambassador to Washington, wrote this week that the US presidential election is replete with what may be fateful repercussions for the State of Israel.

“Former Vice President Joe Biden, whom I knew well, is clearly a pro-Israel man committed to the strategic alliance between Jerusalem and Washington. Likewise, California Senator Kamala Harris, with whom l have also worked in the past, is also pro-Israel. She and Biden were among the lone Democratic candidates to oppose efforts to pressure Israel by withholding aid,” he noted.

However, Oren noted that a Biden administration would challenge Israel on two core issues: The first is a diplomatic process that would see the government shirk Trump's "deal of the century" and return to the framework adopted by former Presidents Barack Obama and Bill Clinton, meaning a two-state solution based on the 1967 borders with a Palestinian capital in east Jerusalem.

“We Israelis will need to do more to stand on our own two feet and defend our vital interests. As a strong and sovereign state, as we can,” Oren explained.



Pandemic Accord, Tightened Budget on Menu at Big WHO Meet

The World Health Assembly is taking place at WHO headquarters in Geneva from May 19 to 27. Fabrice COFFRINI / AFP
The World Health Assembly is taking place at WHO headquarters in Geneva from May 19 to 27. Fabrice COFFRINI / AFP
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Pandemic Accord, Tightened Budget on Menu at Big WHO Meet

The World Health Assembly is taking place at WHO headquarters in Geneva from May 19 to 27. Fabrice COFFRINI / AFP
The World Health Assembly is taking place at WHO headquarters in Geneva from May 19 to 27. Fabrice COFFRINI / AFP

Next week promises to be a crucial one for the World Health Organization, with member states coming together in Geneva to adopt a landmark pandemic agreement and a slimmed-down budget amid US funding cuts.

Dozens of high-ranking officials and thousands of delegates are set to gather for the United Nations health agency's annual decision-making assembly, due to last from May 19 to 27.

"This huge gathering comes... at a pivotal moment for global health," Catharina Boehme, WHO's assistant director-general for external relations and governance, told reporters.

It comes as countries are confronting "emerging threats and major shifts in the landscape for global health and international development", she said.

More than five years after the emergence of Covid-19, which killed millions of people, much of the focus next week will be on the expected adoption of a hard-won international agreement on how to better protect against and tackle future pandemics.

After more than three years of negotiations, countries reached consensus on a text last month but final approval by the World Health Assembly is needed -- a discussion expected to take place on Tuesday.

'Without the US'

The United States, which has thrown the global health system into crisis by slashing foreign aid spending, was not present during the final stretch of the talks.

US President Donald Trump ordered a withdrawal from the WHO and from the pandemic agreement talks after taking office in January.

The agreement "is a jab in the arm for multilateralism, even if it is multilateralism in this case without the US", said a European diplomat who asked not to be named.

The WHA will be called upon to ratify the adoption of the agreement and to launch an intergovernmental working group to negotiate technical details of the so-called Pathogen Access and Benefit-Sharing System (PABS), said negotiations co-chair Anne-Claire Amprou.

Core to the agreement, that system will be aimed at allowing the swift sharing of pathogen data with pharmaceutical companies, enabling them to quickly start working on pandemic-fighting products.

Once the PABS annex is completed and adopted at the 2026 WHA, "the whole (agreement) will open for signature", Steven Solomon, WHO's principal legal officer, told reporters.

Ratification by 60 states will be needed for the accord to come into force.

Deep cuts

Also high on the agenda next week will be the dramatic overhaul of WHO operations and finances.

WHO chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus told member states last month that the agency would need to slim down due to deep US funding cuts.

The agency has been bracing for Trump's planned full withdrawal of the United States -- by far its largest donor -- next January.

The United States gave WHO $1.3 billion for its 2022-2023 budget, mainly through voluntary contributions for specific projects rather than fixed membership fees.

"The loss of US funding, combined with reductions in official development assistance by some other countries, mean we are facing a salary gap for the next biennium of more than $500 million," Tedros said on Wednesday.

Tedros has not said how many jobs will be lost, but on Wednesday he announced the organization would cut its leadership team nearly in half.

Budget gap

Next week, member states will vote on a proposed 20-percent increase of WHO's mandatory membership fees for the 2026-27 budget period, Boehme said.

Members already agreed in 2022 to increase the mandatory fees to cover 50 percent of the WHO budget.

Without that decision, Tedros said Wednesday that "our current financial situation would be much worse -– $300 million worse".

"It is essential, therefore, that member states approve this next increase, to make another step towards securing the long-term financial sustainability and independence of WHO."

Countries will also be asked to adopt the 2026-2027 budget, at a time when development assistance funding, including for health resources, are dwindling globally.

"We have proposed a reduced budget of $4.2 billion for the 2026-2027 biennium, a 21-percent reduction on the original proposed budget of 5.3 billion," Tedros said.

If the increase in membership fees is approved, the WHO estimates it can raise more than $2.6 billion, or more than 60 percent of the budget.

"That leaves an anticipated budget gap of more than $1.7 billion," Tedros said.