Sudanese Army May Make Concessions to Avoid US Sanctions

The head of the Sudanese Sovereign Council, Lt. Gen. Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan. (AFP)
The head of the Sudanese Sovereign Council, Lt. Gen. Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan. (AFP)
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Sudanese Army May Make Concessions to Avoid US Sanctions

The head of the Sudanese Sovereign Council, Lt. Gen. Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan. (AFP)
The head of the Sudanese Sovereign Council, Lt. Gen. Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan. (AFP)

Sources close to the European Union attributed the “anger” of the head of the Sudanese Sovereign Council, Lt. Gen. Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan, and his warning to diplomatic missions not to “incite against the army and interfere in the affairs of the country” to the increasing Western pressures demanding the return to the pre-coup situation.

A source close to the European Union told Asharq Al-Awsat on Friday that the EU ambassadors, when meeting Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok last week, insisted on restoring the federal governance structures stipulated in the constitutional document, before engaging into any new negotiations between the parties to the transitional process.

The support to be provided to the country’s economy and political backing would depend on convincing confidence-building measures and the achievement of a true national consensus.

In a statement released after their meeting with Hamdok, the ambassadors underscored that the October 25 coup “effectively derailed the coalition of civilians and the military”.

They called for a “national consensus”, stressing it is crucial for democratic rule.

“These confidence-building measures include creating an inclusive national constitution-making process, implementing and extending the 2020 peace agreement, preparing for credible elections and continuing the economic reform agenda,” they stressed.

Western pressure on the Sudanese military authorities increased, with the Foreign Affairs Committee in the US House of Representatives imposing sanctions on “those responsible for destabilizing Sudan.”

In a statement to Reuters last week, Sudan’s Finance Minister Jibril Ibrahim said that his country was unable to access USD 650 million in international funding in November when assistance was paused after the coup - a freeze that puts in doubt basic import payments and the fate of economic reforms.

The imminent US sanctions are expected to exacerbate economic and political crises at a time when the military authority has no practical options, political analyst Jamil al-Fadel told Asharq Al-Awsat.

Fadel pointed to leaks that talk about the transition of the presidency to civilians and a review of the composition of the Sovereign Council. He referred to Burhan hinting for the first time about the possibility of stepping down, during a speech, in which he assured: “If Burhan leaves, the army is present.”

He added that Burhan was aware of the real dangers facing his rule.



Red Sea Marine Traffic Up 60% after Houthis Narrowed Targets

Armed men stand on the beach as the Galaxy Leader commercial ship, seized by Yemen's Houthis last month, is anchored off the coast of al-Salif, Yemen, December 5, 2023. (Reuters)
Armed men stand on the beach as the Galaxy Leader commercial ship, seized by Yemen's Houthis last month, is anchored off the coast of al-Salif, Yemen, December 5, 2023. (Reuters)
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Red Sea Marine Traffic Up 60% after Houthis Narrowed Targets

Armed men stand on the beach as the Galaxy Leader commercial ship, seized by Yemen's Houthis last month, is anchored off the coast of al-Salif, Yemen, December 5, 2023. (Reuters)
Armed men stand on the beach as the Galaxy Leader commercial ship, seized by Yemen's Houthis last month, is anchored off the coast of al-Salif, Yemen, December 5, 2023. (Reuters)

Red Sea marine traffic has increased by 60% to 36-37 ships a day since August 2024, but is still short of volumes seen before Yemen's Houthis began attacking ships in the region, according to the commander of the EU's Aspides naval mission.

The number of merchant ships using the narrow Bab al-Mandab strait increased after missile and drone attacks by the Houthis slowed and the US and the extremist group signed a ceasefire deal, Rear Admiral Vasileios Gryparis said in an interview in Madrid.

But shipping traffic, which reached a low of 20-23 ships daily in August last year, is still short of an average of 72-75 ships a day seen before the Houthis began attacks in the Red Sea in November in 2023 in support of Palestinians over Israel's war in Gaza, said Gryparis according to Reuters.

The mission, which was established to safeguard navigation in the strategic trade route linking the Mediterranean with the Gulf of Asia through the Suez Canal, was extended in February when it was also tasked with tracking illegal arms shipments and monitoring vessels carrying sanctioned Russian oil.

The last attack on a merchant ship took place in November 2024 and the Houthis have also narrowed their objectives, saying their targets are Israeli ships and ships that have a connection with Israel or have docked at an Israeli port, Gryparis said.

"If you have a vessel that does not correspond to this criteria... there is a huge possibility - more than 99% - that you're not going to be targeted by the Houthis," Gryparis said.

Still, Gryparis said he could not guarantee that merchant ships won't be attacked.

Some companies have been deterred from using the route because of the mission's lack of ships, which can cause delays of as much as a week for those seeking to be escorted through the area, he said.

He said the mission has between two and three ships operating at one time and has requested the EU provide it with 10 ships to increase its capacity for protection.

The mission has provided close protection to 476 ships, shot down 18 drones, destroyed two remote-controlled boats used to attack ships and intercepted four ballistic missiles, he said.