Morocco Experiences Slowdown in Growth of Bank Loans

A general view of the Central Bank of Morocco in Rabat. Reuters
A general view of the Central Bank of Morocco in Rabat. Reuters
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Morocco Experiences Slowdown in Growth of Bank Loans

A general view of the Central Bank of Morocco in Rabat. Reuters
A general view of the Central Bank of Morocco in Rabat. Reuters

Bank lending showed year-on-year growth of 4.5 percent in December 2020 compared to 5.2 percent in November 2020, with an increase in loans to the non-financial sector of 3.9 percent, according to Bank Al-Maghrib (BAM).

“This change reflects the slowdown in the growth of loans to private non-financial corporations from six percent to 4.7 percent and to public non-financial corporations at 0.5 percent, following a +4.4 percent compared to the previous month, BAM explained in its memo on key indicators of monetary statistics for December 2020.

It further highlighted the acceleration in the growth of loans to households from 2.7 percent to 3.4 percent.

The distribution of loans granted to non-financial sector according to the economic purpose indicates a continuous decline in consumer loans from 3.3 percent to 4.2 percent, an acceleration in the growth of loans to real estate by 2.1 percent to 2.5 percent and a decrease in equipment loans of three percent after +1.5 percent.

Meanwhile, the monetary aggregate (M3), which represents the money supply, recorded an annual growth of 8.5 percent in December 2020 compared to 7.7 percent in November 2020, BAM noted in its latest monetary statistics.

This development reflects the increase in the growth of demand deposits at banks to 10.6 percent, the further decrease in term accounts from 12.9 percent to 9.6 percent and the deceleration in the growth of currency in circulation from 20.6 percent to 20.1 percent.

Year-on-year, the M3 increased in December by 2.7 percent to amount to1,486.8 billion dirhams, mainly reflecting the four percent increase in sight deposits with banks and 1.7 percent in accounts term, BAM said.

On the other hand, the evolution of M3 is mainly attributable to the increase in bank credit of 2.1 percent and that of official reserve assets of 9.9 percent, the bank noted.



Oil Up 2% but Set to End the Week Lower on Demand Concerns

The sun is seen behind a crude oil pump jack in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas, US, November 22, 2019. REUTERS/Angus Mordant
The sun is seen behind a crude oil pump jack in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas, US, November 22, 2019. REUTERS/Angus Mordant
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Oil Up 2% but Set to End the Week Lower on Demand Concerns

The sun is seen behind a crude oil pump jack in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas, US, November 22, 2019. REUTERS/Angus Mordant
The sun is seen behind a crude oil pump jack in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas, US, November 22, 2019. REUTERS/Angus Mordant

Oil prices rose 2% on Friday on a softer dollar but were still set to end the week lower as weaker US employment data raised concerns over the health of the world's largest oil consumer, and renewed ceasefire talks in Gaza eased worries about supply.

Brent crude futures rose $1.38, or 1.8%, to $78.60 a barrel at 1220 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rose $1.46, or 2%, to $74.47. Brent futures have fallen about 1.4% so far this week, while WTI lost nearly 3%.

Both benchmarks hit their lowest since early January this week, after the US government sharply lowered its estimate of jobs added by employers this year through March, Reuters reported.

That sparked concern about a potential recession in the US hurting demand in the top oil consuming nation, but some analysts say that was an overreaction to the jobs revision.

The market will be closely monitoring a keynote speech by Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell scheduled for 1400 GMT on Friday, with the market widely anticipating a rate cut from next month.

"Alluding to a quarter point cut in September is something already priced in and will receive a lukewarm reaction," PVM Oil analyst John Evans said.

"But a double-decker half point percentage cut goes against how the Fed wishes to manage a controlled move away from tightening," he added.

The US dollar index softened to about 101.45 ahead of the speech, and remained close to the 2024 low of 100.92 it hit on Wednesday, and is headed for a fifth straight week of losses. A cheaper greenback typically lifts demand for dollar-denominated oil from investors holding other currencies.

Morgan Stanley said in a note on Friday that a drawdown in oil inventories has provided oil prices with some support.

"For now, the balance in the oil market is tight, with inventories drawing approximately 1.2 million barrels per day in the last four weeks, which we expect will continue in the balance of [the third quarter]," the bank said.

Recent data from China, the top oil importer, has pointed to a struggling economy and slowing oil demand from refiners.
A renewed push for a ceasefire in Gaza between Israel and Hamas has also helped ease supply worries and weighed on oil prices.

US and Israeli delegations started a new round of meetings in Cairo on Thursday to resolve differences over a truce proposal.