Will Raisi’s Election Change Iran’s Relations with the Gulf?

Ebrahim Raisi. (AFP)
Ebrahim Raisi. (AFP)
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Will Raisi’s Election Change Iran’s Relations with the Gulf?

Ebrahim Raisi. (AFP)
Ebrahim Raisi. (AFP)

Iranian President-elect Ebrahim Raisi declared on Monday that Tehran values neighboring countries, especially Saudi Arabia.

Speaking at a press conference after winning the elections, he stressed: “We want good relations with all neighboring countries, especially Saudi Arabia.”

Moreover, he said Iran is not opposed to opening embassies with Saudi Arabia or establishing relations with it.

Conservative Iranian media had hailed Raisi’s election as the “birth of a new dawn” in the country, describing turnout as “epic” even though in fact it was the lowest in the history of the republic.

Raisi will be confronted with massive local political, social and economic challenges in a region that is mired in its own problems and complications. Experts predict that Raisi will take Iran further to the right, which will impact the ongoing negotiations in Vienna over its nuclear program.

Kuwaiti academic Dhafer al-Ajami described the Iranian elections as a preparation for the post-Ali Khamenei phase, adding that Raisi was simply a carbon copy of the supreme leader.

In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, he noted that Iran has for 40 years been claiming to extend its hand to Gulf, specifically to Saudi Arabia.

They really do not want to hold serious and effective negotiations, but such claims are used to justify some stances, he added.

The Iranian leadership is really not aware of what the Gulf wants, which is that it cease meddling in its affairs, stop exporting the revolution, quit supporting militias and end the malign objectives of the nuclear program, he explained.

If Iran is ready to meet these demands, then that would be good, but its stubbornness has reached the extent of denying the Gulf the right to protect its regional security, Ajami added.

Raisi’s election is not expected to change Iran’s foreign policy, which is firmly controlled by Khamenei.

Senior researcher at the Gulf Research Center Hesham Alghannam said that his election will at least end the duality in statements coming from Tehran.

Talk of inter-Iranian disputes will end with Raisi’s arrival to power and therefore, dealing with him will be clearer and Iran will have less room to maneuver, he told Asharq Al-Awsat.

Moreover, he noted that Raisi cannot claim to be incapable of improving ties with Iran’s neighbors.

Iran’s foreign policy and relations with the regional countries will not change much with his arrival, at least not in the beginning, Alghannam predicted.



What Curbs Have India and Pakistan Imposed on Each Other after the Kashmir Attack?

Pakistani security officials stand guard outside the Parliament building as members of the National Assembly (Lower House of the Parliament) meet to discuss recent tensions with India, in Islamabad, Pakistan, 05 May 2025. EPA/SOHAIL SHAHZAD
Pakistani security officials stand guard outside the Parliament building as members of the National Assembly (Lower House of the Parliament) meet to discuss recent tensions with India, in Islamabad, Pakistan, 05 May 2025. EPA/SOHAIL SHAHZAD
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What Curbs Have India and Pakistan Imposed on Each Other after the Kashmir Attack?

Pakistani security officials stand guard outside the Parliament building as members of the National Assembly (Lower House of the Parliament) meet to discuss recent tensions with India, in Islamabad, Pakistan, 05 May 2025. EPA/SOHAIL SHAHZAD
Pakistani security officials stand guard outside the Parliament building as members of the National Assembly (Lower House of the Parliament) meet to discuss recent tensions with India, in Islamabad, Pakistan, 05 May 2025. EPA/SOHAIL SHAHZAD

Nuclear-armed neighbors India and Pakistan have announced a raft of measures against each other as tensions mount after 26 men were killed in an attack targeting Hindu tourists in Kashmir last month, Reuters said.

Here is a look at the tit-for-tat punitive steps announced by the South Asian nations amid mutual finger-pointing in the latest crisis:

TRAVEL

India and Pakistan have shut their only open land border and closed their airspace to each other's airlines.

They have also barred all ships bearing the other's flag from visiting their ports, and said that their own ships will no longer visit the other's ports.

New Delhi also cancelled almost all visas issued to Pakistanis and set a deadline for them to return to Pakistan.

TRADE

Pakistan has paused bilateral agreements and suspended all trade with India, which has also banned the import of goods coming from or transiting via Pakistan.

WATER

India has suspended the 1960 Indus Waters Treaty which regulated sharing of water of the Indus river system between the countries.

Pakistan, which is heavily dependent on the water for its hydropower and irrigation, has said any attempt to stop or divert its flow will be considered an "act of war".

DIPLOMACY

Both countries have declared each other's defense advisers in missions in New Delhi and Islamabad persona non grata, and reduced the strength of their embassies.

POSTAL SERVICE

India has suspended exchange of all categories of inbound mail and parcels from Pakistan through air and surface routes.

LOANS

India has asked the International Monetary Fund to review its loans to Pakistan, whose recent borrowings from the global lender include a $7 billion loan secured in September, followed by a $1.3 billion climate resilience loan in March.

SOCIAL MEDIA

India has banned 16 Pakistani YouTube channels, including those of media outlets such as Dawn News as well as channels of sportspersons such as former cricketer Shoaib Akhtar.

It has also blocked social media accounts of some popular Pakistani personalities, including actor Fawad Khan, whose Instagram account has been blocked, and former Prime Minister Imran Khan, whose X account is no longer visible in India.

SPORTS

India's Olympic javelin medalist Neeraj Chopra has rescinded his invitation to Pakistani rival Arshad Nadeem to attend his meet in Bengaluru this month, saying it was "completely out of the question" after the Kashmir attack.

He had earlier invited Paris Olympics champion Nadeem to the meet - titled Neeraj Chopra Classic - which will bring the world's top throwers together from May 24.