GCC Projects Market Report Reveals Five-Year Peak in Awarding Rate

Project awards in Gulf countries are likely to double with signs of détente in the Corona pandemic (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Project awards in Gulf countries are likely to double with signs of détente in the Corona pandemic (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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GCC Projects Market Report Reveals Five-Year Peak in Awarding Rate

Project awards in Gulf countries are likely to double with signs of détente in the Corona pandemic (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Project awards in Gulf countries are likely to double with signs of détente in the Corona pandemic (Asharq Al-Awsat)

New data revealed a remarkable recovery in the projects market of Gulf Cooperation Council states during Q1 2021. This was traced back to the value input of awarded projects on a quarterly basis doubling.

“After witnessing declines over the last several quarters, the GCC project market showed healthy recovery during Q1-2021 with value of projects awarded more than doubling q-o-q to $ 26.3 Billion,” said a report by Kamco Invest.

“This was mainly led by pending project awards from last year, in addition to efforts by governments in the region to vaccinate the bulk of the population and limit the spread of the Covid-19 that affected economic activity across the globe,” it added.

Citing Bloomberg, Kamco said that 26.5 million doses have been administered with at least the first dose of the vaccine in the GCC out of a total population of 54 million residents.”

According to Bloomberg estimates, median Brent crude oil forecast is expected to remain comfortably above the $60 per barrel mark over the next five years.

The report coincides with most Gulf countries starting to practically ease or completely lift some of the restrictions instated to curb the spread of the coronavirus.

Moreover, it revealed that the value of projects planned and under execution in the GCC has remained around the $ 1.7 Trillion mark since 2017.

However, at the country level, the UAE has seen its share decline consistently over the years whereas Saudi Arabia has seen an increasing share especially post the announcement of big-ticket projects.

The two markets have accounted for more than 84% of the total market over the last two years.

Total value of project planned and under execution stood at $86.1 Billion at the end of 2015 that increased to $ 91.6 Billion at the start of May 2021.

In terms of quarterly data on project awards, the GCC region witnessed the normal seasonal spike during Q1-2021 with project awards worth $26.3 Billion, more than double the contract awards during Q4-2020 that stood at $12.8 Billion.



US Job Growth Surges in September, Unemployment Rate Falls to 4.1%

A woman enters a store next to a sign advertising job openings at Times Square in New York City, New York, US, August 6, 2021. REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz/File Photo
A woman enters a store next to a sign advertising job openings at Times Square in New York City, New York, US, August 6, 2021. REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz/File Photo
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US Job Growth Surges in September, Unemployment Rate Falls to 4.1%

A woman enters a store next to a sign advertising job openings at Times Square in New York City, New York, US, August 6, 2021. REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz/File Photo
A woman enters a store next to a sign advertising job openings at Times Square in New York City, New York, US, August 6, 2021. REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz/File Photo

US job growth accelerated in September and the unemployment slipped to 4.1%, further reducing the need for the Federal Reserve to maintain large interest rate cuts at its remaining two meetings this year.
Nonfarm payrolls increased by 254,000 jobs last month after rising by an upwardly revised 159,000 in August, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics said in its closely watched employment report on Friday.
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast payrolls rising by 140,000 positions after advancing by a previously reported 142,000 in August.
The initial payrolls count for August has typically been revised higher over the past decade. Estimates for September's job gains ranged from 70,000 to 220,000.
The US labor market slowdown is being driven by tepid hiring against the backdrop of increased labor supply stemming mostly from a rise in immigration. Layoffs have remained low, which is underpinning the economy through solid consumer spending.
Average hourly earnings rose 0.4% after gaining 0.5% in August. Wages increased 4% year-on-year after climbing 3.9% in August.
The US unemployment rate dropped from 4.2% in August. It has jumped from 3.4% in April 2023, in part boosted by the 16-24 age cohort and rise in temporary layoffs during the annual automobile plant shutdowns in July.
The US Federal Reserve's policy setting committee kicked off its policy easing cycle with an unusually large half-percentage-point rate cut last month and Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized growing concerns over the health of the labor market.
While the labor market has taken a step back, annual benchmark revisions to national accounts data last week showed the economy in a much better shape than previously estimated, with upgrades to growth, income, savings and corporate profits.
This improved economic backdrop was acknowledged by Powell this week when he pushed back against investors' expectations for another half-percentage-point rate cut in November, saying “this is not a committee that feels like it is in a hurry to cut rates quickly.”
The Fed hiked rates by 525 basis points in 2022 and 2023, and delivered its first rate cut since 2020 last month. Its policy rate is currently set in the 4.75%-5.00% band.
Early on Friday, financial markets saw a roughly 71.5% chance of a quarter-point rate reduction in November, CME's FedWatch tool showed. The odds of a 50 basis points cut were around 28.5%.