Bahrain Details Fiscal Balance Plan

General view of Bahrain World Trade Center is seen during early evening hours in Manama, Bahrain, May 2, 2020. Picture taken May 2, 2020. (Reuters)
General view of Bahrain World Trade Center is seen during early evening hours in Manama, Bahrain, May 2, 2020. Picture taken May 2, 2020. (Reuters)
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Bahrain Details Fiscal Balance Plan

General view of Bahrain World Trade Center is seen during early evening hours in Manama, Bahrain, May 2, 2020. Picture taken May 2, 2020. (Reuters)
General view of Bahrain World Trade Center is seen during early evening hours in Manama, Bahrain, May 2, 2020. Picture taken May 2, 2020. (Reuters)

Bahrain on Sunday gave details of a new economic growth and fiscal balance plan that pushes a zero-deficit target back by two years to 2024 from 2022 and increases value-added tax to 10 percent.

A government statement said the updated fiscal balance program also included reducing expenditure and project spend and streamlining distribution of cash subsidies to citizens.

The government also announced a strategic projects plan that would catalyze over $30 billion of investments and a regulatory reform package aimed at supporting $2.5 billion of foreign direct investment by 2023.

Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and the UAE, which in 2018 extended a $10 billion aid package to Bahrain, last month reiterated support for Manama’s budget plans, a move expected to help their neighbor in the debt capital markets despite delays in plans to fix its heavily indebted finances.

Last month Bahrain said that due to the coronavirus crisis last year, it had postponed the target year for a balanced budget to 2024 and announced plans to hike a value-added tax to boost state coffers.

The fiscal balance program - a set of reforms aimed at balancing the budget - was linked to the pledged $10 billion.

The ministers of finance of wealthier Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and the UAE met with Bahrain’s finance minister on Oct. 19 to discuss Bahrain’s progress in improving its finances.

"The ministers welcomed the efforts made by the government of Bahrain in implementing the Fiscal Balance Program, and the progress made by the government despite the challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic," the three countries said in a joint statement.

"The Ministers affirmed their support to the Kingdom of Bahrain’s efforts in pursuing further reforms to enhance fiscal stability and strengthen sustainable economic growth."

Bahrain’s delaying of its fiscal balance program, which pushed back the zero-deficit target by two years, was seen as unlikely to deter investors from buying its debt due to expectations of continued support from richer Gulf allies, bankers and analysts have previously told Reuters.

Bahrain’s public debt climbed to 133 percent of gross domestic product last year from 102 percent in 2019, the International Monetary Fund said.

S&P forecasts Bahrain’s budget deficit, which was 16.8 percent of GDP last year, to average 5 percent between 2021 and 2024, excluding the impact of a possible hike in value-added tax.



Saudi Finance Minister: 2025 Budget Aims to Continue Expanding Strategic Spending

Al-Jadaan speaking at the press conference (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Al-Jadaan speaking at the press conference (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Finance Minister: 2025 Budget Aims to Continue Expanding Strategic Spending

Al-Jadaan speaking at the press conference (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Al-Jadaan speaking at the press conference (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan outlined the objectives of the 2025 budget, emphasizing a continued focus on strategic spending for developmental projects aligned with sectoral strategies and Vision 2030 programs.
He added that the budget aims to support initiatives that deliver sustainable economic, social, and environmental benefits, while enhancing the business environment, improving the Kingdom’s trade balance, and increasing both the volume and quality of local and foreign investments.
Speaking at a press conference following the Cabinet’s approval of the budget, Al-Jadaan highlighted the government’s commitment to expansionary spending due to its positive impact on citizens. He noted that Saudi Arabia’s economy has become more resilient to fluctuations in oil markets, reflecting ongoing structural changes.
The non-oil economy is projected to grow by 3.7% by the end of 2024, he said, with non-oil activities contributing 52% to GDP during the first half of the current year.
The minister also revealed that since the launch of Vision 2030, non-oil revenues have increased by 154%. Oil’s share of GDP currently stands at 28%, and the nominal GDP has reached SAR 4.1 trillion, he remarked.

Moreover, Al-Jadaan said that private investment’s contribution to GDP has grown from 16% in 2016 to 24.7% today. The industrial sector is set to attract SAR 30 billion ($8 billion) in investments in 2025, alongside SAR 12.3 billion ($3.2 billion) in credit facilities to support Saudi exporters. Tourism has also emerged as a significant driver of economic growth, ranking as the second-largest contributor to the balance of payments after oil.
The Saudi minister emphasized the encouraging economic indicators, noting the surge in small and medium-sized enterprises driven by government spending. He reiterated the government’s cautious and conservative approach to budget preparation, reflected in revenue figures.
Structural changes in the Kingdom’s economy are beginning to yield tangible results, with a 33% increase in spending on strategies and programs aimed at achieving Vision 2030, according to Al-Jadaan. These efforts are expected to sustain economic growth, foster diversification, and further strengthen the Kingdom’s global economic standing, he stated.