IMF Chief Warns of 'Lost Generation' if Low-Income Countries Don't Get More Help

International Monetary Fund managing director Kristalina Georgieva told reporters that 50 per cent of developing countries were at risk of falling further behind, which raised concerns about stability and social unrest. PHOTO: AFP
International Monetary Fund managing director Kristalina Georgieva told reporters that 50 per cent of developing countries were at risk of falling further behind, which raised concerns about stability and social unrest. PHOTO: AFP
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IMF Chief Warns of 'Lost Generation' if Low-Income Countries Don't Get More Help

International Monetary Fund managing director Kristalina Georgieva told reporters that 50 per cent of developing countries were at risk of falling further behind, which raised concerns about stability and social unrest. PHOTO: AFP
International Monetary Fund managing director Kristalina Georgieva told reporters that 50 per cent of developing countries were at risk of falling further behind, which raised concerns about stability and social unrest. PHOTO: AFP

The head of the IMF on Friday urged advanced economies to provide more resources to low-income countries, warning of an emerging "Great Divergence" in global growth that could risk stability and trigger social unrest for years to come.

International Monetary Fund managing director Kristalina Georgieva told reporters that 50 per cent of developing countries were at risk of falling further behind, which raised concerns about stability and social unrest.

To avert bigger problems, she said rich countries and international institutions should chip in more. She also urged heavily indebted countries to seek debt restructuring sooner rather than later, and to boost conditions for growth, Reuters reported.

"Last year the main focus was on the 'Great Lockdown'. This year we face the risk of 'Great Divergence'," Georgieva told reporters during a videoconference.

"We estimate that developing countries that have been for decades converging in income levels will be in a very tough place this time around."

Setbacks for living standards in developing countries would make it much more difficult to achieve stability and security for the rest of the world, she said.

"What is the risk? Social unrest. You can call it a lost decade. It may be a lost generation," she said.

Georgieva said advanced economies had spent about 24 per cent of GDP on average on support measures during the pandemic, compared to 6 per cent in emerging markets and 2 per cent in low-income countries.

A former top World Bank executive, Georgieva said vaccination efforts were uneven, with poor countries facing "tremendous difficulties" even as official development funds were going down.

Only one country in Africa - Morocco - had begun vaccinating its citizens, she said, citing grave concerns about increased mortality in many African countries.

"We must do everything in our power to reverse this dangerous divergence," she said, noting developing countries could also miss out on a major shift underway in rich countries to more digital and green economies.

She said accelerating vaccinations could add $9 trillion to the global economy by 2025, with 60 per cent of benefits going to developing countries.

Georgieva said she was still working with IMF shareholders to win support for a new allocation of the IMF's own currency, or Special Drawing Rights (SDRs), which could provide resources to poorer countries.

Former US President Donald Trump had blocked such a move, akin to a central bank printing money. Support from the US, the IMF's dominant shareholder, is more likely under President Joe Biden whose administration is open to a new allocation, according to sources familiar with their views. The Biden administration has not addressed the issue publicly.

Georgieva said an SDR allocation of $250 billion in 2009 had helped stabilize the global economy during the global financial crisis, and the current situation was more grave.

She said the IMF was completing a periodic review of long-term liquidity needs that might justify a new SDR allocation, but gave no further details.

Group of Seven finance officials will discuss a possible new SDR allocation when they meet on Feb 12, the sources said.



Saudi Crude Exports Rise to 6.118 Million bpd in May

Municipal police officers patrol the El Saler beach in the Albufera Natural Park, after the city council of Valencia closed three beaches on the Mediterranean coast following a suspected oil or fuel spill on the sand, in Valencia, Spain on July 17, 2024 (Photo by Jose Jordan / AFP)
Municipal police officers patrol the El Saler beach in the Albufera Natural Park, after the city council of Valencia closed three beaches on the Mediterranean coast following a suspected oil or fuel spill on the sand, in Valencia, Spain on July 17, 2024 (Photo by Jose Jordan / AFP)
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Saudi Crude Exports Rise to 6.118 Million bpd in May

Municipal police officers patrol the El Saler beach in the Albufera Natural Park, after the city council of Valencia closed three beaches on the Mediterranean coast following a suspected oil or fuel spill on the sand, in Valencia, Spain on July 17, 2024 (Photo by Jose Jordan / AFP)
Municipal police officers patrol the El Saler beach in the Albufera Natural Park, after the city council of Valencia closed three beaches on the Mediterranean coast following a suspected oil or fuel spill on the sand, in Valencia, Spain on July 17, 2024 (Photo by Jose Jordan / AFP)

Saudi Arabia’s crude oil exports in May rose to 6.118 million barrels per day from 5.968 million bpd in April, official data showed on Wednesday.

Monthly export figures are provided by Riyadh and other members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) to the Joint Organizations Data Initiative (JODI), which published them on its website.

In the markets, oil prices rose on Wednesday, a day after Brent crude fell to its lowest level in a month, as the decline in US inventories helped offset the impact of indications of a slowdown in demand from China.

Brent crude futures increased 22 cents, or 0.26 percent, to $83.95 per barrel by 12:02 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 36 cents, or 0.45 percent, to $81.12 per barrel.

Both benchmarks fell in the previous three sessions, with Brent crude futures recording $83.30 on Tuesday, the lowest level since June 17.

Market sources, citing data from the American Petroleum Institute, said that US crude oil inventories fell by 4.4 million barrels in the week ending July 12.

Analysts polled by Reuters estimated crude stocks would fall by 33,000 barrels. The sources said that gasoline stocks increased by 365,000 barrels, and distillate stocks increased by 4.923 million barrels.

At the same time, rising geopolitical risks are supporting oil prices. A Liberia-flagged oil tanker was assessing damage and investigating a potential oil spill after it was attacked by the Houthis in the Red Sea, the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden Joint Maritime Information Center (JMIC) said on Tuesday.

Meanwhile, official data this week showed that the Chinese economy grew 4.7 percent in the second quarter, the slowest pace since the first quarter of 2023, capping crude price gains.