Excellent Prospects for Broader Saudi-Omani Economic Cooperation, Integration

Saudi and Omani business sectors look forward to a qualitative leap in economic integration and trade and investment cooperation (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Saudi and Omani business sectors look forward to a qualitative leap in economic integration and trade and investment cooperation (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Excellent Prospects for Broader Saudi-Omani Economic Cooperation, Integration

Saudi and Omani business sectors look forward to a qualitative leap in economic integration and trade and investment cooperation (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Saudi and Omani business sectors look forward to a qualitative leap in economic integration and trade and investment cooperation (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia and Oman are on track towards greater commercial, investment, and economic cooperation and integration, especially in strategic sectors, industrial cities, logistics, renewable energy, and petrochemical manufactures, Omani and Saudi business sector experts predicted.

Oman’s ruler, Sultan Haitham bin Tarik, will be arriving in Saudi Arabia on Sunday for a two-day official visit and a summit with Saudi King Salman in the northwestern mega-city of Neom.

It is noteworthy that this visit is the Omani ruler’s first since being appointed as Sultan back in January and is set to produce a qualitative leap to boost cooperation and reinforce bilateral ties between the Kingdom and Sultanate.

Experts from both sides have called for formulating common visions and an annual work plan that includes specific objectives for raising the volume of trade and investment exchanges between the two countries.

Each of the Saudi-Omani Business Council (SOBC) and the Federation of Saudi Chambers (FSC) stated that the high-level visit reveals the depth of relations between the Kingdom and the Sultanate.

They also noted that economic cooperation would top the visit’s agenda given its significance to Saudi Arabia’s “Vision 2030” and Oman’s “Vision 2040.”

For his part, Saudi Commerce Minister Majid Al-Qasabi reasserted the depth and strength of Saudi-Omani bilateral relations across all fields, especially in the commercial domain, which currently is experiencing remarkable developments due to the ambitious visions of the two countries.

The two countries aim to raise their bilateral trade exchange volume, which reached over SAR58.6bn during the past six years (2015-2020), Al-Qasabi said.

He also stressed that the two sides are keen to consolidate cooperation through the SOBC to translate investment opportunities into tangible partnerships.

The SOBC is working to enhance joint work between Saudi Arabia and Oman to realize the grand ambitions leaderships have in both countries, the head of the SOBC, Nasser Bin Said Al-Hajiri, confirmed to Asharq Al-Awsat.

Moreover, Al-Hajiri revealed that the SOBC is working on enhancing available opportunities, raising the exchange of visits for governmental, commercial, and investment delegations, and boosting cooperation between research and study centers in the two countries.



IMF Chief Sees Steady World Growth in 2025, Continuing Disinflation

 People visit the lantern festival at the Beijing's Wenyuhe Park in Beijing on January 4, 2025, to welcome the upcoming Chinese New Year on January 29, marking the beginning of the Year of the Snake. (AFP)
People visit the lantern festival at the Beijing's Wenyuhe Park in Beijing on January 4, 2025, to welcome the upcoming Chinese New Year on January 29, marking the beginning of the Year of the Snake. (AFP)
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IMF Chief Sees Steady World Growth in 2025, Continuing Disinflation

 People visit the lantern festival at the Beijing's Wenyuhe Park in Beijing on January 4, 2025, to welcome the upcoming Chinese New Year on January 29, marking the beginning of the Year of the Snake. (AFP)
People visit the lantern festival at the Beijing's Wenyuhe Park in Beijing on January 4, 2025, to welcome the upcoming Chinese New Year on January 29, marking the beginning of the Year of the Snake. (AFP)

The International Monetary Fund will forecast steady global growth and continuing disinflation when it releases an updated World Economic Outlook on Jan. 17, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva told reporters on Friday.

Georgieva said the US economy was doing "quite a bit better" than expected, although there was high uncertainty around the trade policies of the administration of President-elect Donald Trump that was adding to headwinds facing the global economy and driving long-term interest rates higher.

With inflation moving closer to the US Federal Reserve's target, and data showing a stable labor market, the Fed could afford to wait for more data before undertaking further interest rate cuts, she said. Overall, interest rates were expected to stay "somewhat higher for quite some time," she said.

The IMF will release an update to its global outlook on Jan. 17, just days before Trump takes office. Georgieva's comments are the first indication this year of the IMF's evolving global outlook, but she gave no detailed projections.

In October, the IMF raised its 2024 economic growth forecasts for the US, Brazil and Britain but cut them for China, Japan and the euro zone, citing risks from potential new trade wars, armed conflicts and tight monetary policy.

At the time, it left its forecast for 2024 global growth unchanged at the 3.2% projected in July, and lowered its global forecast for 3.2% growth in 2025 by one-tenth of a percentage point, warning that global medium-term growth would fade to 3.1% in five years, well below its pre-pandemic trend.

"Not surprisingly, given the size and role of the US economy, there is keen interest globally in the policy directions of the incoming administration, in particular on tariffs, taxes, deregulation and government efficiency," Georgieva said.

"This uncertainty is particularly high around the path for trade policy going forward, adding to the headwinds facing the global economy, especially for countries and regions that are more integrated in global supply chains, medium-sized economies, (and) Asia as a region."

Georgieva said it was "very unusual" that this uncertainty was expressed in higher long-term interest rates even though short-term interest rates had gone down, a trend not seen in recent history.

The IMF saw divergent trends in different regions, with growth expected to stall somewhat in the European Union and to weaken "a little" in India, while Brazil was facing somewhat higher inflation, Georgieva said.

In China, the world's second-largest economy after the United States, the IMF was seeing deflationary pressure and ongoing challenges with domestic demand, she said.

Lower-income countries, despite reform efforts, were in a position where any new shocks would hit them "quite negatively," she said.

Georgieva said it was notable that higher interest rates needed to combat inflation had not pushed the global economy into recession, but headline inflation developments were divergent, which meant central bankers needed to carefully monitor local data.

The strong US dollar could potentially result in higher funding costs for emerging market economies and especially low-income countries, she said.

Most countries needed to cut fiscal spending after high outlays during the COVID pandemic and adopt reforms to boost growth in a durable way, she said, adding that in most cases this could be done while protecting their growth prospects.

"Countries cannot borrow their way out. They can only grow out of this problem," she said, noting that the medium-growth prospects for the world were the lowest seen in decades.