Achieving 2.5% Growth in Jordan in 2021 Depends on Continued Economic Activity

A man wears a face mask amid concerns over the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) as he buys food supplies in Amman, Jordan, April 12, 2020. (Reuters)
A man wears a face mask amid concerns over the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) as he buys food supplies in Amman, Jordan, April 12, 2020. (Reuters)
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Achieving 2.5% Growth in Jordan in 2021 Depends on Continued Economic Activity

A man wears a face mask amid concerns over the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) as he buys food supplies in Amman, Jordan, April 12, 2020. (Reuters)
A man wears a face mask amid concerns over the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) as he buys food supplies in Amman, Jordan, April 12, 2020. (Reuters)

Jordan hopes its growth will rebound to 2.5 percent in 2021 from a three percent contraction in 2020 after economic activity was hit by lockdowns, border closures and a sharp fall in tourism during the coronavirus pandemic, the finance minister said.

Mohammad al-Ississ told the parliament in a budget speech that the 2021 forecast, which was in line with International Monetary Fund (IMF) estimates, depended on the continued economic activity without imposing any lockdowns.

The gradual reopening of most of Jordan’s key business and manufacturing activities since last summer had helped its economy to reverse earlier IMF estimates of a severe five percent contraction.

The kingdom’s public finances and balance of payments have been strained by the collapse of tourism and lower remittances from workers overseas with unemployment soaring to a record 22 percent due to bankruptcies and layoffs.

Ississ noted that the main goal of this year’s 9.9 billion dinar ($14 billion) state budget was to maintain fiscal prudence to help ensure financial stability.

Jordan’s commitment to IMF reforms and investor confidence in the country’s improved outlook helped it maintain stable sovereign ratings at a time when other emerging markets were being downgraded, he added.

Meanwhile, Central Bank figures have revealed that foreign exchange reserves stood at some $ 12.17 billion in 2020, compared to their level at the end of 2019.

Foreign reserves in Jordan have been negatively affected since the beginning of 2016 due to a slowdown in remittances from expatriates, tourism income and foreign investment.

In 2020, the government imposed measures to contain the coronavirus outbreak, negatively affecting the economic activity in the kingdom.



Saudi Arabia Begins Marketing International Bonds Following 2025 Borrowing Plan Announcement

Riyadh (Reuters)
Riyadh (Reuters)
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Saudi Arabia Begins Marketing International Bonds Following 2025 Borrowing Plan Announcement

Riyadh (Reuters)
Riyadh (Reuters)

Saudi Arabia has entered global debt markets with a planned sale of bonds in three tranches, aiming to use the proceeds to cover budget deficits and repay outstanding debt, according to IFR (International Financing Review).

The indicative pricing for the three-year bonds is set at 120 basis points above US Treasury bonds, while the six- and ten-year bonds are priced at 130 and 140 basis points above US Treasuries, respectively, as reported by Reuters.

The bonds, expected to be of benchmark size (typically at least $500 million), come a day after Saudi Arabia unveiled its 2025 borrowing plan. The Kingdom’s financing needs for the year are estimated at SAR 139 billion ($37 billion), with SAR 101 billion ($26.8 billion) allocated to cover the budget deficit and the remainder to service existing debt.

The National Debt Management Center (NDMC) announced that Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan had approved the 2025 borrowing plan following its endorsement by the NDMC Board. The plan highlights public debt developments for 2024, domestic debt market initiatives, and the 2025 financing roadmap, including the Kingdom’s issuance calendar for local sukuk denominated in Saudi Riyals.

The NDMC emphasized that Saudi Arabia aims to enhance sustainable access to debt markets and broaden its investor base. For 2025, the Kingdom will continue diversifying its domestic and international financing channels to meet funding needs efficiently. Plans include issuing sovereign debt instruments at fair prices under risk management frameworks and pursuing specialized financing opportunities to support economic growth, such as export credit agency-backed funding, infrastructure development financing, and exploring new markets and currencies.

Recently, Saudi Arabia secured a $2.5 billion Sharia-compliant revolving credit facility for three years from three regional and international financial institutions to address budgetary needs.

In 2024, Saudi Arabia issued $17 billion in dollar-denominated bonds, including $12 billion in January and $5 billion in sukuk in May. Rating agencies have recognized the Kingdom’s financial stability. In November, Moody’s upgraded Saudi Arabia’s rating to “AA3,” while Fitch assigned an “A+” rating, both with stable outlooks. S&P Global rated the Kingdom at “A/A-1” with a positive outlook, reflecting its low credit risk and strong capacity to meet financial obligations.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) estimated Saudi Arabia’s public debt-to-GDP ratio at 26.2% for 2024, describing it as low and sustainable. The IMF projects this ratio to reach 35% by 2029, with foreign borrowing playing a significant role in financing fiscal deficits.