OPEC+ Expected to Stay the Course on Oil Output Plans

OPEC+ is expected to rubber stamp a planned output increase of 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) in December. Reuters
OPEC+ is expected to rubber stamp a planned output increase of 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) in December. Reuters
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OPEC+ Expected to Stay the Course on Oil Output Plans

OPEC+ is expected to rubber stamp a planned output increase of 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) in December. Reuters
OPEC+ is expected to rubber stamp a planned output increase of 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) in December. Reuters

An OPEC+ committee largely stuck to forecasts of a strong demand rebound this year and next ahead of a meeting next week, at which the group is expected to rubber stamp a planned output increase of 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) in December.

The Joint Technical Committee (JTC), which met on Thursday, now expects oil demand to grow by 5.7 million bpd in 2021, 120,000 bpd below OPEC's forecast in its latest monthly report, two OPEC+ sources told Reuters.

The JTC left its demand forecast for next year steady at 4.2 million bpd, one of the sources said.

That source said the revision for 2021 was "nothing to worry about" because it was an update of actual data and rounding.

OPEC+ forecasts are still higher than those of the International Energy Agency (IEA), which expects oil demand to grow by 5.5 million bpd in 2021 and 3.3 million bpd in 2022.

Ministers from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Russia and their allies - collectively known as OPEC+ - meet on Nov. 4 to decide output policy.

This week Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak told Reuters he expected OPEC+ to go ahead with its planned increase for December, as previously agreed.

"Demand (for oil) can decline as there is still uncertainty. We also see there is yet another pandemic wave spreading across the world," Novak said.

That view was echoed by other ministers in the group.

"The situation of the oil market indicates that the increase in December ... should not exceed 400,000 bpd," state news agency APS quoted Algerian Energy Minister Mohamed Arkab as saying on Thursday.

Oil prices were trading above $84 a barrel on Friday, within sight of a three-year high of $86.70 hit this week.

Saudi energy minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman twice dismissed calls this week by major consumer nations to speed the rate of OPEC+ production increases, saying the group does not expect crude oil shortages in the market.

"With OECD commercial oil inventories 5.4% below the five-year average and demand rapidly normalizing, OPEC+’s preference to keep production policy unchanged reflects an alliance that is significantly more tolerant of higher prices," JP Morgan said in a note.



New Chapter for Saudi Real Estate Market as Foreign Ownership Allowed

Residential and commercial properties in Riyadh – Asharq Al-Awsat
Residential and commercial properties in Riyadh – Asharq Al-Awsat
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New Chapter for Saudi Real Estate Market as Foreign Ownership Allowed

Residential and commercial properties in Riyadh – Asharq Al-Awsat
Residential and commercial properties in Riyadh – Asharq Al-Awsat

Saudi Arabia has approved a new law allowing non-Saudis to own real estate across the Kingdom, a move officials say will stimulate foreign investment, increase the quality and availability of housing stock, and help bring balance to the property market.

The decision, announced by the Council of Ministers on Tuesday, marks a shift in the structure of the real estate sector and aligns with the Kingdom’s broader strategy to diversify investment and improve urban development under its Vision 2030 reform agenda.

Municipal and Rural Affairs and Housing Minister Majid Al-Hogail said the new framework is expected to attract foreign developers and investors, increase competition in the domestic market, and ultimately help stabilize prices while improving housing options for Saudi citizens.

“A Strategic Restructuring”

“This step will encourage real estate supply and raise the quality of developments,” Al-Hogail said in a statement. “It supports the economic momentum and investment movement we are witnessing under Vision 2030.”

Khalid Al-Jasser, head of Amaken Group and a real estate specialist, said the updated system prioritizes Saudi citizens’ interests and will include mechanisms to regulate the market and achieve planned targets—chief among them, property market balance.

He added that the move would introduce global real estate standards to the Kingdom and draw capital to improve housing infrastructure, while creating jobs and lowering property prices.

“This is more than just an investment measure—it’s a structural shift,” Al-Jasser said.

Focus on Mega Projects and New Cities

Khaled Almobid, CEO of Menassat Realty Co., said the measure would allow foreign investors to buy properties in major development zones such as NEOM and the Red Sea Project—areas central to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s economic diversification efforts.

Almobid said the law is intended to protect Saudi homebuyers from being priced out of the market, while enabling high-value foreign investment that brings hard currency and supports large-scale development.

“The focus will be on strategic areas,” he said. “We expect foreign ownership will be restricted in districts designated for Saudi housing, with safeguards against speculation.”

He noted that details would become clearer once executive regulations are released.

Riyadh Housing Reforms

The foreign ownership law follows a series of housing reforms launched in March by Crown Prince Mohammed, aimed at curbing soaring land and rental prices in Riyadh.

As part of the measures, the government lifted bans on land sales, divisions, and permits, and instructed the Royal Commission for Riyadh City to develop 10,000 to 40,000 new residential plots annually over the next five years - priced at no more than 1,500 riyals ($400) per square meter - for eligible citizens.

Eligibility is limited to married Saudis or individuals over 25 years old with no prior property ownership.

The government also pledged to amend regulations governing undeveloped land fees and tenant-landlord relations within 60 to 90 days to boost supply and protect all parties’ rights.

The Real Estate General Authority and the Royal Commission were also tasked with monitoring Riyadh property prices and submitting regular reports.