Iraqi Oil Minister Says Oil at $75-$80 a Barrel Fair to Producers, Consumers

Oil prices fell during yesterday's trading near $80 a barrel (Reuters)
Oil prices fell during yesterday's trading near $80 a barrel (Reuters)
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Iraqi Oil Minister Says Oil at $75-$80 a Barrel Fair to Producers, Consumers

Oil prices fell during yesterday's trading near $80 a barrel (Reuters)
Oil prices fell during yesterday's trading near $80 a barrel (Reuters)

Iraq's oil minister said that oil at $75-$80 a barrel was a fair price for producers and consumers, adding that his country was seeking to expand its production and export capacity in the coming years.

Oil prices traded above $83 a barrel on Wednesday, their highest since October 2018, amid a global energy crunch and a decision by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies to stick to a small increase in production next month.

Ihsan Abdul Jabbar told the Energy Intelligence Forum that Iraq aims to raise its oil production capacity by some 3 million barrels per day (bpd) to 8 million bpd by the end of 2027.

The OPEC member is also targeting raising its crude export capacity to 6 million bpd from 4 million bpd now by the end of 2024.

He added that talks with US oil major Chevron Corp (CVX.N) on developing the Nassiriya oilfield, which is estimated to hold about 4.4 billion barrels of crude, could reach final agreement in the next few weeks.

He said that the Iraqi National Oil Company (INOC) will hold a stake of no less than 40 percent in the joint partnership with Total Energies (TTEF.PA) in a project the French major is developing in the country.

Total Energies will build four energy projects in southern Iraq under a $27 billion deal signed in Baghdad last month.

In a related context, US crude oil and gasoline inventories rose last week as production rebounded as more offshore oil facilities returned from last month's storm-related shut-ins, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday.

Crude inventories rose by 2.3 million barrels in the week to Oct. 1 to 420.9 million barrels, compared with analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 418,000-barrel drop.

Crude stocks at the Cushing, Oklahoma, delivery hub rose by 1.5 million barrels in the last week, EIA said.

Refinery crude runs rose by 329,000 barrels per day in the last week, EIA said. Gasoline inventories also increased by 3.3 million barrels to 225.1 million barrels over that period.

Brent hit $83.46 a barrel, reaching its highest level since October 2018. WTI also hit its seven-year-high level with $79.78 a barrel.



US Jobless Claims, Business Activity Keep Economy on Gradual Cooling Path

The sign on a Taco Bell reustaurant advertises "Now Hiring Managers" in Fitchburg, Massachusetts, US, June 12, 2018. REUTERS/Brian Snyder/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights
The sign on a Taco Bell reustaurant advertises "Now Hiring Managers" in Fitchburg, Massachusetts, US, June 12, 2018. REUTERS/Brian Snyder/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights
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US Jobless Claims, Business Activity Keep Economy on Gradual Cooling Path

The sign on a Taco Bell reustaurant advertises "Now Hiring Managers" in Fitchburg, Massachusetts, US, June 12, 2018. REUTERS/Brian Snyder/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights
The sign on a Taco Bell reustaurant advertises "Now Hiring Managers" in Fitchburg, Massachusetts, US, June 12, 2018. REUTERS/Brian Snyder/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights

The number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits ticked up in the latest week, but appeared to be steadying near a level consistent with a gradual cooling of the labor market that should set the stage for the Federal Reserve to kick off interest rate cuts next month.
A slowdown in overall US business activity this month as firms faced diminished ability to push through price increases added to the evidence that the economy is slowing and inflation is downshifting to a degree that should allow Fed officials to focus more attention on the job market, Reuters reported.

With a rate cut now broadly expected next month, interest rates on home loans have already begun dropping, and that helped fuel a larger-than-expected rebound in existing home sales last month.
Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 4,000 to a seasonally adjusted 232,000 for the week ended Aug. 17, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 230,000 claims for the latest week.

The latest data should continue to allay fears that the labor market is rapidly deteriorating, first raised after a sharper-than-expected slowdown in job growth in July, which also saw the unemployment rate rise to a post-pandemic high of 4.3%.
Indeed, the latest claims data covers the survey week for this month's employment report from the Labor Department, and the leveling off in new filings points to "a small decline in the unemployment rate in August," Nancy Vanden Houten, lead US economist at Oxford Economics, said in a client note.

"Claims are leveling off on a trend basis, consistent with our view that, while the labor market is softening, it isn't weak enough to warrant anything more than a 25 (basis point) rate cut at the Fed's September meeting," she said.
Fed officials have said they are keenly watching the labor market, aware that waiting too long to cut interest rates could cause serious harm.
Layoffs remain historically low, however, with much of the slowdown in the labor market coming from firms scaling back hiring, trailing an immigration-induced surge in labor supply.

The Fed's 525 basis points worth of rate hikes in 2022 and 2023 are curbing demand.
The US central bank has kept its benchmark overnight interest rate in the current 5.25%-5.50% range for more than a year. With a first rate cut now widely expected at its Sept. 17-18 policy meeting, the market focus is on how large a reduction it will be - a quarter or a half percentage point.
The number of people receiving benefits after an initial week of aid, a proxy for hiring, rose 4,000 to a seasonally adjusted 1.863 million during the week ending Aug. 10, the claims report showed.