Int’l Report Predicts Saudi Economic Growth Reaching 2.8% in 2021

Saudi Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar bin Ibrahim Alkhorayef. (SPA)
Saudi Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar bin Ibrahim Alkhorayef. (SPA)
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Int’l Report Predicts Saudi Economic Growth Reaching 2.8% in 2021

Saudi Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar bin Ibrahim Alkhorayef. (SPA)
Saudi Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar bin Ibrahim Alkhorayef. (SPA)

A recently published international report showed striking optimism around Saudi economic growth hitting 2.8% in 2021 as the coronavirus vaccination campaign continues to reach many of the Kingdom's residents.

The rate of economic recovery was tied to the speed of administering inoculations across the Gulf state.

In the report, the Paris-based Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) raised its forecast for Saudi economic growth after it had reached around 2.6% in March.

Growth towards the end of Q1 2021 can be traced back to economic recovery measures implemented by the Kingdom.

Moreover, the report predicted that the Kingdom's GDP would grow by 3.8% during 2022, following a 4.1% contraction in 2020.

It also predicted a month-on-month GDP hike to 5.8%, as opposed to the previous 5.6%.

As for the global economy, growth will likely vary, depending on the effectiveness of vaccination programs and public health policies carried out in each country.

There are many positive signs for post-lockdown global growth. These signs include an increase in industrial production and a strong comeback for trade.

In other news, Saudi Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar bin Ibrahim Alkhorayef on Monday approved establishing a sustainability council for the industry and mineral resources system.

The council aims to achieve environmental sustainability in the Kingdom's industrial and mining sectors.

Deputy Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources for Mining Affairs Khalid bin Saleh Al-Mudaifer will head the newly formed body.

Al-Mudaifer said the council seeks to unify the efforts of the industry and the mining sector to achieve sustainability goals and enhance the competitiveness and diversity of national industries.

He said the council would strive to create an environment conducive for investment, enrich technical knowledge in the field of sustainability through digital platforms and promote clean production initiatives in the industrial and mining sectors.

Al-Mudaifer said it would also provide support to community members in responding to all challenges, as well as to unify effective communication with local authorities and international organizations.

He said the council would work on reviewing local legislation and implementing regulations related to sustainability.



Oil Rises on Prospects of Wider Middle East War, Firmer Global Supply Caps Gains

A pumpjack extracts oil in the Inglewood Oil Field in Los Angeles, Wednesday, Sept. 25, 2024. (AP Photo/Eric Thayer)
A pumpjack extracts oil in the Inglewood Oil Field in Los Angeles, Wednesday, Sept. 25, 2024. (AP Photo/Eric Thayer)
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Oil Rises on Prospects of Wider Middle East War, Firmer Global Supply Caps Gains

A pumpjack extracts oil in the Inglewood Oil Field in Los Angeles, Wednesday, Sept. 25, 2024. (AP Photo/Eric Thayer)
A pumpjack extracts oil in the Inglewood Oil Field in Los Angeles, Wednesday, Sept. 25, 2024. (AP Photo/Eric Thayer)

Oil prices rose on Thursday as the prospect of a widening Middle East conflict that could disrupt crude oil flows from the key exporting region overshadowed a stronger global supply outlook.
Brent crude futures gained 80 cents, or 1.08%, to $74.7 a barrel as of 0405 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures gained 85 cents, or 1.21%, to $70.95.
"Following the initial jitters from geopolitical risks in the Middle East, we have seen some calm return to global markets, but of course, with market participants still keeping a side-eye on any upcoming Israeli response," said Yeap Jun Rong, a market strategist at IG.
"The question for oil now is whether Iran's energy infrastructure will be in Israel's crosshairs," said Yeap.
Israel bombed central Beirut in the early hours of Thursday, killing at least six people, after its forces suffered their deadliest day on the Lebanese front in a year of clashes against Iran-backed armed group Hezbollah, reported Reuters.
The strike comes a day after Iran fired more than 180 ballistic missiles at Israel in an escalation of hostilities, which have seeped out of Israel and occupied Palestinian territories into Lebanon and Syria.
"From here, it's a waiting game to see what the Israeli response will be and I suspect that comes after the conclusion of the Rosh Hashanah holiday tomorrow," said IG market analyst Tony Sycamore.
"I doubt that Israel will target Iranian oil infrastructure, as such a move would likely drive oil prices towards $80, which would be frowned upon by Israel's allies, who are making strides against inflation," Sycamore said.
Meanwhile, US crude inventories rose by 3.9 million barrels to 417 million barrels in the week ended on Sept. 27, the Energy Information Administration said, compared with expectations in a Reuters poll for a 1.3 million-barrel draw.
"Swelling US inventories added evidence that the market is well supplied and can withstand any disruptions," ANZ analysts said in a note.
Some investors remained unfazed as global crude supplies have yet to be disrupted by unrest in the key producing region, and spare OPEC capacity tempered worries.
"After Iran's attack, prices may stay elevated or remain more volatile for a little longer, but there's enough production, there's enough supply in the world," chief executive officer of East Daley Analytics, Jim Simpson, told Reuters.
OPEC has enough spare oil capacity to compensate for a full loss of Iranian supply if Israel knocks out that country's facilities.
"The effectively available spare capacity might be much lower if renewed attacks on energy infrastructure on countries in the region happen," said Giovanni Staunovo, a UBS analyst.