Jordan's Draft 2021 Budget Projects 2.5% Growth

Jordan's economy is expected to shrink by 3 percent this year. (AFP)
Jordan's economy is expected to shrink by 3 percent this year. (AFP)
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Jordan's Draft 2021 Budget Projects 2.5% Growth

Jordan's economy is expected to shrink by 3 percent this year. (AFP)
Jordan's economy is expected to shrink by 3 percent this year. (AFP)

Jordan's draft 2021 budget forecasts JOD9.9 billion (USD14 billion) in state expenditure and economic growth of 2.5 percent after the COVID-19 pandemic caused the worst contraction in decades, the finance minister said on Monday.

Mohamad Al Ississ told Reuters the cabinet had approved a budget that would accelerate IMF-backed reforms to help the kingdom restore fiscal prudence for a sustained recovery.

He said the budget would continue major fiscal reforms, including continuing an aggressive tax evasion campaign that has netted this year hundreds of millions of dinars for the country's strained state finances.

"Despite the unprecedented challenges, fiscal stability remains our priority," he said.

Ississ said the government would not resort to new taxes but a commitment to raise public sector pay that was postponed this year would push state spending, the bulk consumed by salaries and pensions.

Jordan's economy is expected to shrink by 3 percent this year, an improvement from an earlier 5.5 percent, the sharpest contraction in two decades. Before the pandemic struck, the IMF had estimated economic growth of 2 percent.

The government has given priority to cushioning the pandemic's impact on the poor by expanding a social safety net that has provided support to at least 2.5 million people, more than a third of the country's citizens, Ississ said.

It will help to ease the pain of the pandemic that has pushed unemployment to a record 23 percent, he added.

Although the kingdom has been more dependent than other regional economies on hard-hit sectors such as tourism and remittances, its commitment to an IMF-backed USD1.3 billion four-year program has helped to maintain external financing from major Western donors.

Jordan's commitment to IMF reforms and investor confidence in the country's improved outlook helped it to maintain stable sovereign ratings at a time when other emerging markets were being downgraded, the minister added.

Last week, Moody's affirmed Jordan's B1 credit rating, citing expenditure control and improved tax compliance. That followed a B+/B rating from Standard and Poor’s in September.



North Korea Bars Western Influencers from Trade Fair Tour

North Korea has barred Western influencers from joining tourists to an international trade fair, a China-based tour operator said. STR / KCNA VIA KNS/AFP
North Korea has barred Western influencers from joining tourists to an international trade fair, a China-based tour operator said. STR / KCNA VIA KNS/AFP
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North Korea Bars Western Influencers from Trade Fair Tour

North Korea has barred Western influencers from joining tourists to an international trade fair, a China-based tour operator said. STR / KCNA VIA KNS/AFP
North Korea has barred Western influencers from joining tourists to an international trade fair, a China-based tour operator said. STR / KCNA VIA KNS/AFP

North Korea has barred Western influencers from joining a delegation of tourists to an international trade fair in October, a China-based tour operator told AFP on Monday.

Diplomatically isolated North Korea has welcomed sporadic groups of international visitors in recent months, including hundreds of foreign athletes in April for the first Pyongyang International Marathon in six years.

China has historically been the biggest diplomatic, economic and political backer of North Korea, which remains under crippling international sanctions.

Travel agency Young Pioneer Tours (YPT) said on Saturday it would take a group of foreign tourists on a trip to the authoritarian state from October 24 to November 1.

However, the tour would not be open to journalists, travel content creators or influencers, the company said on its website.

YPT co-founder Rowan Beard told AFP the curbs on creators were "a specific request from the North Korean side".

"We anticipate that once the country officially reopens, there may be stricter scrutiny or limitations on influencers and YouTubers joining tours," Beard said.

The company had "no visibility" on when Pyongyang would restart official media delegations, he said.

Several online influencers have shared slickly produced videos from inside North Korea in recent months.

Chad O'Carroll, founder of specialist website NK News, said many influencers tend to have larger audiences than professional journalists, but "they are normally working without editors and tend to gain extra views through sensationalist-style content".

"North Korean authorities likely see few benefits and major risks with allowing social media influencers to visit the country, given what we saw earlier this year," O'Carroll told AFP.

"The result is a community of potential visitors who, in DPRK authorities' minds, are not likely to produce content that is favorable to state interests," he said, using North Korea's official name.

Lavish gifts

The YPT tour, priced at 3,995 euros ($4,704), will depart from the Chinese capital Beijing and take in the Pyongyang Autumn International Trade Fair, North Korea's biggest international business exhibition.

Participants will have a "unique chance" to stroll through more than 450 trade booths exhibiting machinery, information technology, energy, pharmaceuticals, consumer goods and household items.

YPT also said the Pyongyang Chamber of Commerce would "hold a VIP presentation for us for an in-depth overview and insights into the (North Korean) economy".

The itinerary also includes major sights in Pyongyang as well as the first Western visit in more than five years to Mount Myohyang, which boasts a museum of lavish gifts presented to former North Korean leaders.

Chinese people used to make up the bulk of foreign tourists and business visitors to the isolated nuclear nation before it sealed its borders during the Covid-19 pandemic.

However, numbers have not rebounded despite Pyongyang's post-pandemic reopening, a trend that some analysts have attributed to Beijing's anger at North Korea's explicit support for Russia's invasion of Ukraine.