US Intelligence Report Predicts Deterioration of Humanitarian Situation in Yemen

A Yemeni child at a displacement camp in a Sanaa suburb. (EPA)
A Yemeni child at a displacement camp in a Sanaa suburb. (EPA)
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US Intelligence Report Predicts Deterioration of Humanitarian Situation in Yemen

A Yemeni child at a displacement camp in a Sanaa suburb. (EPA)
A Yemeni child at a displacement camp in a Sanaa suburb. (EPA)

As the conflict and suffering continue in Yemen, a US intelligence report predicted that the humanitarian situation in the war-torn country will deteriorate.

Such reports from the US military intelligence are not surprising to the Yemeni people, who have been suffering from instability that erupted with the so-called Arab Spring revolts and the ouster of Ali Abdullah Saleh in 2011.

In a report to Congress that was seen by Asharq Al-Awsat, military intelligence said that Yemen was suffering the world’s worst health and humanitarian crisis that is expected to continue due to the war.

The report held the Iran-backed Houthi militias responsible for the crisis because they control most inhabited regions in Yemen.

Moreover, it accused Iran of continuing to support the militias with weapons and military advisors in order to pressure the Saudi-led Arab coalition and help in carrying out complex and long-range attacks against the Kingdom. Indeed in 2019 and 2020, these attacks reached Saudi cities, regions and oil facilities.

The report noted that in 2020, the Houthis escalated their rocket and drone attacks against Saudi Arabia. They also made major gains in areas under their control and that were held by the Yemeni government. They also consolidated their control over northwestern Yemen and are now threatening Marib city, the last government military and economic stronghold in the north.

The report added that the Houthis were growing increasingly confident due to the ongoing support they are receiving from Iran. They are now seeking negotiations with the Saudi-led coalition that would clearly reflect the situation on the ground and their military successes.

On the humanitarian and health efforts, the report said that even though the Yemeni government exerted some efforts to monitor the outbreak of the coronavirus and offered medical aid to some provinces, the Yemeni leadership lacks cohesion and financial resources to implement effective measures to combat the pandemic.

The report accused the Houthis of underestimating the impact of the virus and of underreporting actual infections in areas under their control. This means that Yemen may continue to face health and economic crises that would exacerbate the already severe humanitarian crisis.

Meanwhile, several Congressmen criticized Iran’s behavior in supporting the Houthis and its armament of the militias to escalate the Yemeni crisis. They called for a ceasefire and an end to the humanitarian crisis.

“Iran continues to send deadly weapons to the Houthis in Yemen, which is a blatant violation of the UN Arms Embargo,” tweeted Congresswoman Claudia Tenney, stressing that the cleric-led regime “must stop its illegal and dangerous activities.”

Tenney also blamed Iran for actively exacerbating the humanitarian catastrophe in Yemen.

“That the US Navy seized another shipment of Iranian weapons bound for Yemen should come as no surprise. Iran has sought to fuel civil war in Yemen since at least 2013,” said US Senator for Arkansas Tom Cotton in a tweet on Sunday.

Meanwhile, calls have been increasing on the Houthis to cease their yearlong offensive against oil-rich Marib. The calls have fallen on deaf ears, which is threatening to exacerbate the humanitarian catastrophe in the province that is home to a million Yemenis, most of whom have been displaced there from the six-year civil war.

Meanwhile, US Special Envoy for Yemen Tim Lenderking discussed de-escalation in Yemen’s northeastern governorate of Marib, ending the Yemeni humanitarian crisis and achieving a settlement among all warring parties.

He did so with several European ambassadors and representatives of international organizations.

In a tweet, the US State Department confirmed that Lenderking and Christopher Farnaud, France’s director for the Middle East at the Foreign Affairs Ministry, spoke on Tuesday.

The two agreed that “Houthis are holding the future of Yemen hostage, continuing a long, costly offensive on Marib.”

Moreover, the State Department said Lenderking and Farnaud considered the Saudi-proposed ceasefire to be a “fair deal” and called on Houthis to engage.

The State Department also rebuked the Iran-backed group for refusing to meet the UN’s Yemen envoy, Martin Griffiths, in Oman last week.



Hezbollah Leader Vows to Avenge Top Commander Killed by Israel

Hezbollah fighters stand behind the coffin of their top commander Fouad Shukr, who was killed by an Israeli airstrike on Tuesday, July 30, as Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah speaks through a screen during Shukur's funeral in a southern suburb of Beirut, Lebanon, Aug. 1, 2024. (AP)
Hezbollah fighters stand behind the coffin of their top commander Fouad Shukr, who was killed by an Israeli airstrike on Tuesday, July 30, as Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah speaks through a screen during Shukur's funeral in a southern suburb of Beirut, Lebanon, Aug. 1, 2024. (AP)
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Hezbollah Leader Vows to Avenge Top Commander Killed by Israel

Hezbollah fighters stand behind the coffin of their top commander Fouad Shukr, who was killed by an Israeli airstrike on Tuesday, July 30, as Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah speaks through a screen during Shukur's funeral in a southern suburb of Beirut, Lebanon, Aug. 1, 2024. (AP)
Hezbollah fighters stand behind the coffin of their top commander Fouad Shukr, who was killed by an Israeli airstrike on Tuesday, July 30, as Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah speaks through a screen during Shukur's funeral in a southern suburb of Beirut, Lebanon, Aug. 1, 2024. (AP)

Lebanese Hezbollah's head Hassan Nasrallah vowed on Thursday to respond to Israel's killing of the group's top military commander, saying its decades-old foe had "crossed red lines."

An Israeli strike on Hezbollah's stronghold in the southern suburb of Beirut on Tuesday killed top commander Fuad Shukr, along with an Iranian military advisor and five civilians.

It was the most serious blow to the Iran-backed group in nearly two decades and threatened to push the tit-for-tat exchanges across Lebanon's southern border in parallel with the Gaza War into a full-blown regional conflict.

Speaking in a televised address to mark the funeral of the slain commander, Nasrallah said the conflict had entered "a new phase unlike the previous one" and that Israel had crossed red lines with its attack on the group's stronghold.

Nasrallah said unnamed countries had asked his group to retaliate in an "acceptable" way - or not at all. But he said it would be "impossible" for the group not to respond.

"There is no discussion on this point. The only things lying between us and you are the days, the nights and the battlefield," Nasrallah added in a threat to Israel.

He said the group had ratcheted down its operations over the last two days out of respect for the victims of the strike but would "go back to work normally starting tomorrow morning," although the retaliation for Shukr's killing would come later.

"The response will come, whether spread out or simultaneously," he said.

Just hours after Shukr's killing, the leader of Hamas Ismail Haniyeh was killed in the Iranian capital Tehran in an attack widely blamed on Israel.

Nasrallah said that anyone seeking to prevent the region from slipping into a tailspin should work on a Gaza ceasefire.

"There will be no solution here except to stop the aggression on Gaza," he said.