Israel’s ‘Shadow War’ on Iran’s Nuclear Facilities Gets More Complicated

A number of new generation Iranian centrifuges are seen on display during Iran's National Nuclear Energy Day in Tehran (Reuters)
A number of new generation Iranian centrifuges are seen on display during Iran's National Nuclear Energy Day in Tehran (Reuters)
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Israel’s ‘Shadow War’ on Iran’s Nuclear Facilities Gets More Complicated

A number of new generation Iranian centrifuges are seen on display during Iran's National Nuclear Energy Day in Tehran (Reuters)
A number of new generation Iranian centrifuges are seen on display during Iran's National Nuclear Energy Day in Tehran (Reuters)

Israel’s shadow war on nuclear facilities in the depth of Iranian territories is getting more complicated as Tehran announced last Wednesday it foiled a sabotage operation against one of its centrifuge manufacturing sites before Israeli sources confirmed the attack has caused considerable damage.

Quoting an Iranian familiar with the operation and a senior intelligence official, The New York Times said Thursday that the attack was carried out by a small quadcopter drone and it targeted one of the country’s main manufacturing centers for the production of centrifuges used at the two nuclear facilities, Fordow and Natanz.

According to the newspaper, the drone took off from inside Iran, from a location not far from the site and hit the structure. However, the person familiar with the attack did not know what, if any, damage had resulted.

Later, other media outlets hinted that Israel was behind the attack on the Iranian factory, which is believed to produce aluminum blades for use in Natanz and Fordow.

Channel 13 said Israel was behind the attack, describing it as the first operation carried out by Tel Aviv against Iran under the new government of Naftali Bennett.

The Jerusalem Post said that the sabotage operation against Iran’s nuclear facilities has caused major damage, despite Iranian denials.

It wrote that a 2017 Institute for Science and International Security report by founder and director David Alrbight and former International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) official Olli Heinonen stated that in 2011, the People’s Mojahedin Organization of Iran revealed the location as one of Iran’s centrifuge manufacturing sites, near the city of Karaj, referred to as the TABA site.

In its article, the New York Times said that although no one claimed responsibility for the attack, the Iranian centrifuge factory, known as the Iran Centrifuge Technology Company, or TESA, was on a list of targets that Israel presented to the Trump administration early last year.

The newspaper said that among the targets presented to Trump’s administration at the time, were attacks on the uranium enrichment site at Natanz and the assassination of Mohsen Fakhrizadeh in November and an attack on the Natanz plant the following April, damaging a large number of centrifuges.



IAEA: Return of Inspectors to Iran’s Nuclear Sites ‘Number One Priority’

Rafael Mariano Grossi, Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) 
Rafael Mariano Grossi, Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) 
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IAEA: Return of Inspectors to Iran’s Nuclear Sites ‘Number One Priority’

Rafael Mariano Grossi, Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) 
Rafael Mariano Grossi, Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) 

The head of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) said on Wednesday that his “number one priority” is for its inspectors to return to Iran’s nuclear sites to evaluate damage caused by recent bombing and to verify stockpiles of highly enriched uranium.

Israel repeatedly struck Iranian nuclear facilities during its 12-day-war with Tehran, and US forces bombed Iran's underground nuclear facilities at the weekend, but the extent of the damage to its stocks of enriched uranium is unclear.

“So for that, to confirm, for the whole situation, evaluation, we need to return (IAEA inspectors to Iran's nuclear facilities),” UN nuclear watchdog chief Rafael Grossi told reporters in Austria following a briefing to the Government in Vienna.

Grossi said there is a chance that much of Iran's highly enriched uranium survived the Israeli and US attacks because it may have been moved by Tehran soon after the first strikes.

Earlier this week, Grossi said Iran had informed the IAEA on June 13 - the first day of Israeli strikes - that it would take “special measures” to protect its nuclear materials and equipment.

“They did not get into details as to what that meant but clearly that was the implicit meaning of that, so we can imagine that this material is there,” Grossi told a press conference on Wednesday with members of the Austrian government.

Meanwhile, Iran's parliament approved a bill on Wednesday on suspending cooperation with the IAEA and stipulating that any future IAEA inspection would need approval by Iran's Supreme National Security Council.

The IAEA needs to determine how much remains of Iran's stock of uranium enriched to up to 60% purity - a level that is close to the roughly 90% of weapons grade.

On Tuesday, three sources with knowledge of the matter told Reuters that a preliminary US intelligence assessment determined that the US strikes at the weekend set back Tehran's program by only a matter of months, meaning Iran could restart its nuclear program in that time.

“This hourglass approach is something I do not like ... It's in the eye of the beholder,” Grossi said.

“When you look at the ... reconstruction of the infrastructure, it's not impossible. First, there has been some that survived the attacks, and then this is work that Iran knows how to do. It would take some time,” he added.

Asked about Iran's threat to withdraw from the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), Grossi said, “This would be, of course, very regrettable.”

He added, “I hope this is not the case. I don't think this would help anybody, starting with Iran. This would lead to isolation and all sorts of problems and, why not, perhaps, if not the unravelling a very, very, very serious erosion in the NPT structure.”