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Fahad Almubarak and the Story of the Trusted G20 Sherpa

Minister of State Fahad Almubarak. (SPA)
Minister of State Fahad Almubarak. (SPA)
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Fahad Almubarak and the Story of the Trusted G20 Sherpa

Minister of State Fahad Almubarak. (SPA)
Minister of State Fahad Almubarak. (SPA)

With Saudi Arabia’s presidency of the G20 for 2020, attention has been shifted – among many things – to Minister of State Fahad Almubarak who has been the Kingdom’s G20 Sherpa since 2018.

The Saudi Sherpa at the G20 is a sign of competence and merit. Almubarak has assumed many major positions in the Kingdom’s economic sector and has accumulated years of experience in the private sector, becoming a trusted figure in the government.

He has played a role in developing the country’s financial market, managed the central bank and fiscal policies for years, and was chosen as a member of the Shura Council.

The word Sherpa may not be familiar to many people. According to Wikipedia, a Sherpa “is the personal representative of a head of state or government who prepares an international summit, particularly the annual G7 and G20 summits.”

The word, however, derives its meaning and name from Nepal, specifically a group that serves as guides and porters in the Himalayas.

So the G20 Sherpa effectively acts as an envoy ahead of the final summit, which the Kingdom is expected to host on November 21 and 22. He or she is tasked with preparations ahead of the main summit.

Almubarak boasts years of experience in fiscal policy, which allowed him to be appointed as the Kingdom’s Sherpa for this year’s summit.

The businessman served as Governor of the Saudi Arabian Monetary Authority from 2011 to 2016. He has also been a Royal Court Advisor since 2015 and the Secretary-General of G20 Saudi Secretariat, as well as Member of the SABIC Board of Directors’ Investment Committee since 2017.

He was a member of the Shura council from 1999 to 2005. He served as Chairman of the Board of the Saudi stock exchange, Tadawul, from 2003 to 2011.

He was a member of the Board of Etihad Etisalat (Mobily) from 1998 to 2003, Chairman of the Board of Morgan Stanley Saudi Arabia from 2005 to 2011 and member of the Board of Malaz Group from 2000 to 2002.

From 1992 to 1999, Almubarak served as the CEO of Rana Investment Company.

He holds a Bachelor of Science Degree in Civil Engineering from Southern Methodist University, Texas, Master's degree in Business Administration, Master's degree in Engineering Management, Master's degree in Accountancy and Taxation and PhD degree in Business Administration from the University of Houston, Texas.

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Dollar Steadies ahead of Trump Inauguration

A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
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Dollar Steadies ahead of Trump Inauguration

A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo

The US dollar steadied on Thursday despite the sharp fall in US bond yields after Wednesday’s inflation data as market focus shifted to Donald Trump’s presidential inauguration next week and possible inflationary impact of his policies.

Meanwhile the yen rose against the dollar and the euro as investors expected the Bank of Japan to hike rates next week.

The US dollar index - a measure of the value of the greenback relative to a basket of foreign currencies - was up 0.1% at 109.12.

"Markets are cautious before the inauguration because there is still policy uncertainty," said Paul Mackel, global head of foreign exchange research at HSBC.

"If the risk of US tariffs begins to materialize, the dollar will get another lift," he added, Reuters reported.

The highlight of the day should be the nomination hearing of Trump's choice of Scott Bessent to head the Treasury Department.

Bessent, who will face questioning before the US Senate Finance Committee, is expected to keep a leash on US deficits and to use tariffs as a negotiating tool, mitigating the expected inflationary impact of economic policies expected from the Trump administration.

The US inflation curve "has a well-identifiable 40 bps 'hump' over the next 12 months, which is near-identical to the estimated impact of a 5% universal and 20% China tariff starting as soon as Trump gets in office," said George Saravelos, head of forex research at Deutsche Bank.

"The market is pricing quick but moderate tariffs," he added. "We see risks of slower but bigger tariffs."

Traders who have been growing more worried about inflation responded with relief to Wednesday's US data, buying stocks and sending benchmark 10-year Treasury yields down more than 13 basis points. The currency reaction was more muted.

Analysts flagged that the US consumer price data was better than expected, but still showing inflation above Federal Reserve targets. The figures provided the US bond market with an excuse to do some downside testing for yields, but such a move is unlikely to go far.

"We still think that it will be easy for the Fed to remain on hold for now and wait for more data and fiscal policy clarity," said Allison Boxer, an economist at PIMCO, adding that US data did not change their forecasts for core inflation.

"We expect this to be the message (Fed) Chair (Jerome) Powell aims to communicate at the January meeting."

There was little direct reaction in foreign exchange markets to the ceasefire deal in Gaza, though the Israeli shekel did touch a one-month high on Wednesday.

The yen rose 0.46% against the dollar, after hitting 155.21, its lowest level since Dec. 19. It was up 0.51% against the euro at 160.19.

Recent remarks from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda and his deputy Ryozo Himino have made clear that a hike will at least be discussed at next week's policy meeting and markets see about a 79% chance of a 25 basis point increase, while pricing 50 bps of rate hikes by year-end.

"Yen strengthened on expectations for a rate hike, but now the focus is on what BOJ officials will say about the monetary policy outlook," HSBC's Mackel argued.

"They could signal a more gradual path for the future, which could limit yen gains."

Japan's annual wholesale inflation held steady at 3.8% in December on stubbornly high food costs, data showed on Thursday.

"Expectations of a BOJ hike and perhaps fears of more forex intervention in the 158/160 area have helped the yen outperform," said Chris Turner, head of forex strategy at ING.

"We expect that to continue into next week's BOJ meeting. However, dips may exhaust in the 153/155 area," he said.

The euro was up 0.05% at $1.0294.

Sterling dropped sharply against the yen and also weakened versus the dollar and the euro on Thursday as investors focused on monetary policy divergence after last week's selloff in gilts and the pound.

China's yuan, seen on the front lines of tariff risk, was pinned near the weak end of its trading band at 7.3468 throughout the Asia session.