Rai Is Not in Favor of Hariri Stepping Down

Maronite Patriarch Bechara Al-Rai and Prime Minister-Designate Saad Hariri - (NNA)
Maronite Patriarch Bechara Al-Rai and Prime Minister-Designate Saad Hariri - (NNA)
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Rai Is Not in Favor of Hariri Stepping Down

Maronite Patriarch Bechara Al-Rai and Prime Minister-Designate Saad Hariri - (NNA)
Maronite Patriarch Bechara Al-Rai and Prime Minister-Designate Saad Hariri - (NNA)

Recent reports over attempts by Lebanese Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri, Hezbollah’s leadership and General Security Head General Abbas Ibrahim to break the stalemate in the issue of the government’s formation do not reflect the reality on ground.

There is no communication between President Michel Aoun and Prime Minister-Designate Saad Hariri, despite Maronite Patriarch Bechara Al-Rai’s continuous calls for the two to meet and reach an understanding.

Notably, Rai insists that the ball is now in Aoun's court, who has not been responsive so far.

Informed sources have told Asharq Al-Awsat that Aoun’s adviser and former minister Salim Jreissati has been tasked with meeting Rai after the latter held a phone call with Aoun, asking him to invite Hariri to discuss the government's formation.

The sources said that Rai is still hoping that the president will rise above his personal disputes because removing the obstacles that prevent the government’s formation is in his interest, especially given Hariri’s adequate reaction to the leaked video in which Aoun accuses him of lying.

It is against Aoun’s interest for the last third of his term to continue to be drained, especially that every day that goes by without a government exacerbates the severe social and economic crisis in Lebanon, the sources noted.

Jreissati, for his part, responded positively to Rai’s arguments, affirming that it is not right for Lebanon to stay without a government in light of the changes sweeping through the region and with Biden’s ascension to the White House.

However, the sources said that the political decision is not Jreissati’s to make, in reference to Aoun and FPM leader Deputy Gebran Bassil. The latter and his political group are determined to prevent Hariri from forming a government, despite Rai’s insistence that the prime minister-designate should not step down.

Recently, Rai also met the Egyptian ambassador to Lebanon Yasser Al-Alawi who warned that a govt. vacuum will waste all efforts made to save Lebanon and win the trust of the Lebanese people and the international community.

In this context, the sources said that if Aoun refuses to make a move, although he insulted Hariri, it will discourage others from launching initiatives and mediation efforts, regardless of rumors about the willingness of this or that party to intervene.

Berri has headed to his house in the south, not because he is unwilling to intervene to salvage the govt. formation process, but because there is no room to make moves so long as Aoun refuses to budge from the demands which Hariri cannot accept.

Ibrahim and Hezbollah are in a similar position. The former offered to mediate between the two sides when he met with Hariri, who said was awaiting for Aoun’s response. Hezbollah’s leadership, on the other hand, is wary of taking the initiative because they want to avoid putting Aoun and Bassil in an awkward position.



Iraq Preoccupied with Potential Broad Israeli Attack

Iraqi PM Mohammed Shi al-Sudani at an emergency national security council meeting. (Iraqi government)
Iraqi PM Mohammed Shi al-Sudani at an emergency national security council meeting. (Iraqi government)
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Iraq Preoccupied with Potential Broad Israeli Attack

Iraqi PM Mohammed Shi al-Sudani at an emergency national security council meeting. (Iraqi government)
Iraqi PM Mohammed Shi al-Sudani at an emergency national security council meeting. (Iraqi government)

Baghdad has been preoccupied this week with serious possibilities that Israel may expand its war on Gaza and Lebanon by striking several targets in Iraq in retaliation to attacks by Iran-backed armed factions.

Concern has been high that Israel may attack government buildings, oil fields and strategic locations, not just the positions of the armed factions that have previously launched attacks against Israel, said sources close to the pro-Iran ruling Coordination Framework.

Media sources have spoken of government speculation that Iraq could come under “300 Israeli attacks”.

The fears in Iraq have been compounded by an Israeli complaint to the United Nations Security Council against seven armed factions and holding Baghdad responsible for the attacks they have carried out against it.

This prompted the government, through the foreign ministry, to send an official letter to the Security Council, UN Secretary-General, Arab League and Organization of Islamic Cooperation in response to the Israeli threats.

The ministry said on Saturday that Iraq is “the cornerstone of stability in the region and world and it is one of the countries that are most committed to the UN Charter.”

“The Zionist entity’s letter to the Security Council is part of a systematic policy aimed at creating claims and excuses in an attempt to expand the conflict in the region.”

It said Iraq has turned to the Security Council out of Iraq’s keenness on the international body carrying out its duty in maintaining international peace and security and the need to rein in the “Zionist aggression in Gaza and Lebanon.”

Moreover, it stressed that Iraq has been keen on exercising restraint when it comes to the use of its airspace to attack a neighboring country.

Israel has used Iraqi airspace to launch attacks against Iran in October.

Iraq underscored the importance of the international community stepping in to “stop this hostile behavior that is a flagrant violation of international law.”

It called for international efforts to stop the Israeli escalation in the region and ensure that international laws and treaties are respected to consolidate security and stability.

Meanwhile, a source close to the Coordination Framework said the main Shiite parties are taking the Israeli threats “very seriously”, urging Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani's government to take “all the necessary measures to avert a potential Israeli strike.”

All leaders of armed factions, as well as Shiite leaders, have taken up alternative locations and are moving under great secrecy, confirming that they have changed the majority of their military positions, said the source.

It also dismissed claims that Israeli jets have overflown Iraq, saying nothing has been confirmed, but not ruling out the possibility, especially since US forces have control over Iraqi skies and Iraq is helpless against stopping these violations.

Iraq had submitted a formal complaint to the UN and Security Council over Israel’s use and violation of its airspace to attack Iran.

Analyst and former diplomat Ghazi Faisal said the pro-Iran armed factions have been gathering their forces in the Sinjar province, which is strategic for Iran’s arms deliveries and logistic support to Syria where attacks can be carried out against American forces and the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights.

Sinjar is one of the most important strategic bases for the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps, he added.

Furthermore, he noted that the armed factions insist on continuing the war against Israel, rejecting government calls for calm and neutrality.

The government’s statements are aimed at delivering a message that it “is not directly responsible for the strategy of these factions,” which follow Iran’s policies.

Iraq has repeatedly said that it refuses for its territory to be used to attack another country, but some observers believe that it may allow Iran to do so should Israel strike.