GCC: An Opportunity for Regional Gas Sector Integration

General view of the Natural Gas Liquids (NGL) facility in Saudi Aramco's Shaybah oilfield at the Empty Quarter in Saudi Arabia May 22, 2018. REUTERS/Ahmed Jadallah/File Photo
General view of the Natural Gas Liquids (NGL) facility in Saudi Aramco's Shaybah oilfield at the Empty Quarter in Saudi Arabia May 22, 2018. REUTERS/Ahmed Jadallah/File Photo
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GCC: An Opportunity for Regional Gas Sector Integration

General view of the Natural Gas Liquids (NGL) facility in Saudi Aramco's Shaybah oilfield at the Empty Quarter in Saudi Arabia May 22, 2018. REUTERS/Ahmed Jadallah/File Photo
General view of the Natural Gas Liquids (NGL) facility in Saudi Aramco's Shaybah oilfield at the Empty Quarter in Saudi Arabia May 22, 2018. REUTERS/Ahmed Jadallah/File Photo

A recent survey has revealed an opportunity for Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states to move to a regionally integrated gas market, which enhances efficiency and supports strategic goals in employment, consumption and investment.

Researchers in Saudi Arabia emphasized that the integration of the gas network within the Gulf countries represented an opportunity to expand the Gulf gas market and increase its efficiency. This means raising the ability of countries that have a surplus of gas to channel their resources as exports within other Gulf States, which in turn, would benefit from the low cost of gas and increase their energy security.

In comments to Asharq Al-Awsat, the King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center (KAPSARC) said that the countries of the GCC have consumed a combined 296 billion cubic meters of natural gas in 2019, which is equivalent to China’s consumption in the same year. The center noted that the Gulf region had the highest levels of gas consumption per capita in the world.

The opportunity for regional gas sector integration comes as the estimates of the International Energy Agency (IEA) showed that the Covid-19 pandemic would cause investments in the oil and gas sectors in 2020 to drop by 32 percent, compared to 2019.

The analysis prepared by KAPSARC researchers showed that the Gulf countries have 20 percent of the global natural gas reserves, estimated at 1.379 trillion cubic feet. They noted that the region had the right qualifications to move towards a regional integrated gas market.

KAPSARC pointed to three main factors that would contribute to shaping the demand on gas in Saudi Arabia: the continuous reforms of fuel prices, electricity tariffs, and the speed of using renewable energy.

The center noted that natural gas prices in the Gulf countries were the lowest in the world, as governments regulate them to promote industrialization and economic diversification away from oil, generate job opportunities and allow a fair access to prosperity.

“Saudi Arabia intends within its plans to develop unconventional gas, which is expected to contribute to the production of about 30 billion cubic meters annually by 2030,” the center underlined.



Oil Rises as Investors Weigh Market Outlook, Tariffs, Sanctions

A view shows oil pump jacks outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk
A view shows oil pump jacks outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk
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Oil Rises as Investors Weigh Market Outlook, Tariffs, Sanctions

A view shows oil pump jacks outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk
A view shows oil pump jacks outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk

Oil prices rose by around 1% on Friday as investors weighed a tight prompt market against a potential large surplus this year forecast by the IEA, while US tariffs and possible further sanctions on Russia were also in focus.

Brent crude futures were up 76 cents, or 1.11%, at $69.40 a barrel as of 1153 GMT US West Texas Intermediate crude ticked up 82 cents, or 1.23%, to $67.39 a barrel.

At those levels, Brent was headed for a 1.6% gain on the week, while WTI was up around 0.6% from last week's close.

The IEA said on Friday the global oil market may be tighter than it appears, with demand supported by peak summer refinery runs to meet travel and power-generation, Reuters reported.

Front-month September Brent contracts were trading at a $1.11 premium to October futures at 1153 GMT.

"Civilians, be they in the air or on the road, are showing a healthy willingness to travel," PVM analyst John Evans said in a note on Friday.

Prompt tightness notwithstanding, the IEA boosted its forecast for supply growth this year, while trimming its outlook for growth in demand, implying a market in surplus.

"OPEC+ will quickly and significantly turn up the oil tap. There is a threat of significant oversupply. In the short term, however, oil prices remain supported," Commerzbank analysts said in a note.

Further adding support to the short-term outlook, Russian deputy prime minister Alexander Novak said on Friday that Russia will compensate for overproduction against its OPEC+ quota this year in August-September.

"Prices have recouped some of this decline after President Trump said he plans to make a 'major' statement on Russia on Monday. This could leave the market nervous over the potential for further sanctions on Russia," ING analysts wrote in a client note.

Trump has expressed frustration with Russian President Vladimir Putin due to the lack of progress on peace with Ukraine and Russia's intensifying bombardment of Ukrainian cities.

The European Commission is set to propose a floating Russian oil price cap this week as part of a new draft sanctions package, but Russia said it has "good experience" of tackling and minimising such challenges.