Renewed Calm in Libya Attracts Lucrative Foreign Investments

An unfinished hotel, after its construction was halted in 2011, is seen in the Libyan capital Tripoli, Libya, on Aug. 13, 2021. (AFP)
An unfinished hotel, after its construction was halted in 2011, is seen in the Libyan capital Tripoli, Libya, on Aug. 13, 2021. (AFP)
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Renewed Calm in Libya Attracts Lucrative Foreign Investments

An unfinished hotel, after its construction was halted in 2011, is seen in the Libyan capital Tripoli, Libya, on Aug. 13, 2021. (AFP)
An unfinished hotel, after its construction was halted in 2011, is seen in the Libyan capital Tripoli, Libya, on Aug. 13, 2021. (AFP)

A decade after Libya descended into chaos, a host of countries are eyeing potential multi-billion-dollar infrastructure projects in the oil-rich nation if stability is assured.

In the capital Tripoli, dozens of rusted cranes and unfinished buildings dot the seafront, testimony to hundreds of abandoned projects worth billions of dollars launched between 2000 and 2010.

Reconstruction might kick off again with the end of fighting on the outskirts of the capital and the establishment of a unified executive authority in March to lead the transition.

Economist Kamal Mansouri expects Libya’s reconstruction drive to be one of the biggest in the Middle East and North Africa. He estimates “more than $100 billion” are needed to rebuild Libya.

Turkey, Italy and Egypt are tipped to be awarded the lion’s share of reconstruction deals.

Samuel Ramani, an expert on Africa at Oxford University, said that the competition over reconstruction in Libya will be fiercer in comparison to Syria.

Italy aims to defend its commercial interests in the nation with Africa’s largest oil reserves, an energy sector where ENI has been the leading foreign player since 1959.

The firm reportedly proposes building a photovoltaic solar plant in southern Libya.

In June, Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez also visited with a business team, while Libyan Prime Minister Abdelhamid Dbeibeh has traveled to Paris.

Algeria’s Sonatrach recently announced that it was considering resuming its activities while Tunisian officials have intensified calls to revive cooperation.

Talks between Egypt and Libya were also held. Libya was a key market for Egypt before 2011, especially in the construction field.



Oil Prices Spike after US Strikes on Iran

FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
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Oil Prices Spike after US Strikes on Iran

FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo

Oil prices surged and Asian markets traded lower on Monday on concerns of disruption to energy markets after US air strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities.

The dollar strengthened as traders assessed the weekend's events, with Iran threatening US bases in the Middle East as fears grow of an escalating conflict in the volatile region.

Iran is the world's ninth-biggest oil-producing country, with output of about 3.3 million barrels per day.

It exports just under half of that amount and keeps the rest for domestic consumption.

If Tehran decides to retaliate, observers say one of its options would be to seek to close the strategic Strait of Hormuz -- which carries one-fifth of global oil output.

When trading opened on Monday, Brent and the main US crude contract WTI both jumped more than four percent to hit their highest price since January.

They pared these gains however and later in the morning Brent was up 2.1 percent at $75.43 per barrel and WTI was 2.1 percent higher at $78.64.

Economists at MUFG warned of "high uncertainty of the outcomes and duration of this war", publishing a "scenario analysis" of an oil price increase of $10 per barrel.

"An oil price shock would create a real negative impact on most Asian economies" as many are big net energy importers, they wrote, reflecting the market's downbeat mood.

Tokyo's key Nikkei index was down 0.6 percent at the break, with Hong Kong losing 0.4 percent and Shanghai flat. Seoul fell 0.7 percent and Sydney was 0.8 percent lower.

'Extreme route'

The dollar's value rose against other currencies but analysts questioned to what extent this would hold out.

"If the increase proves to be just a knee-jerk reaction to what is perceived as short-lived US involvement in the Middle-East conflict, the dollar's downward path is likely to resume," said Sebastian Boyd, markets live blog strategist at Bloomberg.

US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said Sunday that the strikes had "devastated the Iranian nuclear program", though some officials cautioned that the extent of the damage was unclear.

It comes after Israel launched a bombing campaign against Iran earlier this month.

Chris Weston at Pepperstone said Iran would be able to inflict economic damage on the world without taking the "extreme route" of trying to close the Strait of Hormuz.

"By planting enough belief that they could disrupt this key logistical channel, maritime costs could rise to the point that it would have a significant impact on the supply of crude and gas," he wrote.

At the same time, "while Trump's primary focus will be on the Middle East, headlines on trade negotiations could soon start to roll in and market anxieties could feasibly build".