Iraq Denies Asking OPEC for Exemption From Pact Aimed at Reducing Output

Oil tanks are seen at the gas field of Siba in Basra, Iraq April 25, 2018. REUTERS/Essam Al-Sudani /File Photo
Oil tanks are seen at the gas field of Siba in Basra, Iraq April 25, 2018. REUTERS/Essam Al-Sudani /File Photo
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Iraq Denies Asking OPEC for Exemption From Pact Aimed at Reducing Output

Oil tanks are seen at the gas field of Siba in Basra, Iraq April 25, 2018. REUTERS/Essam Al-Sudani /File Photo
Oil tanks are seen at the gas field of Siba in Basra, Iraq April 25, 2018. REUTERS/Essam Al-Sudani /File Photo

Iraq's Oil Minister Ihsan Abdul Jabbar said that Iraq didn't ask OPEC for exemption from a pact aimed at reducing output.

His statements were made following Iraq’s Finance Minister Ali Abdul Amir Allawi announcing that Iraq is feeling the strain under OPEC+ deal.

"We have reached the limit of our ability and willingness to accept a policy of one-size-fits-all," Iraq's finance minister said at a Chatham House Iraq conference this week. "It has to be more nuanced and it has to be related to the per-capita income of people, the presence of sovereign wealth funds, none of which we have."

Oil prices are expected to reach about USD50 at the beginning of 2021 amid a mild recovery in global demand, the oil minister said.

He added that the commitment of members to the deal would help boost oil prices and Iraq was not seeking exemption “fearing from new retreat in oil prices.”

Under the current OPEC+ agreement, Iraq was required to cut output by more than 1mn b/d in May-July and by 849,000 b/d in August-December from an October 2018 baseline of 4.65mn b/d.

The results of the OPEC+ coalition’s output-cuts deal have been positive and stabilizing for the oil market, given the impact the coronavirus pandemic has had on producers and importers of crude, Jabbar said.

Iraq has exported an average of 2.88 million barrels a day in November. Exports from Basra ports to the south reached 2.77 million barrels a day in November, citing the oil minister.



World Bank Warns of Long-Term Fallout from Regional Conflict

 A man walks carrying shopping bags in a local market in downtown Riyadh (AFP). 
 A man walks carrying shopping bags in a local market in downtown Riyadh (AFP). 
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World Bank Warns of Long-Term Fallout from Regional Conflict

 A man walks carrying shopping bags in a local market in downtown Riyadh (AFP). 
 A man walks carrying shopping bags in a local market in downtown Riyadh (AFP). 

Amid mounting geopolitical tensions and growing economic uncertainty, the World Bank has warned that any conflict in the Middle East, particularly between Israel and Iran, could have far-reaching and negative consequences for the region and beyond.

Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat on the sidelines of the launch of the World Bank’s latest economic update for the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), Safaa El Tayeb El-Kogali, the Bank’s Regional Director for the GCC, stated: “Any conflict, especially in this region, can have long-lasting and adverse effects.” She noted that the fallout is not limited to energy markets alone, but also includes rising shipping costs, heightened inflationary pressures, and increased investor uncertainty.

While the World Bank’s latest report, which was released on June 1, does not reflect the most recent escalation in the region, El-Kogali emphasized that it is “still too early to fully assess the impact of the ongoing conflict.” She warned, however, that in such volatile conditions, investors tend to adopt a “wait-and-see” approach, delaying decisions until clarity and stability return.

Despite challenges in the energy market, El-Kogali highlighted the resilience of the Gulf economies, thanks to sustained efforts toward economic diversification. In 2024, while the oil sector contracted by 3% due to OPEC+ production cuts, non-oil sectors grew by 3.7%, helping drive overall GDP growth to 1.8% — a notable recovery from 0.3% in 2023.

The World Bank projects the GCC economies will grow by 3.2% in 2025 and 4.5% in 2026, supported by easing oil production cuts and continued strength in non-oil sectors. However, El-Kogali stressed that these projections remain vulnerable to global trade volatility, oil price swings, and the evolving regional security landscape.

To mitigate risks, she urged Gulf countries to accelerate structural reforms, reduce dependency on oil, and boost intra-regional trade. Growth, she added, will also benefit from steady contributions from exports, investment, and domestic consumption.

El-Kogali emphasized that short-term risks include reduced export demand, oil market fluctuations, and regional instability affecting tourism and investor sentiment. Over the long term, threats such as low productivity growth, slow economic transformation, and over-reliance on fossil fuels could hinder progress.

She concluded by recommending fiscal diversification, tax reforms, and stronger regional trade links to create more resilient and adaptive Gulf economies.