Saudi Non-Oil GDP Growth Forecast to Grow 3.9% in 2021

A night view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (Reuters file photo)
A night view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (Reuters file photo)
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Saudi Non-Oil GDP Growth Forecast to Grow 3.9% in 2021

A night view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (Reuters file photo)
A night view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (Reuters file photo)

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) projected Saudi Arabia’s real GDP growth at 2.1 percent this year, noting that the real non-oil GDP growth recovery is expected to reach 3.9 percent in 2021.

Real oil GDP growth is projected to reach -0.5% in 2021, according to the OPEC+ agreement output levels.

Further, the IMF forecast the Saudi deficit to decline to 4.2 percent of the GDP this year.

The statement underscored the positive results of the Saudi economic reforms, projected continuation in the economic recovery, an expected decline in the unemployment rate and inflation.

It also highlighted the success of the Saudi government's swift and decisive containment measures to limit COVID-19 cases and fatalities.

The statement further commented on the effective role of fiscal policies, and financial sector, and employment initiatives launched by the government and the Saudi Central Bank (SAMA) that helped cushion the impact of the pandemic on individuals and the private sector.

This coincides with the great progress in implementing the vaccination campaign during recent months.

The IMF also lauded the Kingdom's strong economic fundamentals supported by Vision 2030, which helped establish robust governance and cooperation between ministries and entities.

In light of this, it highlighted the progress made by the "Etimad" platform in strengthening government financial management.

In addition, it commended the impressive pace of equity and debt market reforms taken by the Saudi Capital Market Authority (CMA) and the National Debt Management Center, which contributed to increasing capital raising options for companies and investment opportunities.

Regarding Saudi women's employment in the labor market, the statement praised the wide steps taken by the government, as estimations show that the rate of Saudi women in the total workforce has increased by 13 points to exceed 33 percent during the past two years.

In addition, it welcomed the Saudi Arabia Green Initiative and its potential in boosting growth and employment, as well as reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

The Ministry of Finance welcomed the IMF statement.

Minister of Finance Mohammed Al-Jadaan said that the statement reaffirms the success of the Kingdom's government in achieving positive results and tangible successes during the most challenging year for the whole world.

"Such results have been achieved despite the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, fluctuations in oil prices, sharp economic fluctuations, decline in global demand, receding growth and other challenges that the Saudi government has risen to.

“The continued implementation of Vision 2030 programs, plans and goals has enabled the Kingdom to introduce many economic and structural reforms that demonstrate the efforts in developing the financial sector and achieving fiscal sustainability that enhances the Saudi economy's strength despite all the challenges,” Jadaan added.



Foreign Investments in Saudi Arabia Triple, with Over 1,200 Benefiting from Premium Residency

The 28th Global Investment Conference kicked off in Riyadh on Monday. (SPA)
The 28th Global Investment Conference kicked off in Riyadh on Monday. (SPA)
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Foreign Investments in Saudi Arabia Triple, with Over 1,200 Benefiting from Premium Residency

The 28th Global Investment Conference kicked off in Riyadh on Monday. (SPA)
The 28th Global Investment Conference kicked off in Riyadh on Monday. (SPA)

Saudi Arabia has tripled its foreign investment inflows and increased the number of investors tenfold since the launch of Vision 2030. More than 1,200 international investors have also obtained premium residency in the Kingdom.

These figures were revealed by Minister of Investment Khalid Al-Falih during the 28th Global Investment Conference, held in Riyadh on Monday under the patronage of Prince Mohammed bin Salman bin Abdulaziz, Crown Prince and Prime Minister.

Al-Falih emphasized that premium residency is a key enabler for attracting foreign investment, as it simplifies procedures for investors and enhances their ability to seize the opportunities available in Saudi Arabia, solidifying the Kingdom’s position as a global investment hub. Residency holders, he noted, are treated as if they were in their home countries.

Since the introduction of Vision 2030, investment inflows have tripled, and the GDP has grown by 70%, reaching $1.1 trillion—half of which comes from non-oil sectors, he continued.

Al-Falih also stressed the immense opportunities in areas such as digital infrastructure and research-driven economic growth. He identified sustainability and circular carbon economy projects as key focus areas for future investment.

He acknowledged the geopolitical risks and labor shortages that pose challenges to investment. However, he projected that the Global South is poised to attract half of global financial flows by 2025.

The minister went on to say that hosting the Global Investment Conference in Riyadh provides Saudi Arabia with a platform to present its strategic vision to international partners and highlight its status as a trusted partner in sustainable economic growth.

Nivruti Rai, Managing Director and CEO of Invest India and President of the World Association of Investment Promotion Agencies (WAIPA), underscored the importance of international collaboration in achieving sustainable growth and digital transformation. She lauded Vision 2030 as a model for economic and social progress, underlining the role of technology, education, and tourism in driving development.

The world has consumed nearly 2.5 trillion metric tons of greenhouse gas emissions, leaving only 500–700 billion metric tons for sustainable use, she noted, while underscoring the need for countries like Saudi Arabia and India to lead innovation in renewable energy sources such as solar, wind and green hydrogen.

Saudi Arabia’s commitment to innovation in energy and water was also commended, with Rai describing mega projects like NEOM as a “dream come true” and a leading example of integrating technology and sustainability to improve quality of life.

During a panel discussion, Saudi Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Al-Ibrahim revealed that investment and fixed capital now constitute 25% of the GDP. He noted that Vision 2030 has unlocked vast opportunities in previously untapped sectors, including mining, tourism, culture, and entertainment, significantly contributing to the Kingdom’s non-oil growth.

Al-Ibrahim stressed the importance of adopting advanced technologies in renewable energy, green hydrogen, defense, education, and healthcare.

He stressed Saudi Arabia’s role as a central platform for accessing new markets and boosting global economic stability through continuous innovation.

Egyptian Minister of Investment and Foreign Trade Hassan Al-Khatib highlighted the importance of Saudi-Egyptian cooperation and sound policy adoption to attract investments in promising sectors.

Saudi investments in Egypt would significantly contribute to fostering a favorable investment climate, he said.

Greek Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs Kostas Fragogiannis discussed Greece’s focus on attracting investments in gas, including talks with Saudi Arabia and other nations, to access European markets.

The Invest in Saudi Arabia platform organized the three-day Global Investment Conference from November 25 to 27 in collaboration with WAIPA. This major event brings together global leaders, investors, and stakeholders to explore opportunities in sustainable growth and digital transformation, aiming to diversify and enhance global investment strategies.