Lebanon’s Crisis with Gulf at Standstill

The Lebanese national flag flutters in Beirut, Lebanon, August 18, 2020. (Reuters)
The Lebanese national flag flutters in Beirut, Lebanon, August 18, 2020. (Reuters)
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Lebanon’s Crisis with Gulf at Standstill

The Lebanese national flag flutters in Beirut, Lebanon, August 18, 2020. (Reuters)
The Lebanese national flag flutters in Beirut, Lebanon, August 18, 2020. (Reuters)

Lebanon’s crisis with Gulf states is at a standstill, especially in wake of Hezbollah’s Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah's comments in support of Information Minister George Kordahi.

“We supported the position of the Minister of Information not to resign, and we refuse that he should be dismissed. Here lies the national interest,” Nasrallah said in a recent televised speech.

Kordahi, who has been urged to submit his resignation by Prime Minister Najib Mikati and other Lebanese parties over his harmful remarks against Saudi Arabia, reiterated that he would not make such a move unless he receives a guarantee that it would open the way for a solution to the crisis.

Following a visit to Speaker Nabih Berri on Friday, the minister told the reporters: “I did not raise the issue of resignation and if we obtain the guarantees that I conveyed to Patriarch Mar Beshara Boutros Al-Rai, then I am ready… I am not willing to challenge anyone, neither the Prime Minister nor the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, which I respect and love.”

On the government’s failure to convene, Kordahi said: “The government’s problem is not me. The government has failed to convene even before my interview surfaced.”

Kordahi’s visit came hours after Nasrallah’s speech, in which he said he wanted to calm tensions.

However, some political figures said that his statements reflected more hardline stance, while others read them as a prelude to a solution.

Saudi Ambassador to Lebanon Walid Bukhari said on Twitter: “There is a huge difference between denying reality and trying to justify it and inciting against it...!”

Sources in the Free Patriotic Movement (FPM) saw that Nasrallah’s “non-escalatory” words have opened the door to a truce ahead of discussing a solution.

In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, the sources said: “There is an undeclared calm and truce, in contrast to Hezbollah’s escalation last week.”

Political analyst and university professor Makram Rabah does not see a difference or change in the threatening words of the Hezbollah leader.

He told Asharq Al-Awsat that Nasrallah’s opposition of Kordahi’s resignation show that there is no desire for reconciliation or calming the situation.

“His direct attack and threat are the best evidence that the Lebanese state is hijacked and that its national interest is being held by the Iranian Revolutionary Guards and (Hezbollah),” he stated.



Lebanon Parliament Meets to Elect President

The Lebanese Parliament building a day before a session to elect the Lebanese president, in Beirut, Lebanon, 08 January 2025. (EPA)
The Lebanese Parliament building a day before a session to elect the Lebanese president, in Beirut, Lebanon, 08 January 2025. (EPA)
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Lebanon Parliament Meets to Elect President

The Lebanese Parliament building a day before a session to elect the Lebanese president, in Beirut, Lebanon, 08 January 2025. (EPA)
The Lebanese Parliament building a day before a session to elect the Lebanese president, in Beirut, Lebanon, 08 January 2025. (EPA)

Lebanon's lawmakers on Thursday began a session that could see army chief Joseph Aoun elected as president following a vacancy of more than two years, an AFP reporter said.
The 128-lawmaker chamber, which has failed to reach consensus a dozen times amid tensions between the Iran-backed Hezbollah movement and its opponents, started discussions at 11:00 am (0900 GMT).
The leading candidate, Lebanese army commander Joseph Aoun, no relation to the former president, is widely seen as the preferred candidate of the United States, whose assistance Lebanon will need as it seeks to rebuild after a 14-month conflict between Israel and the Lebanese militant group Hezbollah.
Hezbollah previously backed another candidate, Suleiman Franjieh, the leader of a small Christian party in northern Lebanon with close ties to former Syrian President Bashar Assad.
However, on Wednesday, Franjieh announced he had withdrawn from the race and endorsed Aoun, apparently clearing the way for the army chief.
Lebanon’s fractious sectarian power-sharing system is prone to deadlock, both for political and procedural reasons. The small, crisis-battered Mediterranean country has been through several extended presidential vacancies, with the longest lasting nearly 2 1/2 years between May 2014 and October 2016. It ended when former President Michel Aoun was elected.
As a sitting army commander, Joseph Aoun is technically barred from becoming president by Lebanon's constitution. The ban has been waived before, but it means that Aoun faces additional procedural hurdles.
Under normal circumstances, a presidential candidate in Lebanon can be elected by a two-thirds majority of the 128-member house in the first round of voting, or by a simple majority in a subsequent round.
But because of the constitutional issues surrounding his election, Aoun would need a two-thirds majority even in the second round.
Other contenders include Jihad Azour, a former finance minister who is now the director of the Middle East and Central Asia Department at the International Monetary Fund; and Elias al-Baysari, the acting head of Lebanon’s General Security agency.
A president is needed to appoint a permanent prime minister and cabinet. The caretaker government that has run Lebanon for the last two years has reduced powers because it was not appointed by a sitting president.
The next government will face daunting challenges apart from implementing the ceasefire agreement that ended the Israel-Hezbollah war and seeking funds for reconstruction.
Lebanon is six years into an economic and financial crisis that decimated the country's currency and wiped out the savings of many Lebanese. The cash-strapped state electricity company provides only a few hours of power a day.
The country's leaders reached a preliminary agreement with the IMF for a bail-out package in 2022 but have made limited progress on reforms required to clinch the deal.