World Bank Upgrades Saudi Arabia’s Growth Forecast in 21/22

File photo of The World Bank logo (Reuters)
File photo of The World Bank logo (Reuters)
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World Bank Upgrades Saudi Arabia’s Growth Forecast in 21/22

File photo of The World Bank logo (Reuters)
File photo of The World Bank logo (Reuters)

Saudi Arabia is forecast to grow 2.4 percent this year and 3.3 percent in 2022, according to a World Bank report.

Previous estimates suggested that the Saudi economy was set to grow 2 percent in 2021 and 2.2 percent in 2022.

The report explained that its forecast changed following positive developments that took place during the pandemic, in addition to higher oil prices and tapering oil production cuts, and the start of a new government investment program.

The World Bank believes that in Saudi Arabia, “additional oil production cuts deepened the contraction in the oil sector but was offset by improving growth momentum in the non-oil sector.”

The World Bank stated that in oil exporters, higher oil prices will support growth and government revenue recoveries.

“Oil prices are expected to average $62 per barrel in 2021 and 2022.”

Meanwhile, the Regional Economic Outlook report issued by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), estimates the growth of non-oil GDP of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries to hit 3.5 percent in 2021, and then 3.4 percent in 2022.

Regarding Saudi Arabia, it expects the Kingdom's economy to grow 2.9 percent in 2021, while it is expected to reach 4 percent in 2022.

For its part, the Institute of International Finance (IIF) announced in its latest report that the Kingdom’s GDP will grow 2.4 percent this year, while it will jump to 3.1 percent in 2022.

The Saudi Central Bank (Sama) reported in its recent data an increase in the value of point of sales (POS), which expresses the volume of direct individual consumption in the country. It increased 3 percent last week to reach SR9.4 billion, compared to SR9.17 billion during the previous week.



Saudi Minister of Finance Approves 2025 Annual Borrowing Plan

A night view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
A night view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
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Saudi Minister of Finance Approves 2025 Annual Borrowing Plan

A night view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
A night view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)

Saudi Minister of Finance Mohammed Abdullah Al-Jadaan approved on Sunday the Annual Borrowing Plan for the fiscal year 2025, following its endorsement by the Board of Directors of the National Debt Management Center.

The plan highlights key developments in public debt for 2024, initiatives related to local debt markets, and the funding plan and its guiding principles for 2025, in addition to the 2025 issuances’ calendar for the Local Saudi Sukuk Issuance Program in Saudi Riyal.

According to the plan, the projected funding needs for 2025 are estimated at approximately SAR139 billion. The amount is intended to cover the anticipated budget deficit of SAR101 billion for the fiscal year 2025, as outlined in the Ministry of Finance’s Official Budget Statement, and the principals’ repayment of the debts maturing in the current year, 2025, amounting to approximately SAR38 billion.

To boost the sustainability of the Kingdom's access to various debt markets and broaden the investor base, Saudi Arabia aims in 2025 to continue diversifying local and international financing channels to efficiently meet funding needs.

This will be achieved through the issuance of sovereign debt instruments at fair pricing, guided by well-defined and robust risk management frameworks.

Additionally, the Kingdom plans to benefit from market opportunities by executing private transactions that can promote economic growth, such as export credit agency financing, infrastructure development project financing, capital expenditure (CAPEX) financing, and exploring tapping into new markets and currencies based on market conditions.