Jordan's Draft 2021 Budget Projects 2.5% Growth

Jordan's economy is expected to shrink by 3 percent this year. (AFP)
Jordan's economy is expected to shrink by 3 percent this year. (AFP)
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Jordan's Draft 2021 Budget Projects 2.5% Growth

Jordan's economy is expected to shrink by 3 percent this year. (AFP)
Jordan's economy is expected to shrink by 3 percent this year. (AFP)

Jordan's draft 2021 budget forecasts JOD9.9 billion (USD14 billion) in state expenditure and economic growth of 2.5 percent after the COVID-19 pandemic caused the worst contraction in decades, the finance minister said on Monday.

Mohamad Al Ississ told Reuters the cabinet had approved a budget that would accelerate IMF-backed reforms to help the kingdom restore fiscal prudence for a sustained recovery.

He said the budget would continue major fiscal reforms, including continuing an aggressive tax evasion campaign that has netted this year hundreds of millions of dinars for the country's strained state finances.

"Despite the unprecedented challenges, fiscal stability remains our priority," he said.

Ississ said the government would not resort to new taxes but a commitment to raise public sector pay that was postponed this year would push state spending, the bulk consumed by salaries and pensions.

Jordan's economy is expected to shrink by 3 percent this year, an improvement from an earlier 5.5 percent, the sharpest contraction in two decades. Before the pandemic struck, the IMF had estimated economic growth of 2 percent.

The government has given priority to cushioning the pandemic's impact on the poor by expanding a social safety net that has provided support to at least 2.5 million people, more than a third of the country's citizens, Ississ said.

It will help to ease the pain of the pandemic that has pushed unemployment to a record 23 percent, he added.

Although the kingdom has been more dependent than other regional economies on hard-hit sectors such as tourism and remittances, its commitment to an IMF-backed USD1.3 billion four-year program has helped to maintain external financing from major Western donors.

Jordan's commitment to IMF reforms and investor confidence in the country's improved outlook helped it to maintain stable sovereign ratings at a time when other emerging markets were being downgraded, the minister added.

Last week, Moody's affirmed Jordan's B1 credit rating, citing expenditure control and improved tax compliance. That followed a B+/B rating from Standard and Poor’s in September.



Gulf Stock Markets Slip Amid Escalating Iran-Israel Conflict and Fed Policy Uncertainty

Traders monitor stock information displayed on screens at the Qatar Stock Exchange. (Reuters)
Traders monitor stock information displayed on screens at the Qatar Stock Exchange. (Reuters)
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Gulf Stock Markets Slip Amid Escalating Iran-Israel Conflict and Fed Policy Uncertainty

Traders monitor stock information displayed on screens at the Qatar Stock Exchange. (Reuters)
Traders monitor stock information displayed on screens at the Qatar Stock Exchange. (Reuters)

Major stock markets across the Gulf declined on Tuesday, as heightened geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel weighed on investor sentiment and fueled concerns over regional stability. Investors also remained on edge ahead of a key interest rate decision by the US Federal Reserve.

Reports from Iranian state media described a series of explosions and intense anti-aircraft fire lighting up the skies over Tehran. Simultaneously, air raid sirens sounded in Tel Aviv following a barrage of Iranian missile launches.

Amid the growing tensions, US President Donald Trump, speaking after departing early from the G7 summit in Canada, urged civilians to evacuate the Iranian capital.

At the same time, markets are closely watching developments in Washington, where the Federal Reserve is set to begin a two-day policy meeting. The central bank is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged, but investors are eagerly awaiting signals from Chair Jerome Powell on the future path of monetary policy, particularly any indications of upcoming rate cuts to support a slowing global economy.

Against this backdrop, Gulf equity markets ended the day mixed. Saudi Arabia’s benchmark Tadawul All Share Index slipped 0.41%, while the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange lost 0.51%. Dubai’s main index was down 0.64%.

Other markets followed suit. Qatar’s index dropped 0.51%, Muscat’s bourse fell 0.33%, and Egypt’s EGX 30 posted the largest regional decline, falling 1.02% amid heightened investor anxiety.

However, a few markets bucked the trend. Kuwait’s exchange rose 0.65%, while Bahrain’s index gained 0.30%, supported by selective buying and relative insulation from the geopolitical fallout.